0:00 I'm sorry I got tripped up. You used uh
0:02 power tools, David Rosenthal.
0:05 >> I built this whole door. I got the the
0:07 Blake door from Home Depot. I had to cut
0:09 it down to size to fit a non-standard
0:11 size door opening in my studio. I
0:14 drilled the door handle. I put the door
0:16 knob on myself. It all worked great.
0:18 >> We uh we got to get you to the pro desk.
0:20 >> Yeah.
0:22 >> And it's been part of every acquired
0:24 episode since.
0:25 >> All right, let's do this.
0:26 >> Who got the truth? [music]
0:29 Is it you? Is it you? Is it you? Who got
0:32 the truth now?
0:34 Is it you? Is [music] it you? Is it you?
0:36 Sit me down. Straight. Another story on
0:41 the way. [music]
0:43 >> Welcome to the fall 2026 season of
0:45 Acquired, the podcast about great
0:47 companies and the stories and playbooks
0:49 behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert.
0:51 >> I'm David Rosenthal.
0:52 >> And we are your hosts. Home Depot is an
0:56 astonishingly large company. Before I
0:59 started this research, I thought of it
1:01 as a big store at the middle of a bunch
1:04 of shopping centers, but not really like
1:06 an important company to the world, but I
1:09 was wrong. And the stats are uh large,
1:13 David.
1:14 >> Large.
1:15 >> It is the world's largest specialty
1:17 retailer. The only retailers larger are
1:20 general, not in a specific vertical like
1:22 home improvement. So think Walmart or
1:25 Amazon or Costco. Those are bigger. But
1:28 the other vertical ones are not. In
1:30 fact, Home Depot is the 45th most
1:33 valuable publicly traded company in the
1:35 world, period, with a $350 billion
1:39 market cap. So that's more valuable than
1:42 Netflix or Alibaba or Goldman Sachs or
1:46 LVMH
1:47 >> or Disney that we just covered.
1:49 >> Yes. which is wild because unlike all of
1:52 those other companies, Home Depot is
1:55 only in North America.
1:56 >> Yes, Home Improvement is just a massive
2:00 category, way, way bigger than I
2:02 realized. So, here's a fun stat. Home
2:05 Depot went public in 1981, one year
2:08 after Apple Computer. And astonishingly,
2:11 if you put $1,000 into Home Depot and
2:13 Apple and their IPOs and you held them
2:15 all today, your investment in Home Depot
2:18 would beat your investment in Apple. And
2:21 if you reinvested the dividends that it
2:23 paid out, it has compounded at nearly
2:26 25% per year for 45 years. I mean,
2:31 imagine if your stock portfolio did
2:33 that.
2:33 >> Yeah, Home Depot is an all-timer. I kind
2:36 of can't believe we haven't done this
2:37 episode yet.
2:38 >> Right. That makes it the number one
2:40 performing stock in the S&P 500 in total
2:42 investment return from the day that it
2:45 went public to today. So that $1,000
2:48 invested in the IPO would be worth about
2:51 $17 million
2:53 today.
2:54 >> Not bad. Not bad. Well, we're going to
2:55 get into as we go um who holds that
2:58 equity because it's actually a critical
3:01 part of the company's strategy or at
3:03 least it was.
3:04 >> Yeah. And listeners, if you're trying to
3:05 contextualize, well, 45 years is a long
3:08 time. You know, how does that 17 million
3:10 stack up? Ben and David love their index
3:13 funds. You know, we love Vanguard here.
3:15 If you had bought the S&P 500 with that
3:17 same $1,000, instead of $17 million
3:20 today, you would have $170,000.
3:24 >> Wow. Today, we will tell the story of
3:26 how it happened. It is an unlikely story
3:28 of two guys who got unceremoniously
3:31 fired from their old jobs with little
3:34 savings and no retirement funds, who
3:36 then had a revolutionary idea to build a
3:38 home improvement store in giant
3:40 warehouses, five times more square
3:42 footage than any other hardware store at
3:44 the time, which seemed risky at best,
3:48 unthinkable maybe. And we'll try to
3:50 answer the question, how and why did
3:52 that idea become so large? I mean, of
3:55 course, it's bigger than Lowe's, but
3:57 also IKEA, Trader Joe's. It's bigger
3:59 than nearly all dedicated grocery store
4:02 chains. And today, they employ an
4:04 astonishing 470,000
4:07 people. That's more than any big tech
4:10 company in the US except for Amazon,
4:12 more than any bank in the world, more
4:15 than almost every car company, hotel
4:17 chain, more employees than any
4:20 restaurant chain also, including
4:22 Starbucks. So listeners, this is the
4:24 story of Home Depot.
4:26 >> Woo! Let's go.
4:27 >> So for all of you who have been asking
4:29 for visuals to go with our episodes, you
4:31 are in luck. We are making our companion
4:33 PDF a regular thing now. So you can
4:36 click the link in the show notes or go
4:37 to library.acquire.fm
4:39 to get access to all the charts and
4:41 tables and illustrations from key
4:43 concepts in this episode. You can join
4:45 the email list at acquire.fm/e.
4:48 That's where we'll send out all the
4:49 behind-the-scenes photos of research and
4:52 past episode corrections and vote on
4:54 future episode topics. That is
4:56 acquired.fm/e.
4:58 Join the Slack. Come discuss it with
5:00 David and I at acquired.fm/slack.
5:03 And before we dive in, we want to thank
5:04 our brand new presenting partner,
5:07 Sierra. Yes, Sierra helps the great
5:09 companies of the world build better
5:11 customer experiences and drive stronger
5:13 business outcomes with AI. And we are so
5:16 excited to be working with them. That's
5:17 Sierra S I E R R A. So with that, this
5:22 show is not investment advice. David and
5:24 I may have investments in the companies
5:25 that we discuss and this show is
5:27 forformational and entertainment
5:29 purposes only. David, take us in.
5:32 >> So the story of Home Depot is kind of
5:34 like the acquired version of like a
5:36 Avengers movie. They're these four
5:39 business and retail superheroes that
5:41 come together and you know save well
5:43 they don't save the world but they save
5:44 customers a lot of money. They provide
5:46 extreme value propositions to uh the
5:48 American consumer.
5:49 >> Yes. Yes. So, we start first with Home
5:53 Depot's founding CEO, Bernie Marcus.
5:56 Bernie comes from a poor family of
5:59 Jewish immigrants in the rough
6:01 neighborhoods of Newark, New Jersey in
6:03 the 1930s during the depression. Bernie
6:06 was actually in a gang as a kid, which I
6:09 discovered hilariously reading Bernie's
6:12 book, Kick Up Some Dust. Uh, the forward
6:14 of which was written by his good friend,
6:17 the rapper Pitbull. [laughter] Uh, like
6:20 amazingly, the two of them like bonded
6:22 and became good friends later in
6:24 Bernie's life.
6:24 >> Yeah. When you sent me that book cover,
6:26 I had a serious double take at
6:27 [laughter] the forward.
6:29 >> So Bernie, despite his uh, you know,
6:32 rough upbringing and gang experience on
6:34 the streets of New York, he's super
6:35 smart and he ends up being the first
6:37 person in his family to go to college.
6:39 She goes to Ruckers down the road from
6:41 New York in there in New Jersey for
6:43 college and his dream is to go on to
6:46 medical school and become a
6:47 psychiatrist. That doesn't work out
6:50 because his family doesn't have any
6:51 money to send him to medical school. So
6:54 instead, he becomes a pharmacist. That
6:58 quickly leads him to becoming a
7:00 concessionire in a New York area
7:02 discount store. Concession like a like a
7:04 store within a store. This uh begins
7:07 Bernie's retail education and from there
7:10 he would go on to join the uh New York
7:12 area discount chain Two Guys.
7:14 Ultimately, this leads him a couple
7:17 years later in his 30s to an executive
7:19 role at the Dalin Corporation, which was
7:22 a retail conglomerate based in Los
7:24 Angeles with a whole bunch of different
7:26 stores. So, we're now here in the 1960s.
7:30 This is an exciting time for retail. All
7:33 sorts of new concepts are popping up all
7:36 over the country to replace the outdated
7:39 general store model. Uh there shopping
7:42 malls being built everywhere in the
7:43 suburbs across America here in the
7:45 post-war period. Sears is building big
7:48 anchor tenant stores attached to these
7:50 new shopping malls. Kmart is rising
7:53 across the country as a discounter. Sam
7:55 Walton and Walmart are starting to
7:57 emerge down in the rural south and
7:59 they're building a powerhouse. The
8:01 landscape in retail is dynamic. The
8:03 post-war 1960s
8:06 baby boom American suburbs are alive and
8:09 well with their shopping. [laughter] And
8:11 Dalen was this holding company that
8:13 operated almost like I don't know like a
8:16 portfolio or an index fund on all these
8:18 retail concepts. So they would go out
8:21 and acquire small chains of all of these
8:24 types of postgeneral store concepts
8:27 serving the American suburbs. So yeah,
8:29 they hadarmacies, hardware stores,
8:31 clothing, home furnishing, discounters,
8:34 you name it.
8:34 >> And for the most part, all retail in
8:36 America at this point, except for Sears,
8:38 Kmart, some department stores, you
8:41 really didn't have these big national
8:43 retail giants the way that we do today.
8:46 It was kind of these regional chains.
8:47 >> Yep. Yep. So Bernie is now a corporate
8:49 executive at Dalen. He has no equity in
8:52 the company. He's just a employee, but
8:54 it's a stable job. He's doing well.
8:56 certainly moved up in the world from his
8:58 upbringings. And then he gets an
9:01 opportunity. In 1972, Dalon makes Bernie
9:06 the CEO
9:08 of its Handy Dan subsidiary, which is a
9:11 chain of hardware stores that's also
9:13 based there in Los Angeles. So again, he
9:16 has no equity. He's the CEO, but he's
9:19 just an employee.
9:20 >> And also, he comes at it from the retail
9:22 side, not the hardware expertise side.
9:25 This is kind of my favorite part of this
9:26 whole story is of the people who would
9:29 go on to found Home Depot, none of them
9:31 are like general contractors or grew up
9:34 in the hammer manufacturing business.
9:36 It's people who just who knew retail.
9:38 >> These are retail guys. Exactly.
9:40 [laughter]
9:41 >> Well, retail and uh finance guys as
9:42 we'll see. Yes. So once Bernie becomes
9:45 CEO of Handy Dam, he quickly recruits
9:48 another younger company man from within
9:51 the Dalin Empire, a financial whiz named
9:54 Arthur Blank to come over to LA and join
9:57 him as his CFO at Handydan. And Bernie,
10:01 you know, he he knows himself as as
10:03 we'll see. He is an incredible retailer,
10:06 an incredible CEO, an incredible leader,
10:09 but his weak spot is finance. Now, you
10:11 might be wondering, wait a minute, if
10:13 Handy Dan is a subsidiary of Dalin,
10:17 why does it have its own CEO, CFO,
10:21 management team? Because Handy Dan was
10:25 also a standalone publicly traded
10:29 company.
10:29 >> And Dalen didn't own all of it, right?
10:31 It just owned the majority of the
10:32 shares.
10:33 >> Yeah. So Dalon had bought all of it, but
10:36 then there was this [snorts] kind of
10:38 crazy fad going on on Wall Street in the
10:42 70s here, which we're into now, where
10:45 conglomerates would spin off these
10:48 little 19% equity stubs of their various
10:52 divisions and then float them publicly
10:55 on the stock market. 19% being below 20%
10:59 so that the parent company could still
11:01 consolidate the division's financials on
11:03 their books.
11:04 >> I see. So it actually looks like Oh no,
11:06 this is a division of ours. 19% of it
11:08 just happens to be owned by someone
11:09 else.
11:10 >> Yep. Yep. And the idea was that this
11:13 would unlock value since these
11:15 conglomerates traded at a discount to
11:18 the value that they'd otherwise have if
11:20 all the businesses were independent.
11:22 Actually, in reality, it it didn't work
11:25 at all. In practice, most of these
11:27 publicly traded little divisional stubs
11:29 traded at a further discount to the
11:31 parent company's already discounted
11:34 holding company valuation.
11:35 >> So why is Dalon doing all this financial
11:39 engineering? You know, I thought we just
11:40 said that times are great for retail,
11:43 the American suburbs are booming, etc.,
11:45 etc. Well, they were in the 60s,
11:49 but now here in the 70s, retail is uh
11:53 struggling. So, we've talked about this
11:55 period on a whole bunch of other
11:56 episodes on acquired, you know, Vanguard
11:57 most recently, but the 70s were brutal
12:00 in America. There's the oil crises that
12:02 hit. There's stagflation.
12:05 Uh, federal interest rates go up into
12:06 the teens, like the teens. Can you
12:08 imagine?
12:09 >> Yeah, they briefly even hit like 18 19%.
12:12 >> And well, we'll get to the high point in
12:15 1980 in a minute because it's right
12:16 after Home Depot gets founded. But this
12:19 is bad for America, the economy, etc.
12:21 This is really bad for suburban retail.
12:26 >> Shopping just dries up and Dalon starts
12:30 totally sucking wind except for Handy
12:33 Dan.
12:33 >> Right. It's like this crown jewel within
12:35 an otherwise withering empire. Right.
12:38 >> Right. And it's all thanks to Bernie and
12:41 Arthur because when they take over, as
12:44 you said, they're not coming from the
12:45 hardware business. These guys are
12:47 seasoned retailers from other parts of,
12:50 you know, the retail sector. Hardware,
12:53 home improvement as a concept wasn't
12:55 really a a term yet. The hardware store
12:58 landscape at the time was this patchwork
13:01 of clubby regional, not very
13:04 sophisticated, and not very good
13:07 businesses.
13:07 >> And they've got limited assortment. They
13:09 don't stock that many things. The
13:11 market's super fragmented. And
13:13 importantly, you couldn't actually go to
13:15 one place to get everything. You'd go to
13:18 some store for lumber, then a different
13:20 store to get tools, and then another
13:21 store for plumbing supplies, electrical
13:23 products. Lawn and garden was sort of
13:25 its own entire thing. These are all
13:27 little specialty stores.
13:29 >> Yeah. And and so like if you're a
13:31 consumer, if you're a suburban homeowner
13:34 and you've got a project that you want
13:36 to work on yourself over the weekends,
13:39 >> which actually wasn't very many people
13:40 that that sort of do-it-yourself for
13:43 wasn't really a thing yet.
13:44 >> Totally. I mean, it's Home Depot that
13:46 unlocks that category because before
13:47 Home Depot, you couldn't trust that you
13:50 could get all the stuff you needed to
13:53 accomplish your project to build a deck
13:55 or retile your bathroom or whatever you
13:57 wanted to do around your house. You
13:58 would walk into these little hardware
13:59 stores and good luck, you know.
14:02 [laughter]
14:03 >> So, the biggest operator in the industry
14:05 at the time was a company out of North
14:08 Carolina called Lowe's. You might have
14:11 heard of it.
14:12 >> Yes.
14:12 >> Lowe's back then, despite being the
14:15 biggest player in the hardware sector,
14:18 was not the Lowe's that you think of
14:19 today. It had evolved out of the general
14:22 store concept. It was all these small
14:25 store footprints that we're talking
14:26 about like a fifth or less of the size
14:29 of what you know as Lowe's today.
14:31 They're mostly in strip malls. And the
14:34 whole company Lowe's is only doing about
14:36 150 million in annual revenue total.
14:38 >> And my understanding of the store
14:40 concept then is it's basically a
14:41 hardware store, sort of a small
14:43 showroom, not you know concrete floors
14:46 and giant ceilings attached to a lumber
14:48 yard. You get a lumber yard, a nice
14:50 little showroom. That's kind of it. The
14:52 craziest thing about Lowe's is it was
14:54 founded in 1921.
14:57 >> Yeah. As a general store. Yeah.
14:58 >> Right. By this point in history, it's
15:00 already 50 years old before the Home
15:01 Depot has even been founded.
15:03 >> Yep. So Bernie and Arthur, when they
15:06 come into Handy Dan and this whole
15:08 hardware sector, this is like bringing a
15:11 bazooka to a knife fight. These guys are
15:14 much more competitive, much more
15:16 sophisticated than the whole rest of the
15:19 industry. These guys are sharp
15:22 operators. They've done concessions.
15:24 They've done discounting. They've done
15:25 pharmacy.
15:26 >> Yeah. They're students of retail.
15:27 >> Yep. So, despite this like super tough
15:30 overall retail macro, Bernie and Arthur
15:33 turn around Handy Dan and make it the
15:35 best operator in the industry. But that
15:39 still doesn't save Dalon, the parent
15:42 company, because they're so weighed down
15:44 by their other divisions that they file
15:46 for bankruptcy in 1975.
15:49 and they bring in a noted turnaround
15:52 artist as the CEO to turn it around.
15:55 We'll come back to that in a minute. For
15:57 the moment though, let's flash back over
16:01 to the East Coast, to a completely
16:03 different character, the New York
16:06 investment banker Ken Langon.
16:08 >> This is your uh your third superhero.
16:10 You've got Bernie Marcus, the retailer.
16:12 You've got Arthur Blank, the sort of
16:14 finance and operations genius. And now
16:16 you've got Ken Langone in New York City.
16:18 Yep. And Ken, I think a lot of listeners
16:21 will probably know who Ken Langon is. He
16:23 is basically the goat investment banker.
16:27 He came up from nothing as an Italian
16:29 kid on Long Island. Talks his way onto
16:32 Wall Street and basically while he's
16:34 still a kid, he ends up winning the sole
16:37 IPO manager position for Ross Perau's
16:40 company, EDS. People today remember Ross
16:43 Perau as like, "Oh yeah, that guy who
16:45 ran for president in the '90s." But he
16:47 was kind of like Larry Ellison of his
16:49 time. EDS was this giant company.
16:52 >> Yeah. And I was trying to think about
16:54 the best way to frame EDS. Maybe like a
16:56 palunteer. They were very involved in
16:59 government contracts. I mean Ross
17:00 Perau's history. We got to do a whole
17:02 Ross Bro episode at some point. But from
17:04 his time at IBM, he kind of saw people
17:06 are buying all of these mainframes, but
17:09 they have no idea how to use them. I
17:10 actually have to start.
17:11 >> He was a top salesman at IBM before
17:13 starting the company. a deployment and
17:16 service arm for enterprise computing and
17:20 government computing and that sort of
17:22 led him down this whole crazy path of
17:23 building what was then an empire in EDS
17:26 would be small by today's standards but
17:28 he was a technology
17:30 enterprise business magnet at the time
17:33 >> totally and based in Plano Texas EDS has
17:36 this long history they ultimately get
17:38 acquired by Hila Packard and become uh
17:39 HP enterprise services so yeah Ben
17:42 exactly what you're talking about data
17:43 centers mainframes etc., etc. So, fast
17:45 forward on Ken, he'd end up sitting on
17:48 the boards of the New York Stock
17:49 Exchange, General Electric, many other
17:53 great American companies. And famously,
17:56 Ken has this total loyalty to every
18:00 customer and every entrepreneur that he
18:02 works with. He never sells a share of
18:05 almost every company he's ever been
18:07 involved in. And we're going to talk
18:09 about the almost in just a minute. So,
18:12 all right, back here, we're in the mid1
18:14 1970s after the EDS IPO. Ken has just
18:18 taken public uh Philadelphia based
18:22 hardware chain, you know, one of these
18:23 other regional players, a company called
18:25 Panorama. And like everyone else,
18:27 they've fallen on hard times. So, Ken
18:29 goes down to Philadelphia to see the
18:31 CEO. And uh Ken's like, "All right,
18:33 well, who can we look at in the industry
18:35 that's actually good? Like, what does
18:37 best look like in this industry?"
18:40 because it should be a good business. I
18:42 mean, we we'll spoil it now. David, we
18:45 spent some time with Ken prepping for
18:46 this episode and his comment was God is
18:49 good as it pertains to hardware and home
18:51 improvement. It's the gift that keeps on
18:54 giving that we've built tons and tons of
18:56 houses in America and they need just an
18:58 endless supply of stuff. It's almost
19:00 like a subscription of uh recurring
19:03 revenue if you're in this business to
19:05 keep working on a home as the weather
19:08 and and time acts on it
19:09 >> and market and you know whatever
19:11 changes. The rule of thumb is that
19:13 homeowners need to reinvest about 1% of
19:16 the house's then market value into their
19:19 home every year just in maintenance
19:21 before you get into improvement.
19:23 >> Right? But in postwar America, they were
19:25 building more and more houses every
19:27 year. The old houses they built were
19:29 getting old. It was a great business to
19:30 be in. Or it should have been anyway.
19:32 >> Should have been. Should have been. So
19:34 Ken says to the CEO of this company, a
19:36 guy named Gary. He says, "All right,
19:38 Gary, who's the best operator here in
19:39 the business?" And Gary says, "Oh, easy.
19:41 Handy Dan out in California. Those guys
19:43 are the best." And Ken's like, "Handy
19:46 Dan, what are you talking about? I know
19:48 Wall Street. That company's going
19:50 bankrupt." Gary says, "No, no, no, no,
19:52 no. Their parent Dalon is going
19:54 bankrupt, but Handy Dan is doing great.
19:57 So Ken says, "Okay, wait, wait, hang on.
19:59 Let me go get my Moody's manual because
20:01 this is how you checked company
20:03 financials back in [laughter] the day."
20:04 He pulls out his Moody's manual, his
20:06 little book, and he's going through, he
20:07 looks, he finds Handy Dan, he looks at
20:09 the financials. Holy crap, you're right.
20:12 This is a great business, but yeah, it's
20:15 trading for $3 a share. And if Moody's
20:20 is right, this company is gonna earn
20:22 post tax net income of a buck 50 a share
20:28 this year. So this company is trading at
20:30 2 years of post tax earnings. So Ken's
20:34 like,
20:34 >> "Something has to be wrong. Is is there
20:36 like an accounting problem? Is there
20:38 some trick in the reporting or gimmick
20:40 here that I don't understand? I got to
20:41 dig into this."
20:42 >> So So he says, "Gary, let's get let's
20:44 get Handy on the phone like right now. I
20:46 got to talk to these guys." So Gary
20:48 calls up Bernie, gets him on the phone,
20:50 and Ken's like, "Mr. Marcus, are your
20:54 financial statements true?" [laughter]
20:57 Bernie says, "Yeah, yeah, sure. Business
20:59 is doing great. It's the craziest thing
21:01 that Wall Street doesn't appreciate us."
21:03 Ken says, "Mr. Marcus, would you mind if
21:06 I come out and see you in person?"
21:08 Bernie says, "Yeah, sure, fine." Ken
21:10 says, "Great. I'm booking my flight
21:11 right now. I'll be there for lunch
21:13 tomorrow." Bernie's in Los Angeles. Ken
21:15 is currently in Philadelphia. This is
21:16 classic Ken Langon. [clears throat]
21:18 >> So the next day he flies out. They sit
21:20 down to lunch. Bernie brings his lawyer
21:22 with him to make sure he doesn't tell
21:24 this crazy guy from Wall Street anything
21:26 he's not supposed to. This information
21:28 CEO of a publicly traded company and
21:30 some person who is discussing the price
21:33 of your stock with you calls you and
21:35 says, "I'm so interested that I'm going
21:36 to fly across the country right away."
21:38 It's like, "Okay, I really got to watch
21:40 what I say to this guy."
21:41 >> Yeah. Yeah. So, uh, they have lunch and
21:44 quickly becomes apparent that Bernie is
21:47 a gifted retail operator. Company's
21:50 doing great. The financial statements
21:51 are all correct. So, Ken says to Bernie,
21:56 "Do you have any equity in this
21:58 company?" And Bernie says, "No, just an
22:01 employee. You know, this is a Dalen
22:02 subsidiary, even though we're publicly
22:04 traded." Ken says, "Okay, I'm going to
22:07 go back to New York tonight and tomorrow
22:10 I'm going to start buying every single
22:13 publicly traded share of your company
22:16 that I can get my hands on." I suggest
22:19 that you go call up your banker and
22:23 mortgage your house and do the same
22:25 because your stock is about to go way,
22:28 way up. [laughter]
22:31 Now Bernie, this is exposing his his
22:33 weakness here with finance. While he's
22:35 brilliant and street smart, he's also
22:37 kind of like innocent about Wall Street
22:41 and finance and investing and all this
22:43 stuff,
22:43 >> negotiating in some ways. He he
22:46 overrusts people to
22:47 >> he's weirdly riskaverse in this area. So
22:50 he says, "Oh, oh, I can't do that.
22:52 That's that's that's too risky. You
22:54 know, I've got a family." And Ken's
22:55 like, "Bernie, Mr. Marcus, the stock
22:58 market is based on supply and demand. I
23:01 have enough money. I'm going to buy
23:03 every single share that exists of your
23:05 company. The price will go up. There's
23:07 no risk. Price says, "Nope, nope. I
23:09 can't do it." And interestingly, when I
23:10 read this, I was thinking, is this
23:12 insider trading? I don't think it would
23:14 have been at the time since Ken is an
23:16 outsider just telling Bernie that he's
23:18 going to buy the stock. So, the
23:20 information is actually market
23:21 information, not inside information
23:23 originating from the company itself. And
23:25 Bernie's lawyer is of course sitting
23:27 there listening to make sure.
23:28 >> Yep. So, uh, Ken says, "All right, all
23:31 right. I told you." Uh, he flies back to
23:34 New York. He does exactly what he said
23:35 he was going to do. He buys every single
23:39 publicly traded share of Handy Dan
23:43 except for one block. [laughter]
23:47 >> All right. So, I I looked this up,
23:48 David, in the book Built from Scratch,
23:51 which is the awesome book that uh is
23:54 kind of the canonical Home Depot story
23:55 written by Bernie and Arthur. And so,
23:59 here's how it goes. There was this
24:01 little block of 50,000 shares, which was
24:03 about 2% of the company owned by the
24:06 Brooklyn-based congregation of the Most
24:09 Holy Redeemer. So, Ken calls the priests
24:12 like he called up every other
24:14 shareholder. And when Ken asks uh the
24:17 church's financial officer, who is also
24:19 a priest, "Hey, will you sell your
24:20 shares to me?" The priest pauses and he
24:22 says, "Langon,
24:24 is that an Italian name?" [laughter]
24:27 He goes, "Yes." And he goes, "And are
24:29 you Catholic?" And Ken goes, "Yes, I
24:31 am." And the priest says, "Then under
24:35 the pain of hell, tell me what I should
24:37 do." [laughter]
24:39 And uh Ken, you know, smiles and laughs
24:41 and says, "Uh, well, on on these terms,
24:45 you should keep it. Don't sell.
24:47 >> You should hang on to your shares."
24:48 >> So Ken started buying at $3 a share, and
24:51 by the time he was done, he bought
24:53 almost 20% of the company. His the last
24:55 few shares that he bought were at around
24:57 $9 with no float and no trading left. So
25:00 it's essentially locked at that price.
25:02 There's two plus a church shareholders
25:05 of this business.
25:06 >> And improbably
25:09 Ken going out and buying these shares
25:13 leads to Bernie and Arthur getting fired
25:17 and then founding the Home Depot,
25:19 >> which is in no way Ken's fault, but it
25:21 is crazy that this is the first domino
25:23 to tick over in that series of events.
25:25 This is how Ken Langon becomes a
25:27 co-founder of The Home Depot is he gets
25:29 his buddies Bernie and Arthur fired
25:31 accidentally.
25:32 >> Accidentally.
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27:59 I/acquired and just tell him that Ben
28:01 and David sent you. Okay, David. So, how
28:04 does Ken hoovering up all the shares
28:07 even though he's sort of become buddies
28:10 with Bernie and Arthur? How does that
28:12 lead to their ousting from Handy Dan?
28:14 >> Yes. So, Ken is essentially like de
28:18 facto board member now of Handy Dan. And
28:21 he just loves everything that the guys
28:24 are doing. He's super encouraging. He
28:26 starts flying out to the west coast and
28:28 then around the country as Bernie and
28:30 Arthur open new handy dance doors. Ken
28:33 basically becomes part of the crew,
28:36 which is uh very different than the new
28:40 Dalan CEO's approach to managing Bernie
28:44 and handy Dan
28:45 >> and quite bothersome. This guy who's the
28:47 minority shareholder is sort of like
28:50 closer with your management team than
28:51 you are,
28:52 >> right? that you consider one of your,
28:54 you know, divisions in your company,
28:55 >> right?
28:56 >> So, on one of Ken's trips out to LA,
29:00 Bernie says, "Hey, you should probably
29:01 go see our actual CEO at Dalen, a guy
29:06 named Sandy Sigalof." And uh, you know,
29:10 build a relationship with him. Now,
29:12 Sigalof, as we said, was brought in to
29:14 turn around the company out of
29:15 bankruptcy. And he's a bad dude. He's
29:19 exactly who you would imagine is the uh
29:22 bankruptcy value recovery artist here,
29:25 shall we say?
29:25 >> Yeah. Didn't he give himself a nickname?
29:27 Was it uh Ming the Merciless?
29:30 >> Yes. After the villain in the Flash
29:33 Gordon comic series, and he called
29:36 himself that because of how merciless he
29:38 was to all the uh employees of these
29:41 companies that he would slash and burn
29:43 and get rid of. So Ken realizes right
29:45 away that this Sigaloff guy is bad news,
29:48 but he's got this close to 19%
29:52 equity position in handy Dan. He's like,
29:55 "This guy can't walk all over me." All
29:58 this leads to Ben, as you predicted,
30:01 quite a lot of conflict between the two
30:02 of these characters. And finally,
30:04 Sigalof says, "All right, Ken, I want
30:06 you out of here. I want you gone. What
30:08 do I have to do to just buy back this
30:11 19% stake that you have? And Ken loves a
30:17 good game here. [laughter]
30:19 Okay, so Ken has no intention of selling
30:22 here. Let's just first say that. He he
30:24 is now in it with Bernie and Arthur. He
30:27 thinks it's a great business
30:28 >> and loyalty is his whole mo. He never
30:30 sells.
30:31 >> Yes. So Sigolof sends his lieutenant
30:34 Jeffrey Chainan to try to negotiate
30:36 something. So, this is from the book
30:38 Built from Scratch. Chainan says, "The
30:41 stock is selling for about $8 a share.
30:44 How about if we pay you 10?" "No way."
30:46 Langon says, "The price is 12." Chainan
30:50 was shocked. "Forget it." Langon left
30:52 and went to the men's room. Barely 2
30:54 minutes later, Chainan followed him in.
30:56 "Okay," he said. 12. [laughter] Jeff,
31:00 you don't understand. You offered to buy
31:02 it for 10. I said no. I offered to sell
31:05 it to you for 12. You said no. Now you
31:07 are back wanting to buy it for 12. That
31:09 offer is off the table. That is gone. We
31:12 had an offer and a denial. No deal.
31:15 Chainan goes, "What?" Ken goes, "I
31:17 suggested a price of $12 in my office,
31:19 right?" Chain nodded. And you declined.
31:22 "Well, that's it. I don't want to sell
31:24 now.
31:24 >> We're in the men's room now. Price is
31:26 different."
31:27 >> Jaden says, "You must have some price."
31:29 "Okay," Ken says. " $14."
31:32 Chad had left in such a blind rage that
31:34 he almost banged his head on the door.
31:35 About a week later, Sigalof called
31:37 Langon. Let's not mess around. He said,
31:39 "We will pay you 14." Ken goes, "Sandy,
31:42 you guys don't get it. I offered it to
31:43 you for $14." Shannon said, "No, that
31:46 offer is off the table." [laughter]
31:48 "I don't understand," Sigalof said. Ken
31:50 goes, "It's this simple. You had a
31:52 chance. You turned it down. I've
31:54 reconsidered my position. I don't want
31:55 to sell." Sigolof hung up the phone.
31:57 Matter than hell. It's like uh is it in
32:01 uh Empire Strikes Back of the
32:03 >> I am altering the deal. Pray I don't
32:05 alter it any further. Is the Darth Vader
32:07 line.
32:08 >> So this continues for a while and then
32:10 one day Bernie calls Ken or uh Kenny as
32:13 he's taken to calling him.
32:14 >> Yes.
32:15 >> He says, "Kenny, just do me a favor. Ju
32:18 just sell just sell the sickle off. He's
32:21 breathing down my neck. This situation's
32:23 getting bad. It's making my life
32:25 difficult. Just just just sell. It's
32:27 fine. business is doing great. So, this
32:29 is actually like my biggest headache.
32:31 >> Yep. And Ken says, "Bernie, what are you
32:33 talking about? Don't you understand?
32:35 Like, I am the only thing that is
32:37 protecting you from Sigleoff. If I sell,
32:40 he's going to turn around and fire your
32:41 ass. He can't stand to see you being
32:44 successful and getting credit for any
32:46 success at Dalon. You know, that's not
32:48 him." Bernie, though, again, he's like
32:50 surprisingly trusting about this stuff.
32:53 He says, "No, no, no, no. Sandy needs
32:55 me. I'm the only thing propping up the
32:57 company. I'm a big boy. I can handle
33:00 him. Please just sell. Make my life
33:02 easier. And it's uh it's funny. I think
33:05 it's actually this trusting nature of
33:08 Bernie. Even though he's got sort of a
33:10 rough exterior that makes him a great
33:12 leader and then later on in Home Depot
33:15 inspires such loyalty. He puts so much
33:18 trust in other people which steers him
33:19 wrong sometimes, but it makes other
33:21 people wholly trust him.
33:24 >> Yep. So Ken says, "All right, Bernie,
33:26 I'll do it, but just know it's your own
33:28 death warrant that I'm signing." And in
33:30 early 1978, Ken sells to Sigalof. And
33:35 this, I think, is basically the one time
33:38 that he sells out of a company that he's
33:40 invested in.
33:41 >> But David, how much does he sell for?
33:43 >> Well, even though he's going to sell,
33:45 Ken is no pushover here. He sells for
33:48 2550
33:50 a share that he started buying at three.
33:53 Do you know over what period of time?
33:55 >> I think it was only about two years this
33:57 whole saga
33:58 >> from $3 I his average entry price was
34:00 probably I don't know $56.
34:02 >> Yeah. 56 whatever
34:03 >> up to 2550 to sell. And the story is
34:05 great where the Sigalof finally calls
34:07 and says all right let's just do this on
34:09 the phone. You name your price I will
34:11 buy it at that price. And Ken goes 2550.
34:14 And he goes why the odd number? And Ken
34:16 goes well it doesn't look like we had
34:18 some real hard bargaining here.
34:19 [laughter]
34:21 >> So good. So good.
34:23 So January 1978, Sigalof buys Ken's
34:27 shares and now owns just about 100% of
34:31 the company except for the uh Catholic
34:33 Church in Brooklyn.
34:34 >> Yep. And then just as predicted
34:36 >> Yep. Just as predicted, three months
34:39 later, Sigalof fires Bernie and Arthur
34:45 and the audit manager at Handyan, a guy
34:49 named Ron Bril. The reason that Ron gets
34:51 fired too is the pretense that Sigalof
34:55 trumps up is an accusation that the
34:58 three of them had violated national
35:01 labor relations rules in negotiating
35:03 with unions. Signal off starts a labor
35:08 relations investigation against his own
35:11 company to trump up the excuse to fire
35:14 them. That is how bad a dude this guy
35:16 was.
35:16 >> Yeah. And really what was happening here
35:18 is Sigelof, I think, couldn't do this
35:21 while there was still a large outside
35:22 shareholder who would have disagreed
35:25 with that decision. But now that he owns
35:27 basically the whole company, he's like,
35:28 "Great, I I want to consolidate power. I
35:31 need to be the guy here."
35:32 >> Yep. So, famously in Home Depot lore,
35:36 the next day after the firing, Bernie
35:39 flies out to New York to come see Ken.
35:41 Kenny. They sit down to breakfast
35:44 together at Peacock Alley in the Waldorf
35:47 Histori Hotel.
35:49 >> This is April 1978.
35:51 >> Yep. And Bernie is just losing it. He's
35:54 freaking out. He's like, "Kenny, this is
35:56 terrible. I'm 48 years old. I don't have
36:00 any savings. I didn't have any equity. I
36:02 can't support my family. Sy's coming
36:05 after me with this labor relations case.
36:07 I don't know. I might go to jail. What
36:10 am I going to do?" And Ken says,
36:12 "Bernney, relax. You just got kicked in
36:15 the ass with a golden horseshoe."
36:17 [laughter]
36:20 That's a verbatim quote, by the way,
36:22 because now we're going to go start that
36:24 company that you told me about. So,
36:26 listeners, we haven't revealed yet that
36:28 in this Fast and Furious period, a few
36:30 months before, they had had a
36:32 conversation when Ken was flying around
36:34 going to all these store openings, when
36:36 Bernie is opening a handy Dan in, I
36:39 think it was Houston, Texas. Yep.
36:41 Houston, Texas.
36:42 >> And Bernie should have been all, you
36:45 know, excited about this. This is the
36:47 best version of the story yet. And he's
36:49 looking at Ken and Ken's like, "Why are
36:51 you melancholy right now?" And Bernie
36:54 says, "Because
36:55 someone's going to put us out of
36:57 business. I have in my head the idea of
37:00 the perfect home improvement store, and
37:02 this isn't it." And it's just a matter
37:04 of time till someone does it and it's
37:07 going to destroy this store because it's
37:09 just a structurally better business
37:11 model, better idea, better thing for
37:13 customers. So, you know, this is fine.
37:16 But, and Ken's like, "Well, tell me."
37:19 And and Bernie is is has started to
37:21 learn a little bit. He's like, "Well,
37:22 well, if I tell you, then you know, and
37:24 right now only I know. So, I'm actually
37:26 I'm gonna I'm gonna hold on to it." And
37:28 Ken's like, "No, come on, dude. Tell
37:29 me." And so now Ken knows the idea too.
37:33 >> The reason that Bernie's so been out of
37:36 shape about this is he just been down to
37:40 visit one of his buddies, another retail
37:44 guy down in San Diego.
37:47 Goes by the name of Saul Price. That
37:50 Saul Price
37:51 >> of Price Club and then what would
37:53 eventually become Costco.
37:54 >> Yep. Yep. Yep. And Bernie spills the
37:57 beans to Ken and he says, "Well, I went
37:59 to see Saul and he's got this new uh
38:02 store concept that he's launching down
38:04 there in San Diego." And I'm telling
38:06 you, man, it's going to revolutionize
38:08 the whole retail industry. It's just a
38:11 matter of time before somebody brings
38:14 Saul's concept to hardware, puts us out
38:17 of business to all sorts of other
38:20 categories. We're all going the way of
38:22 the dinosaur. He's calling this thing
38:25 Price Club. And the idea is warehouses.
38:31 The warehouse
38:33 is the store. [laughter]
38:36 Customers
38:37 come in and shop the warehouse. So
38:41 there's no back room. All the square
38:44 footage that we're paying money on on
38:46 our lease is shoppable square footage.
38:49 >> Yep. And even more than that, there's no
38:53 distributors or wholesalers or anything.
38:56 Price Club is the wholesaler. They're
38:58 buying the goods directly from the
39:00 manufacturers at wholesale pricing and
39:03 then marketing it up just a little bit,
39:05 selling it to consumers. This is blowing
39:08 everybody else in San Diego out of the
39:10 water.
39:11 >> They're not even paying people to walk
39:12 around and put the labels out. I mean,
39:15 it's literally just people coming in to
39:18 the warehouse and buying stuff right off
39:21 the pallet. There's like no cost in this
39:24 business.
39:24 >> Yep. And there's no reason why it
39:26 shouldn't work just as well in hardware.
39:28 And someday soon, somebody's going to
39:30 see Price Club. They're going to do this
39:32 for hardware and we're going to be out
39:33 of business. So, [laughter]
39:35 cut back a couple months later here to
39:37 breakfast at the Waldorf Histori in New
39:39 York. Ken's like, "Bernie,
39:42 you getting fired is the opportunity of
39:44 a lifetime for both of us. You, me,
39:47 Arthur, let's bring Ron along, too.
39:50 We're gonna go start that company. We
39:52 got the golden horseshoe here."
39:53 >> Yep.
39:54 >> So Bernie's excited, but he says, "Well,
39:56 there's one problem. What about the
39:58 money?" Arthur and I don't have any. And
40:02 this isn't a handy dandy concept here.
40:04 We're talking about a warehouse, but
40:06 also a lot of stuff that we got to put
40:08 in it. And yeah,
40:09 >> this isn't Price Club. We're not selling
40:11 toilet paper and water bottles. We're
40:13 selling expensive stuff like power tools
40:16 and lumber. We need a lot of capital to
40:19 put into this thing.
40:20 >> Yeah. Bernie and Arthur had gone away,
40:22 done a little work, sketched out what
40:23 the economics could be, and they
40:25 realized even the best handy Dan did
40:27 about 3 million in annual revenue. I
40:29 think these stores can do 7 8 9 million
40:32 in revenue. And we're not just going to
40:35 stock like 8,000 items. We're going to
40:36 stock 25,000 items. It's not a 10,000 ft
40:41 store like Lowe's or Handy Dan. This is
40:43 going to be like a 60,000 ft store. I
40:45 mean, we need capital to make this
40:48 happen.
40:48 >> Yep. So, Ken says, "Don't worry about
40:51 the money. That's my job. I got it
40:52 covered." More on that in a sec. So,
40:56 Bernie's he's in. He says, "Oh, okay.
40:58 But I there's someone I need to go talk
41:00 to first. I need to go back down to San
41:03 Diego and see Saul."
41:04 >> Yep. Bernie goes back down to San Diego.
41:08 He sits down. He has dinner with Saul.
41:09 He explains the whole situation, the
41:11 firing from Handy Dan, the labor
41:14 relations suit from Sigalof, etc., etc.
41:17 Saul listens to all of it. He says,
41:19 "Bernie, do you think you're talented?"
41:22 And Bernie says, "Yes, I think I'm
41:24 talented. I did a great job at
41:25 handdyan." Saul says, "Do you think you
41:28 have the ability to build something, to
41:29 create something, to do this on your
41:32 own?" Bernie says, "Yeah, yeah. I think
41:34 this could be really successful." Saul
41:37 says, "Then tells Sigoff to go f himself
41:40 and just do this thing." And so with
41:43 Saul's blessing, Bernie's in. And this
41:46 is kind of important to keep Saul Price
41:48 in the loop because Bernie is trying to
41:50 ascertain, are you also going to
41:53 meaningfully add home improvement to
41:55 your concept here? I mean, it's it's an
41:57 eerily similar thing. they they would
41:59 diverge over time and we'll talk about
42:00 all the differences, but the pitch is
42:03 customers are going to love it because
42:04 we're going to have the lowest prices.
42:05 We're only going to make a 30% gross
42:07 margin instead of what's industry
42:09 standard in hardware retail at that
42:11 time, 45%. It's going to be a little bit
42:14 different than Price Club in that they
42:16 actually think they're going to have the
42:17 best selection. We're have tons and tons
42:19 of SKs.
42:20 >> We're going to have tons of SKs versus
42:21 Price Club and Costco's famous low skew
42:23 count.
42:23 >> We're going to have the the best
42:24 selection. I mean, Bernie thinks that is
42:26 essential to making this model work
42:28 because it has to be a one-stop shop for
42:31 any job that you want to get done. You
42:33 don't want to go to the outdoor lawn and
42:36 garden store and over to the lumber yard
42:38 and the tool store, etc., etc. Yeah.
42:41 Being a warehouse unlocks [snorts]
42:43 putting all this stuff together under
42:45 one roof for the first time.
42:46 >> But it is different than the Price Club
42:49 model of only having 4,000 items.
42:52 They're gonna have to have 25,000 SKs in
42:56 these warehouses and work with tons and
42:58 tons of suppliers to make good on the
43:01 promise that if you're doing something,
43:03 it is the all-in-one place to shop for
43:05 the job that you're getting done. And
43:07 there is one other big difference, too.
43:10 People know how to buy toilet paper and
43:12 how to use toilet paper.
43:13 >> They know how to buy a big jar of nuts
43:15 and eat a big jar of nuts. They don't
43:18 know how to build a deck.
43:19 >> Yep. They don't know how to install
43:22 blinds. They don't know how to put in a
43:24 floor. You need real expertise on the
43:28 floor to make that happen.
43:30 >> Yep.
43:31 >> So, we already can kind of see there's
43:33 two giant differences that I think
43:35 Bernie is just trying to check on and
43:37 say you're not doing this right because
43:39 Price Club actually isn't set up to have
43:41 an army of people with expertise and
43:44 carry tons and tons of SKs. Yeah, I
43:46 think Bernie both really did need the
43:48 pep talk from Saul and he also wanted to
43:52 make sure
43:53 >> Yeah,
43:53 >> Saul wasn't gonna do this, too.
43:55 >> Yeah.
43:55 >> All right, so back to the money. So, who
43:57 does Kenny know who has a lot of money
44:01 and a lot of liquidity and is also just
44:03 crazy enough to back a new retail
44:06 concept here in the 70s with all this
44:10 inflation and interest rates at 20%. And
44:12 listeners, this is the part of the
44:14 episode where we tell the story of how
44:16 Ross Perau almost owned the majority of
44:19 Home Depot.
44:20 >> Yeah. 70% of Home Depot because Ken
44:22 flies everybody to Dallas. They meet
44:25 with Ross and they hammer out a deal for
44:29 Perau to put up the money for what would
44:31 become Home Depot.
44:32 >> $2 million.
44:33 >> $2 million in return for 70% of the
44:37 company.
44:39 Except at the last minute, Bernie blows
44:42 up the deal. He and Ross get into this
44:44 big fight over management style and
44:46 management philosophy and and ultimately
44:48 the sticking point, you can't make this
44:50 up. It's all in built from scratch, is
44:53 the car that Bernie drives, he drives an
44:58 old Cadillac,
44:59 >> which was actually his Cadillac from
45:00 Handy Dan. That was his company car
45:03 there that somehow in the separation he
45:05 managed to keep. But like old. This is
45:08 not a expensive new, you know, fancy
45:11 Cadillac. This is an old fancy Cadillac.
45:13 >> And Perau says, "Hey, well, this is
45:16 important to me. My guys, my guys here
45:18 at EDS, they don't drive Cadillacs. They
45:20 only drive Chevrolets. We're scrupulous
45:22 here about our costs." And Bernie's
45:25 like, "Cost? What are you talking about?
45:27 This is old Cadillac."
45:28 >> Right. Practically, pragmatically, this
45:29 is actually exactly in line with your
45:32 ethos.
45:32 >> Yep. And uh Ross is like, "No, no, it's
45:34 the principle of the thing."
45:35 >> And it's a sticking point of two things.
45:37 One, Bernie's like, "No, we should be
45:39 pragmatists. We shouldn't follow some
45:40 dumb virtue signaling thing." But two,
45:44 you're treating this like this is a
45:47 division of your company, isn't it?
45:48 >> Exactly. You're treating me like an
45:50 employee again.
45:51 >> This is our company. You're the
45:52 financeier.
45:54 Uh, this doesn't feel right.
45:56 >> Yep. So, he blows up the deal. And this
46:01 might be the most expensive disagreement
46:05 in all of business history.
46:08 >> Let's see. I'll do the math here live on
46:10 air. So 70%
46:13 of a market cap of 350 billion. Yep.
46:17 >> They did a ton of dilution along the
46:18 way, but then counteracted it with a ton
46:20 of buybacks after that. It ends up being
46:23 that the original seed investors in Home
46:26 Depot today, if they held all the way
46:28 through, would have had about 91% of
46:31 their original percentage of the
46:33 company. Yep.
46:34 >> So Ross Perau insisting on a Cadillac
46:38 cost him $223
46:40 billion,
46:42 [laughter]
46:42 >> assuming he held. Assuming he would have
46:44 held,
46:45 >> right, which uh Ken did, by the way.
46:47 Still holds all of his shares. Yeah, you
46:49 didn't miss hear Ben there. Uh 230
46:53 billion. That's with a B dollars.
46:56 Oh man.
46:58 >> So they're screwed, right? I mean,
47:00 there's not a lot of places to find the
47:02 capital. This thing requires a ton of
47:04 money to get off the ground.
47:06 >> Yeah. For ordinary people. But uh they
47:08 got Ken Langon here, the greatest
47:10 investment banker of all time. So he
47:12 says, "Nah, yeah, no, no big deal. You
47:15 know, I get it. You know, that that was
47:16 pretty heavy-handed of Ross. I'll just
47:18 go round up a bunch of other investors
47:21 instead and we'll put a syndicate
47:22 together. And um all right, let's
47:25 rewrite the deal for this. Rather than
47:28 the investors getting 70%, let's give
47:30 them 50% this time. And Arthur looks at
47:34 him and he's like, "Wait, you mean we're
47:37 going to get a better deal by walking
47:39 away from Ross Perau?" To which Ken
47:42 replies, "Arthur, in the retail
47:44 business, when you can't sell something,
47:45 you mark it down. In my business, when
47:48 we can't sell something, we [laughter]
47:49 mark it up.
47:52 So great, [gasps]
47:54 >> which is a little facicious. I in my
47:58 mind, what happened here is when you're
47:59 negotiating with one counterparty that's
48:01 coming in for all the capital,
48:03 >> they have leverage.
48:04 >> They have leverage. But Ken goes out and
48:06 he finds 40 individual people.
48:08 >> Yep. To put in $50,000 chunks.
48:11 >> Yeah. And so Ken basically writes the
48:13 term sheet and then just just going
48:14 around all these people and saying, "Do
48:16 you want to be in on these terms?" It's
48:17 kind of the if you're a venture investor
48:19 or you're a startup, it's the difference
48:21 between you writing your own terms for
48:23 the safe and writing in the number of
48:25 the valuation and then just having
48:27 people pile in on that number versus the
48:29 lead investor coming in with a priced
48:31 round. They get to dictate the number
48:33 and that number is usually
48:35 >> not as friendly to you. Yeah. As uh as
48:37 the number that you write on your own
48:38 safe.
48:39 >> Yeah. It's still a great line though.
48:41 It's a great line.
48:42 >> Totally sums up Kenny. All right, so Ken
48:45 gets the money. They all get back
48:47 together in LA and they get to work.
48:48 >> And the way the cap table breaks down
48:50 now is the investors own 50%. Ken gets
48:54 5% in exchange for, you know, putting
48:57 this deal together, finding the capital,
48:58 and I think he put in something like
49:00 100k of his own.
49:01 >> Yep. He put in 100k.
49:02 >> And then Arthur, Birdie, the rest of the
49:05 management team would get 45%. And at
49:08 this point, the the founders of the Home
49:10 Depot are set. It's Bernie, Arthur, and
49:12 Ken
49:14 >> for the moment.
49:15 >> Yes, they are missing uh one superpower
49:19 that you need in a Avengers of Retail
49:22 team.
49:23 >> Yes. Yes. Well, let's get to that. So,
49:26 Bernie and Arthur go back to LA and they
49:30 get to work. And the first question is,
49:33 all right, where are we going to put the
49:34 first store, the first warehouse? And
49:38 you know, as we talked about, warehouses
49:39 are expensive. LA isn't great because
49:43 real estate is super expensive. There
49:45 not a lot of empty warehouses lying
49:46 around. And also, Handy Dan is still
49:49 there. Handy is still the best operator
49:51 in the industry.
49:53 Maybe not great if we start in our
49:56 previous backyard here. We should go
49:57 somewhere else in the country. So, they
49:59 start scouting around looking for other
50:00 cities to go to. Before they can decide
50:04 on a location though, while they're
50:06 still in LA, they get wind that someone
50:10 else has beat them to the punch, has
50:13 been down to San Diego, seen Price Club,
50:16 and has gone out and started Price Club
50:19 for hardware for home improvement. And
50:22 it's right there in LA. It's a store
50:24 called Homeco. And it's run by this wild
50:27 man named Pat Farah. So Bernie and
50:30 Arthur, they go to see the store. They
50:32 walk in and
50:33 >> it's the exact vision that Bernie had.
50:37 >> Yep. It's 130,000 square foot warehouse,
50:40 >> which is way bigger.
50:42 >> It's not even Home Depot then. It's Home
50:43 Depot today,
50:44 >> right? It's way bigger than those early
50:45 Home Depots that would open that were
50:47 like 60 65,000 ft.
50:48 >> Yep. It's got every hardware and home
50:51 improvement item that you can imagine
50:54 piled up high to the ceilings and priced
50:58 cheaper than consumers had ever seen it
51:00 before. In uh retail parliament, the
51:03 strategy here is known as stack them
51:05 high, watch them fly.
51:07 >> I mean, it's a bonanza. The consumers
51:09 walk in and they're like, "Holy,
51:11 this is crazy. This is fun." It's like
51:13 our Walmart episode where they were
51:14 doing crazy stunts in the parking lot.
51:18 Yes. the feeding frenzy.
51:19 >> Yes.
51:20 >> So Bernie and Arthur call up Ken. They
51:22 say, "Hey, I know this isn't the plan,
51:24 but we already found this thing fully
51:27 baked right here in LA. Fly out. Let's
51:30 the three of us go talk to this guy Pat
51:32 and see if we can just buy it from him.
51:35 Buy the store. Buy Homeco." So Ken flies
51:38 in, and I'm just going to read Bernie's
51:40 description of what happens next here.
51:44 Pat, the Homeco, you know, owner
51:46 operator here, was an hour late getting
51:48 to his own store. When he finally showed
51:51 up, the wild man with the huge afro
51:54 haircut was wearing a powder blue velvet
51:57 leisure suit that was one size too small
51:59 for him. His ass stuck out the back of
52:02 his pants. His shirt was unbuttoned
52:04 halfway down his chest, and he displayed
52:06 a variety of gold chains and a big old
52:08 gold watch. Kenny shot Arthur a look
52:11 that said, "Is this your idea of a
52:13 joke?" But Pat Farah is one of the most
52:16 creative people any of us had ever met.
52:19 Pat is to retailing what Michelangelo
52:23 was to art. [laughter] At least that's
52:24 what Ken said by the time the meeting
52:26 ended. Or the way I've heard Ken
52:28 describe this is uh Pat was crazier than
52:31 a bed bug, but he was a genius.
52:34 >> I mean, crazy, yes, but this is the
52:36 missing piece of the puzzle. You've got
52:38 Bernie the retailer, Arthur finance and
52:41 operations, Ken finds the money and as
52:43 sort of the spiritual glue holding this
52:45 team together, but they don't yet have
52:49 the genius merchandiser who is going
52:52 around suppliers figuring out what the
52:55 best stuff you can get from them at the
52:57 best terms. Having a crazy nose for what
53:01 consumers want and making sure to find
53:04 those items from the suppliers. cleverly
53:06 figuring out how to display it. Yes. And
53:08 and what the pricing and packaging looks
53:11 like to whip consumers up into a buying
53:14 frenzy.
53:14 >> You got to create heat in the store.
53:16 >> Yes. Yes. This is all of the universe of
53:19 Pat.
53:19 >> All Pat. And uh Oh, man. There's so many
53:22 legends about Pat, including driving
53:24 forklifts through walls, etc., etc.,
53:27 etc.
53:28 >> Yeah. Wasn't that like they they wanted
53:29 to tear down a wall, but they couldn't
53:30 get a permit. And so Pat just drove a
53:33 forklift into it. And when the inspector
53:34 came out, he said, "I don't know.
53:36 Someone just it was an accident, but we
53:39 definitely got to take out this wall
53:40 now."
53:40 >> Yep. So, despite the uh, you know,
53:44 reservations about Pat's character, they
53:46 sign an LOI, letter of intent to buy
53:50 Homeco from Pat with this new wellunded
53:53 company that Bernie and Arthur and
53:56 >> wellunded. They got $2 million. That's
53:58 not nearly enough to do anything that
53:59 they I mean, they're operating on a
54:01 shoestring budget here, but I'll come
54:02 back to that.
54:03 >> Yes. Yes. So, they start digging in on
54:05 due diligence on Homeco and they
54:08 discover that while Pat is a genius, all
54:11 the revenue, all the sales, all the
54:13 customer demand, it's all real, the
54:16 store itself is actually insolvent
54:21 because Pat has not been paying any of
54:24 his suppliers.
54:25 >> Pat needs an Arthur.
54:26 >> Yes. Yes, he does. He has just been
54:30 ignoring the invoices that the suppliers
54:33 were sending him, you know, 30, 60, 90
54:35 days later.
54:36 >> I mean, that sounds malicious. I get the
54:38 sense a lot of what he was doing was
54:39 incompetence. Yes. Not
54:41 >> No, he he Yeah. Yes. It wasn't that he
54:43 was trying to steal the money. It was
54:44 that he genuinely didn't know how to
54:47 operate a business. He's like, I just go
54:49 go get the stuff and then I sell it.
54:51 >> And they bring in as a part of the due
54:52 diligence on this auditors to look at,
54:54 hey, did are these financial statements
54:57 correct? And the auditors determine,
54:59 "No, the margins at this store are not
55:01 anywhere near what this owner thinks the
55:02 margins are." And Bernie and crew have
55:05 to break this news to Pat. And Pat's
55:09 like distraught. He's like, "What do you
55:10 What do you mean I this thing's going to
55:12 run out of cash in the next few months?
55:14 I'm doing great." And they're like,
55:15 "You're you're not doing great, man."
55:18 >> Yep. But God bless him. And this is
55:20 Bernie's trusting nature and optimism.
55:23 They say, "Okay, we're not going to buy
55:25 Homeco. You're gonna go bankrupt, but we
55:28 got to get you on the team. You are
55:31 special.
55:32 After you file for bankruptcy, we want
55:35 you to come in and join us as our fourth
55:38 full co-founder here, and you're going
55:40 to handle merchandising. We're going to
55:43 take care of finances and operations.
55:44 You're not going to go anywhere near
55:45 that, [laughter] but you are going to
55:48 come in, you're going to stack them
55:49 high, and we're all going to watch them
55:51 fly.
55:51 >> Yep. So, I mentioned 2 million is not
55:54 that much capital. they have to start
55:56 getting really creative as they're
55:59 thinking about the first store to make
56:01 the business work on that. So it it kind
56:03 of has two things it forces. One, they
56:06 got to get the longest possible
56:08 financing terms from suppliers.
56:10 >> Yep.
56:11 >> So, you know, once the goods arrive at
56:13 the store, it's like a ticking clock to
56:15 make sure that they can move these
56:17 goods. So, they don't want them arriving
56:18 anywhere, you know, other than the day
56:20 before opening day. Two, they have to
56:23 try to turn their inventory as fast as
56:25 possible so they can get as much cash in
56:27 the door from customers to pay the
56:29 suppliers when the bills came due. This
56:32 is what Pat was not doing. So, this
56:34 resulted in about half of the Home
56:36 Depot's inventory at any given time
56:39 actually being financed by the
56:40 suppliers, which is still true today.
56:43 Yep.
56:44 >> Just based on payment terms because they
56:45 can sell about half the items before
56:47 they have to owe those dollars to the
56:50 manufacturers. two, they realized they
56:53 couldn't afford to extend payment terms
56:55 to their customers. Now, they were
56:57 already thinking this way, but what it
56:58 did mean is they had to focus on retail
57:00 customers like consumers who would just
57:03 pay cash or, you know, credit cards when
57:05 they're buying an item so that Home
57:06 Depot could get money right away versus
57:10 businesses
57:11 >> because the expectation with a business
57:13 is I I get credit at your store. They
57:15 don't have the ability to offer credit
57:16 at the store. So, it's like, sure, if
57:18 you're like a little proc contractor and
57:20 you're expecting to pay in cash, we can
57:22 deal with you, but we can't really deal
57:24 with big businesses. So, they just have
57:26 to be generally very scrappy in every
57:29 area of their business to get kind of
57:31 the most bang for their limited bucks,
57:34 especially in the early days. Yep. Yep.
57:37 And thus, the founding team, the
57:39 Avengers of Retail, is complete. They're
57:42 all assembled.
57:44 Bernie, Arthur, Ken, Pat. There's just a
57:49 couple more things they need. You know,
57:50 like a actual location
57:54 and a name. But before we tell those
57:56 stories, now is a great time to thank
58:00 one of our favorite companies, Work OS.
58:03 Yes. So listeners, there's this decision
58:06 that every company faces once you find
58:08 product market fit and you start
58:10 scaling. What do you do next? One big
58:12 answer is move up market and find your
58:15 first enterprise customers. Actually,
58:16 it's funny the way this fits into Home
58:18 Depot is going after the first pros, not
58:21 just these consumer customers.
58:22 >> Yep. And today, the way you do that is
58:25 work OS. They make it easy to add all
58:28 the things that enterprise customers
58:30 require. Single sign on, skim,
58:32 permissions, audit logs, all with simple
58:35 drop-in APIs. And this matters even more
58:37 in the AI era where products need deep
58:40 access to sensitive data to be
58:42 impactful. But there's a new twist. It's
58:44 not just your customers employees who
58:46 need to get into your app anymore. It's
58:48 their agents.
58:51 Which actually is a very Home Depot
58:53 problem. About half of what Home Depot
58:56 sells goes to a procontractor who is
58:59 buying on behalf of a homeowner. It's
59:02 someone else's money for someone else's
59:04 kitchen that you're building. and the
59:06 scope of work that the pro and their end
59:08 customer agree to.
59:09 >> Yep. Agents are like the pros of
59:12 software. They log in and take actions
59:13 on behalf of the people who deploy them.
59:15 Except the way most teams wire them up
59:18 today is a shared API key or a borrowed
59:21 human session, even worse. This is like
59:24 handing your contractor a credit card
59:26 and your house keys and just hoping a
59:28 house comes out the other side
59:30 [laughter]
59:30 >> or my new bathroom or Yeah.
59:33 Authentication used to just mean proving
59:35 that you are you. Now it means proving
59:37 that your agent is allowed to do this
59:40 specific thing as you right now with
59:43 limits. And that is what work OS has
59:46 built the whole stack for. So their new
59:47 system works airlock doesn't just check
59:50 which tools an agent can call. It checks
59:52 the user's original intent so that the
59:54 agent that you sent in to redo the
59:56 kitchen doesn't decide to take out a
59:58 loadbearing wall in the dining room.
1:00:00 which you know permissions tell you what
1:00:02 an agent can do. Work OS airlock checks
1:00:05 it was actually asked to do it. Turns
1:00:08 out those are very different questions.
1:00:10 Getting agent identity right is how you
1:00:12 get in the door with enterprises. Now it
1:00:14 is why OpenAI cursor perplexity and
1:00:16 friends of the show at Sierra and
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1:00:20 AI startups build on work OS. You can
1:00:23 learn more at workos.com and just tell
1:00:25 them that Ben and David sent you. All
1:00:28 right. So, how is this company born in
1:00:31 Atlanta? So far, we've been talking
1:00:32 about California.
1:00:33 >> So, after the uh Homeco interlude and
1:00:36 bringing Pat on the team,
1:00:38 >> who by the way, we should say all those
1:00:40 investors who lost money, Pat felt so
1:00:42 bad that later on, he would give them
1:00:45 shares of his Home Depot stock
1:00:47 equivalent to the value that they had
1:00:50 lost in his first venture to make them
1:00:52 whole. And, you know, if they held, that
1:00:54 would be giant amounts of wealth for
1:00:56 them.
1:00:56 >> Very, very long. They held. Yes.
1:00:59 >> So pretty quickly they all decide on
1:01:02 Atlanta as you said, Ben, for two
1:01:05 reasons. So one, the demographics of the
1:01:08 Southeast are good, promising. It's
1:01:11 poised for lots of suburban expansion,
1:01:14 even despite the tough climate of the
1:01:16 70s. But unlike California and the
1:01:19 Northeast, which are already built up,
1:01:22 good real estate locations are still
1:01:25 pretty cheap and available there,
1:01:28 >> which leads us into the second reason
1:01:30 they choose Atlanta. Speaking of good
1:01:33 real estate locations, they end up
1:01:36 getting a sweetheart deal from JC
1:01:39 Penney, you know, like the big national
1:01:42 department store chain.
1:01:43 >> Yep. to subleasase a couple of their
1:01:47 locations in Atlanta. J Penney had
1:01:51 started a Kmart Copycat subsidiary.
1:01:55 >> Is that what Treasure Island was? I was
1:01:57 trying to Kmart Copycat. Yep.
1:01:59 >> Ah.
1:02:00 >> Yep. And it was in the southeast and it
1:02:02 was called Treasure Island. And they had
1:02:04 great locations. I mean J. C. Penney was
1:02:06 like a big company, big national
1:02:08 retailer, had a great real estate team,
1:02:10 but the Treasure Island subsidiary
1:02:13 wasn't working and it was failing. So
1:02:15 they offer these crazy hardware startup
1:02:18 guys four of the Treasure Island
1:02:21 locations in the Atlanta suburbs
1:02:24 >> as a subleasase, right?
1:02:26 >> Yep. As a subleasase. Yep. At least a
1:02:28 start. So Bernie, Arthur, and Pat, they
1:02:30 all pack up their families, they move to
1:02:31 Atlanta, but now they really need a
1:02:34 name. They've got the locations. They
1:02:36 could open these stores. So, they hire a
1:02:39 marketing consultant who comes up with a
1:02:41 with a great idea. Can't wait to present
1:02:43 it to the team.
1:02:45 Bad Bernie's buildall. It's a
1:02:49 literative. Get it? Like, it's awesome.
1:02:51 You're Bernie. You're bad Bernie. And
1:02:53 we're going to have all this, you know,
1:02:55 advertising that's going to be you
1:02:56 behind bars in jail. Like, they put me
1:02:58 in jail for these prices. They're too
1:03:00 good.
1:03:00 >> Is that what the shtick was? I
1:03:02 >> That was what the shtick was going to
1:03:03 be. could not figure out why they would
1:03:06 want to call it bad Bernie.
1:03:07 >> Yeah.
1:03:08 >> Oh, that is awful.
1:03:09 >> It's like he must be a crook because
1:03:10 these prices are too low. [laughter]
1:03:14 >> Which of course is exactly what the loan
1:03:16 officer wants to hear at the bank when
1:03:17 you're I mean, speaking of being
1:03:20 scrappy, they're just constantly going
1:03:22 to lenders and trying to get capital so
1:03:25 that they can buy inventory, but they're
1:03:28 just trying to get loans so they can run
1:03:31 the business.
1:03:32 >> Yep. [laughter]
1:03:33 So obviously bad Bernie's build all is
1:03:37 uh not going to cut it. So Ken goes to
1:03:40 the investor group that he put together
1:03:42 to solicit ideas and the wife of one of
1:03:47 the investors suggests the Home Depot
1:03:51 and it sticks. Now none of the guys ever
1:03:56 wrote about this so I don't know if this
1:03:59 was part of the process or not. I don't
1:04:01 know if it was intentional or not, but
1:04:03 uh what are the initials of Home Depot
1:04:08 >> and the stock ticker today?
1:04:09 >> And the stock ticker. Yeah. HD. Where
1:04:13 did they get fired from by Santi
1:04:15 Stigeloff? Handy Dan HD. [laughter]
1:04:18 Nice little uh
1:04:20 >> tweak, shall we say? A little nod. Yeah,
1:04:22 let's let's put it in the positive spin.
1:04:24 Little nod.
1:04:24 >> Yes.
1:04:26 Turns out though, the consultant who
1:04:27 came up with Bad Bernie's buildall
1:04:30 wasn't a total waste because he's the
1:04:33 one who suggests that they adopt the
1:04:36 color orange as their company color
1:04:39 because it would stand out. And because
1:04:41 Ben, like you're saying, they're trying
1:04:42 to be so cheap.
1:04:44 >> They could buy circus tent material like
1:04:48 canvas for orange circus tents and use
1:04:51 it as their signage and save money on
1:04:52 that. And that's how orange became the
1:04:55 Home Depot color. Perfect.
1:04:57 >> Which is totally brilliant. I mean,
1:04:59 >> it's distinctive.
1:04:59 >> Orange apron stands out. It's
1:05:01 distinctive. It's great.
1:05:02 >> Yep.
1:05:02 >> So, that leads right into the opening of
1:05:05 the first two Home Depots in Atlanta on
1:05:10 June 22nd, 1979.
1:05:13 They opened two stores same day. And
1:05:16 this all happened like pretty fast. This
1:05:19 is just over one year from when Bernie
1:05:22 and Arthur and Ron get fired from Handy
1:05:26 Dan.
1:05:26 >> And it is obvious that it happened fast
1:05:29 when you look at some of these pictures.
1:05:31 Listeners, we'll we'll put some in the
1:05:32 email. It's very clearly a big hardware
1:05:37 store operating inside of a Kmart. I
1:05:40 mean, it it looks like that. They they
1:05:43 describe the concept in all the books
1:05:45 they've written and all these accounts
1:05:47 of of early Home Depot as this vast
1:05:49 warehouse with tall ceilings and
1:05:51 merchandise piled to the ceiling.
1:05:53 >> But the early pictures are I swear
1:05:57 Kmarts or or even kind of J C Penney.
1:05:59 Like it's pretty low ceilings. The racks
1:06:02 that things are on are are like standard
1:06:07 Kmart style racks. It's it's nothing
1:06:10 like the Home Depot that you know of
1:06:11 today. The floors are this sort of like
1:06:13 lenolium type floors. And so yeah,
1:06:16 they're uh they're selling table saws
1:06:19 and hammers and lumber out of uh
1:06:23 discount
1:06:24 >> Kmart knockoff. Yeah.
1:06:25 >> Kmart knockoff, right? Second use real
1:06:27 estate.
1:06:27 >> Yep. Yep. Yep. There's some uh pretty
1:06:31 fun legends around all this around the
1:06:33 first store openings. The first of which
1:06:35 is that they decide they're going to go
1:06:38 big, blow a lot of the budget on a huge
1:06:43 newspaper ad in the weekend paper that
1:06:47 week to, you know, really drive how you
1:06:49 want to drive homeowners to your store.
1:06:51 Well, weekend newspaper delivery highly
1:06:54 correlated with home ownership,
1:06:56 >> which is why they did four stores, I
1:06:59 mean two right now, but then quickly two
1:07:00 more in one metro because they wanted to
1:07:04 much like our Trader Joe's episode
1:07:06 amortize the cost of their advertising.
1:07:08 If you blitz one local geography's
1:07:12 radio, TV, newspapers,
1:07:16 then you can kind of like justify the
1:07:18 cost of all of that marketing expense if
1:07:20 you have stores in different zip codes
1:07:22 around the city that can all benefit
1:07:24 from that same marketing. And this is
1:07:26 actually the playbook that they would
1:07:27 run for the next 45 years is open in one
1:07:31 city, saturate that city, become number
1:07:33 one, and then move to the next city.
1:07:35 Don't like sprinkle some stores here and
1:07:38 there. No. Go into a city with force.
1:07:40 >> Yep. Yep. Yep. So, all this sounds good
1:07:43 on paper except there's a mixup and the
1:07:46 newspaper ad doesn't run. So, they got
1:07:49 >> Whoops. Nobody knows about these stores
1:07:51 opening. Instead, Bernie and the store
1:07:55 associates, like the the retail workers
1:07:57 on on the floor in the in the stores,
1:07:59 they go out into the parking lots of the
1:08:02 two stores with a bunch of signs
1:08:04 advertising that they're giving away
1:08:06 free $1 bills to lure people into
1:08:09 [laughter] the store.
1:08:13 An auspicious beginning to uh Home Depot
1:08:15 here. The other great legend around the
1:08:18 first store openings is that the night
1:08:21 beforehand, the two store managers of
1:08:24 the two locations get together. They've
1:08:26 got a great idea. They're going to
1:08:28 impress the founders. They have a
1:08:30 cleaning crew come in and polish up the
1:08:33 lenolum floors as a surprise for
1:08:36 everybody coming in in the morning.
1:08:38 That's all going to look great. And Pat
1:08:40 Farah comes in at like 4 in the morning,
1:08:43 the day of the opening. He sees the
1:08:44 polished floors and he goes nuts.
1:08:46 >> Oh yeah, that was like a a thing with
1:08:47 this entire company for decades is that
1:08:50 they all worked from like
1:08:51 >> the wee hours of the morning and it was
1:08:53 just like expected of the entire culture
1:08:55 is if you're not sleeping, you're here
1:08:57 working
1:08:57 >> and also it's fun. Like it's a it's a
1:09:00 party and we just work all the time and
1:09:02 all of us do it.
1:09:04 >> Yep. [gasps] So when Pat sees these
1:09:06 sparkling clean floors, he loses it. He
1:09:09 calls Bernie and Arthur. gets him out of
1:09:11 bed and the three of them come in and
1:09:13 they start careening forklifts around
1:09:16 the store floor to scuff up the
1:09:19 lenolium. So, it looks like it was busy.
1:09:21 Pat's like, "We can't have this be
1:09:22 clean. It looks like nobody's been in
1:09:24 here."
1:09:24 >> And it sends the wrong message. I think
1:09:26 they sprinkled some sawdust, too. This
1:09:28 is supposed to be a place where people
1:09:30 who are actively working on projects
1:09:32 come in the middle of their project and
1:09:34 they're like in work boots and you know
1:09:36 the store should feel like a place
1:09:39 you're not afraid to mess up. We need it
1:09:42 scuffed up like a Home Depot.
1:09:43 >> Yep. Bernie's uh quote about this that
1:09:45 he would write is our stores are action
1:09:47 places.
1:09:48 >> Yeah. And also I we're going to get to
1:09:50 this later, but part of the Home Depot's
1:09:52 business model and part of the big giant
1:09:54 reason that it works is if you are mid
1:09:57 job, the Home Depot is the place that
1:10:00 you use for real time replenishment.
1:10:03 >> Yep.
1:10:03 >> So sometimes that means if you are
1:10:05 swinging by every morning on the way to
1:10:07 your job site, sometimes it means that
1:10:09 >> pro. Yep.
1:10:10 >> If you're trying to fix a deck and you
1:10:12 realize, oh crap, I've got the wrong
1:10:14 nails, then you can go get the nails mid
1:10:16 project. But they wanted it to be a
1:10:19 place where they could treat it like the
1:10:21 outsourced back office storeroom
1:10:24 inventory that was reliable and you
1:10:27 could count on and you could get in a
1:10:29 just in time way whenever you were
1:10:31 working on a project.
1:10:32 >> Yep. Whether you're a pro or a
1:10:34 homeowner.
1:10:34 >> Yes. And it sure better feel like that.
1:10:37 >> Yep.
1:10:37 >> Another classic story is uh their
1:10:41 capital constraint. They don't have
1:10:42 enough to actually buy all this
1:10:44 merchandise and store a huge amount of
1:10:46 inventory and stack it all the way to
1:10:48 the ceilings, but they want to create
1:10:49 the illusion that they do for customers.
1:10:52 And so a week before opening, they
1:10:55 didn't have enough merch to fill the
1:10:57 whole store. So Pat Farah calls the
1:10:59 Delmare Cabinet Company and asks if they
1:11:02 can borrow, not even buy, borrow 500
1:11:06 boxes of all different sizes. So, the
1:11:08 team stays up all night folding them and
1:11:10 putting them on the racks around the
1:11:11 stores. And apparently, I haven't seen
1:11:13 this video, but they filmed themselves
1:11:15 walking around the store because it
1:11:17 looked so in in their words, fabulously
1:11:20 legitimate that [laughter] they had this
1:11:23 >> big uh expansive inventory. And they did
1:11:26 the same thing with uh paint stacks. Pat
1:11:28 found 2,000 empty paint cans for each
1:11:31 store. And they put special little
1:11:33 labels so they would know not to
1:11:35 investigate too uh significantly, but
1:11:37 stacked them 10 ft high.
1:11:39 >> Whenever I go to Home Depot now, I'm
1:11:40 going to have to start like knocking on
1:11:42 cans [laughter] and boxes and make sure
1:11:43 that they're they're
1:11:45 >> capital constraint is no longer their
1:11:46 issue.
1:11:47 >> Yeah. So despite the uh rocky launch of
1:11:51 the first few stores within a couple
1:11:54 months they do get all these kinks
1:11:57 ironed out and the first stores start
1:11:59 humming by the end of the year that
1:12:02 first year there in 1979. They open the
1:12:05 third store in Atlanta and they do $7
1:12:08 million in total sales for just that
1:12:12 like sixmonth operating period of the
1:12:15 first year. So like startup retailer, $7
1:12:18 million in sales across two and then at
1:12:22 the very end of the year bringing online
1:12:24 a third store. This is right on with
1:12:28 their aggressive financial projections
1:12:30 that Ben you were talking about that
1:12:31 they needed to make this work. And part
1:12:33 of the appeal is they're blowing stuff
1:12:35 out. I mean, uh, friend of the show,
1:12:37 Arvin Navaratnam, who I'll bring up
1:12:39 several times on this episode for his
1:12:41 extensive research on the retail sector
1:12:43 and especially Home Depot. He found that
1:12:46 they were in the early days 10 to 25%
1:12:49 below the prices of their competitors.
1:12:52 And they did this through all the ways
1:12:53 that you would expect, and we've talked
1:12:55 about on the Costco episode, they're
1:12:57 getting deliveries directly from the
1:13:00 manufacturers on a pallet into the
1:13:03 store. So, uh, they can take relatively
1:13:05 low margins, not not Costco low, but 30%
1:13:09 gross margins on these products and they
1:13:11 can offer these screaming deals. I mean,
1:13:13 10 to 25% below that of competing
1:13:16 retailers. This should create crazy word
1:13:18 of mouth. You got to see the store. I
1:13:20 just went there. They have everything. I
1:13:22 could I I'm like discovering new
1:13:24 projects to do and it's all cheap. It's
1:13:26 amazing.
1:13:27 >> Yep. I mean, just like Costco, nobrainer
1:13:30 proposition to the buying public.
1:13:33 >> And it's a different take on the classic
1:13:35 retail triangle of price, selection, and
1:13:38 convenience. You usually have low
1:13:41 prices, large selection, and high
1:13:44 convenience. And they definitely have
1:13:45 low prices and large selection. It's in
1:13:48 some ways not high convenience cuz
1:13:50 what's high convenience to me is I can
1:13:52 walk literally two blocks from here to a
1:13:54 hardware store. Granted, it's low skew
1:13:57 count, but it's close. This element,
1:13:59 this twist on convenience is, yeah,
1:14:01 you're going to have to drive kind of
1:14:03 out into the sticks or here in Seattle,
1:14:05 you know, down south of downtown, you
1:14:07 know, in the neighborhood of Sodto. But
1:14:10 you can get everything. You only need to
1:14:12 go to one store.
1:14:13 >> It's one trip like we've been talking
1:14:14 about.
1:14:15 >> Yes. So, the model starts to work
1:14:18 quickly and the flywheel here is getting
1:14:20 spun up in Atlanta. And then the next
1:14:23 year in 1980, J C Penney calls him back
1:14:27 again and says, "Hey, we're finally
1:14:30 going to pull the plug totally on this
1:14:33 Treasure Island thing. We got a bunch of
1:14:36 locations that are now going to be empty
1:14:38 down in Florida. Do you want them?" And
1:14:42 yeah, of course they want them, right?
1:14:44 Like the whole plan here is expand
1:14:46 nationally and this is great real
1:14:48 estate. Like we should jump on this.
1:14:50 Yep. There's just one problem which is
1:14:53 they are maxed out on capital. So in
1:14:56 1979 that first six-month period that
1:14:59 the company was operating they lost
1:15:01 about a million dollars. So one out of
1:15:03 the $2 million of startup capital was
1:15:06 blown in 1979. In 1980 this next year
1:15:10 they made a million dollars in profit.
1:15:12 Like this is incredible. This shows how
1:15:15 well the model is working. It's already
1:15:17 profitable and I think basically would
1:15:19 be profitable for every year here on
1:15:22 forward. I think they had one year where
1:15:23 they had negative earnings and then
1:15:26 after that they've been a profitable
1:15:27 company their entire life.
1:15:28 >> Yep. Going like gang busters, but that's
1:15:32 not enough capital to take over all
1:15:36 these leases and this great real estate
1:15:38 down in Florida. So once again, Ken
1:15:41 Langan says, "No problem. I got this.
1:15:44 We'll just go public. [laughter]
1:15:47 Now [gasps]
1:15:48 this is a crazy idea in any market.
1:15:52 The pitch here to be clear is we are
1:15:54 going to take a four store chain.
1:15:57 They've now opened the fourth store in
1:15:58 Atlanta public
1:16:01 in
1:16:02 1981
1:16:05 here when interest rates are hitting
1:16:07 their all-time peak of 20 plus%.
1:16:11 Can you imagine this pitch to Wall
1:16:12 Street? You know what people don't like
1:16:14 to do when interest rates are really
1:16:16 high? Buy speculative new IPOs. Even
1:16:19 though in theory, valuations should
1:16:22 actually be depressed when interest
1:16:24 rates are high. So, it's actually a
1:16:26 great time to be investing because you
1:16:28 can pick up equities and income
1:16:31 generating assets for cheaper than in
1:16:33 low interest rate times.
1:16:34 >> Ben, are you suggesting that recessions
1:16:36 are the best time to push your chips in?
1:16:38 Look,
1:16:39 >> call me Call me Warren Buffett over
1:16:40 here, David, [laughter] but
1:16:43 So, you know, once again, Ken is like, I
1:16:46 got this. But by this point in time, he
1:16:48 is no longer an active investment banker
1:16:51 himself. He's just a principal investor
1:16:52 now. So, he can't lead the IPO himself.
1:16:55 He calls up his buddies at Bear Sterns
1:16:59 and he strongarms them into taking on
1:17:02 this crazy IPO. Bear agrees and they set
1:17:06 a target of raising $6 million. And I
1:17:09 think Bear was not interested, but then
1:17:11 Ken called some other investment banks
1:17:13 who said, "Oh, we're interested." And
1:17:14 then Bear got interested.
1:17:15 >> Yeah.
1:17:15 >> As it always was.
1:17:16 >> Ken knows how to get deals done.
1:17:18 >> Yes.
1:17:18 >> So, of the $6 million target, the plan
1:17:22 is that half of that is going to be for
1:17:26 expansion capital to go down into
1:17:28 Florida and take over these leases. And
1:17:30 half of that money is going to go to the
1:17:33 initial seed investors to cash them out
1:17:36 at close to a 2x in, you know, call it a
1:17:40 year and a half, two years here. Great
1:17:42 deal. Great deal. Great deal. Right.
1:17:45 Fortunately for those investors, the
1:17:47 week before the IPO, Bear calls up Ken
1:17:52 and they say, "Hey, we took this thing
1:17:54 on as a favor to you, but in this
1:17:57 environment, we can't we can't get the
1:17:59 full $6 million deal done. We're going
1:18:03 to have to cut this thing in half. We
1:18:04 can only sell $3 million."
1:18:08 So Ken goes back to the existing
1:18:11 investors and says, "We're just going to
1:18:13 let our investment ride. Rather than
1:18:16 cashing out at a slightly less than a
1:18:18 2x,
1:18:19 >> you have to stay invested. We need all
1:18:21 $3 million that we were able to raise to
1:18:23 go to the balance sheet so that we can
1:18:25 do this expansion."
1:18:26 >> Yep. which if you do the math,
1:18:30 that $2 million from the initial Home
1:18:33 Depot investor group bought 50% of the
1:18:36 company in 1978.
1:18:39 By not cashing out here at a 2x return,
1:18:44 those investors, if they held to today,
1:18:47 would have gotten well north of a
1:18:51 50,000x
1:18:53 return [laughter]
1:18:54 on their capital. check my calculator,
1:18:56 but I think it's better than a 2x.
1:18:57 >> Yep. So, the IPO gets done. They end up
1:19:00 raising a little bit more than three.
1:19:02 They raise $4 million in total in the
1:19:04 IPO at a $32 million initial market
1:19:09 capitalization post offering, which this
1:19:13 listeners is part of the reason why it's
1:19:15 a better investment than Apple since IPO
1:19:18 and you know, since many other
1:19:20 companies,
1:19:20 >> Nvidia, etc. It went public at a tiny
1:19:24 tiny market cap. I mean, you could get
1:19:26 in as a public shareholder
1:19:29 at a $32 million valuation. I mean, even
1:19:33 if you inflation adjust that, that's
1:19:35 $122 million today. Just think about
1:19:38 that. A company went public at a total
1:19:41 market cap of $122 million. It had so
1:19:45 much running room ahead of it. That is
1:19:47 how you get that giant multiple since
1:19:49 IPO that the public had access to.
1:19:52 >> Yep. But you needed to be um well I was
1:19:56 going to say crazy, but uh you needed to
1:19:58 have vision to do this. I mean it's
1:20:01 IPOing as a fourtore [laughter] hardware
1:20:04 chain in Atlanta,
1:20:06 >> right?
1:20:07 >> This is not uh anthropic here where
1:20:09 everybody knows them and they're giant
1:20:11 >> a household name, right? This is a four
1:20:13 store chain in Atlanta.
1:20:14 >> Yep. So after the IPO, they go to
1:20:17 Florida. Goes great. Next, they go to
1:20:20 Texas by actually acquiring a copycat
1:20:23 chain that had sprung up called Bow
1:20:25 Water. Uh that was a bad idea and cost
1:20:29 the company a lot of time remaking those
1:20:31 stores. But they turn it around. They're
1:20:33 successful in Texas. Then they go to the
1:20:35 West Coast. They go back to California.
1:20:38 They beat Handy Dan. They go to the
1:20:40 Northeast. Then national rest of the
1:20:42 country. The company is just like on a
1:20:45 tear.
1:20:46 >> Yep. As of the IPO, they were tripling
1:20:48 year-over-year in revenue. In 1984, they
1:20:52 hit 31 stores. So that's Georgia plus
1:20:56 Florida plus Texas. They're solidly a
1:20:58 multi-reional chain here.
1:21:00 >> Yep. And then quickly after that, in
1:21:01 1986, they hit a billion dollars in
1:21:05 sales
1:21:05 >> with 60 stores.
1:21:07 >> They don't stop there. In 1989, they
1:21:09 pass Lowe's to become the largest home
1:21:12 improvement retailer in America. Also,
1:21:15 in 1989, Handy Dan goes out of business.
1:21:19 Finally get their clock cleaned by the
1:21:21 new HD. Meanwhile, Home Depot is now up
1:21:24 to 118 stores nationally.
1:21:26 >> Yep.
1:21:26 >> So, there's this interesting question
1:21:28 here. We've talked about how they speed
1:21:30 ran to a billion dollars in revenue and
1:21:32 100 plus stores,
1:21:34 >> national market leader in less than 10
1:21:35 years,
1:21:36 >> right? kind of kind of ridiculous. The
1:21:38 model, at least as we've explained it so
1:21:41 far,
1:21:42 clearly works at scale,
1:21:45 but there you should sort of have this
1:21:47 question in your head of, well, how did
1:21:50 they do all that when they had $2
1:21:51 million and just a scrappy team? I mean,
1:21:55 this was a shoot the moon strategy. It
1:21:57 needed to grow fast in order to make it
1:22:00 work. They needed to have a flood of
1:22:02 customers on day one at the store in
1:22:06 order to justify all the different
1:22:08 inventory that they had and they needed
1:22:10 to have suppliers give them great deals
1:22:14 even though they actually didn't have
1:22:16 any proof points that they could sell in
1:22:18 volume. So I I don't know how do you
1:22:20 think about
1:22:22 why they were able to sort of act like a
1:22:26 scale company even when they weren't at
1:22:27 scale yet? I think it was that they
1:22:29 combined Pat Farah's aggressiveness that
1:22:34 he put together at Homeco with Bernie
1:22:37 and Arthur's
1:22:39 operations and finance genius to just
1:22:42 barely make it all work
1:22:44 >> and a lot of illusion
1:22:46 >> along the way where they could sell the
1:22:48 dream.
1:22:49 >> And selling the dream is fine if the
1:22:51 dream comes true. It's only bad if you
1:22:53 promise people all this volume and then
1:22:55 you can't get any volume. But you know
1:22:57 >> specifically selling the dream to their
1:22:59 suppliers to the manufacturers
1:23:01 >> suppliers and uh to financeers to like
1:23:04 max out the amount of debt that they
1:23:06 would extend this company
1:23:07 >> all the debt capital they were raising.
1:23:09 >> So there's a great quote in built from
1:23:11 scratch that I think kind of addresses
1:23:12 this point because this was a disconnect
1:23:13 I had the whole time of
1:23:15 >> in in theory you shouldn't be able to
1:23:17 start like this and I think it addresses
1:23:19 the uniqueness of the people. We had to
1:23:21 be psychologists, lovers, romancers, and
1:23:24 con artists to get our suppliers aboard.
1:23:27 Our ability to paint a picture of how
1:23:29 that would take place. The lowest
1:23:30 prices, the widest selection, and great
1:23:32 customer service was what convinced
1:23:34 skeptical manufacturers to sell
1:23:36 merchandise to us in those early years.
1:23:38 We didn't have the buying power of our
1:23:40 established competitors. On paper, we
1:23:42 couldn't compete with Handy City or
1:23:44 Handy Dan, but we were good at selling
1:23:45 futures. You need to do this for us now,
1:23:48 we'd tell vendors, because down the
1:23:49 road, we will have 50 stores.
1:23:51 Eventually, we will be the biggest in
1:23:53 the industry. So, now is the time to get
1:23:55 on board. And as in any long-term
1:23:57 relationship, the key was getting to
1:23:58 know the vendors and at the same time
1:24:00 understanding what motivated them. Then,
1:24:02 we motivated them. We appealed to their
1:24:04 greed. We appealed to their enthusiasm
1:24:06 for new concepts. We appealed to their
1:24:08 need to get their products exposed.
1:24:11 It's like sheer force of will keeping
1:24:14 all these plates spinning. and
1:24:16 convincing everyone in your ecosystem
1:24:18 that you're legit.
1:24:19 >> It's why you needed the Avengers to do
1:24:21 this,
1:24:21 >> right? And it's fine to sell the future
1:24:24 as long as you make the future come
1:24:25 true.
1:24:26 >> American enterprise system here. The
1:24:28 worst thing that happens if it doesn't
1:24:29 work is you declare bankruptcy and like
1:24:32 Pat Farah, you go join the next thing.
1:24:33 [laughter]
1:24:34 >> Yes. So I think this is actually the
1:24:36 perfect place to really talk about what
1:24:40 the model is and yes why here now we're
1:24:45 in the late 1980s
1:24:47 there is capital available it's the go-
1:24:49 go 1980s why are copycats not emerging
1:24:54 wellunded with a lot of capital to just
1:24:56 come eat their lunch and do this too
1:24:59 well there were copycats I mean there
1:25:01 were other large format hardware home
1:25:05 improvement stores. I mean, I' I'd been
1:25:07 to a Builder Square, I think, when I was
1:25:08 a kid.
1:25:09 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So, yes, exactly. This
1:25:11 did happen. A lot of capital rushed into
1:25:14 the space trying to do this. Yeah.
1:25:16 Builder Square, Home Club, Homequarters
1:25:19 Warehouse, Mr. How Warehouse. These are
1:25:22 all copycats spun up in the 1980s. None
1:25:26 of them are around today. Okay. So, why?
1:25:29 The answer is that as Home Depot scales,
1:25:32 it's not just Costco for hardware.
1:25:35 Costco is a general merchandise retailer
1:25:38 like you said in the intro, Ben, and
1:25:40 Home Depot is a specialty merchandise
1:25:44 retailer. On the surface, these things
1:25:46 look kind of similar. Like a Home Depot
1:25:48 store looks like a Costco store. But in
1:25:52 specialty retailing, it's not enough
1:25:56 [snorts] just to have the classic holy
1:25:58 trinity of price, selection, and
1:26:01 convenience that Walmart and Costco and
1:26:04 Amazon are all built on. You also need
1:26:08 to serve the customer in ways that are
1:26:12 wholly unique and specific to each
1:26:15 specialty market. So if you think about
1:26:17 like tire and auto shops, they need to
1:26:20 offer fast quality installation of tires
1:26:24 and auto parts, right? Or beauty, right?
1:26:26 Like beauty needs to offer instore
1:26:29 sampling and makeovers. or even like
1:26:31 Apple and Best Buy, they need to offer
1:26:32 the Genius Bar and the Geek Squad to
1:26:34 help with troubleshooting. Specifically,
1:26:37 expertise that serves the customer.
1:26:40 Nobody's serving the customer in a
1:26:42 Costco except at the checkout aisle.
1:26:44 It's like you go grab your toilet paper,
1:26:46 you check out.
1:26:46 >> The whole point is that we don't
1:26:47 actually need to have that many people
1:26:49 in the store serving you.
1:26:50 >> Right. Right.
1:26:50 >> That's how we can pay our associates so
1:26:52 much. That creates so much goodness in
1:26:54 the model.
1:26:54 >> Yep. Yep. Home Depot
1:26:58 basically
1:27:00 invented what serving the customer looks
1:27:03 like in home improvement. Before Home
1:27:06 Depot, there basically was no customer
1:27:07 servicing in hardware. It was like you
1:27:09 walked into a hardware store and good
1:27:11 luck. If you knew where things were,
1:27:13 good, you know, if not
1:27:15 >> and and we're generalizing here. I'm
1:27:16 sure there were amazing associates at
1:27:18 amazing hardware stores all over the
1:27:20 place, but there wasn't this idea that
1:27:22 uh I went to a Home Depot last week as I
1:27:25 was prepping for this and this was after
1:27:26 I had, you know, read some books and I
1:27:28 had seen all the stuff about Home
1:27:30 Depot's unique culture and their
1:27:31 obsession with serving the customer
1:27:32 above all else. And we drop everything
1:27:34 in order to serve a customer. And
1:27:36 there's even stories about people at
1:27:38 headquarters who will pick up the phone
1:27:41 in the middle of a meeting and interrupt
1:27:43 corporate work because they actually
1:27:45 need to take a call from someone who is
1:27:47 on the floor with a customer to address
1:27:49 a customer specific concern. I mean the
1:27:51 culture is this sort of service and
1:27:54 customer obsessed orientation.
1:27:56 >> Ben Ben, I noticed you said uh
1:27:57 headquarters there. I don't think Home
1:27:59 Depot has a headquarters.
1:28:00 >> That is correct. They have a store
1:28:02 support center because headquarters
1:28:04 merely exists to support the stores.
1:28:06 >> Yes. Yes. Atlanta for Home Depot, the
1:28:09 corporate address is the store support
1:28:12 center, not the headquarters of the
1:28:13 company.
1:28:14 >> But that's powerful to name it that and
1:28:16 sort of instill that in the culture.
1:28:17 >> Totally. Totally.
1:28:18 >> So I I promise you I wasn't like secret
1:28:21 shopping and trying to prod for these
1:28:23 questions, but I was making a copy of a
1:28:25 key while I was there and I asked the
1:28:28 associate how his day was going. And
1:28:29 this was like the eighth associate that
1:28:30 walked by and it was chalk full of
1:28:32 staff. And this guy, the words out of
1:28:34 his mouth were, "It's going well. I have
1:28:36 like eight things on my to-do list
1:28:38 today. I've gotten a none of them
1:28:39 because customer always comes first and
1:28:41 I've had so many interesting customer
1:28:42 problems come up today." I mean, it is
1:28:44 this like very real customer
1:28:47 serviceoriented
1:28:48 mentality.
1:28:49 >> Yep. And I would say that's the culture
1:28:51 still to this day with some bumps along
1:28:54 the road that we'll get to as we go. But
1:28:57 what I mean though when I say that Home
1:28:59 Depot invented what servicing the
1:29:01 customer means in this segment was that
1:29:05 before Home Depot, nobody would teach
1:29:08 the customers how to accomplish their
1:29:11 projects. Like if you were just a DIY
1:29:13 homeowner, you had no way of obtaining
1:29:17 knowledge about how to build a deck or
1:29:19 how to retile a bathroom. Like maybe you
1:29:22 could go to a bookstore and buy a how-to
1:29:24 book. Maybe if you found one for a
1:29:27 contractor who knows how,
1:29:29 >> right? Exactly. But people want to work
1:29:31 on their own homes. This is the unique
1:29:34 thing that Home Depot figures out as
1:29:35 they scale. They actually need to bundle
1:29:38 education with the products that they're
1:29:42 selling their customers. And rather than
1:29:44 going out and hiring separate teachers
1:29:48 that are going to run clinics in Home
1:29:49 Depot, they just recruit employees from
1:29:54 the trades who are professional
1:29:56 tradesmen, contractors to come be their
1:29:59 retail staff in the stores. And then
1:30:01 they create a culture of, hey, anytime a
1:30:03 customer comes in and asks you how to do
1:30:06 something, stop what you're doing. You
1:30:08 know how to do this stuff. And explain
1:30:10 it to them. Show them. Get some products
1:30:11 out. show them how to build what they
1:30:14 want to build,
1:30:14 >> which is crazy, right? If you have a
1:30:16 reasonably highpaying job as a
1:30:19 contractor, switching gears and taking a
1:30:22 retail job is typically not on people's
1:30:24 bingo card.
1:30:25 >> Good point. You would think on the
1:30:26 surface that this is crazy and this is
1:30:29 what all the copycats miss. They just
1:30:31 hire regular retail employees like
1:30:34 Walmart does or Costco does or Target
1:30:36 does or what have you. Actually though,
1:30:40 if you're a trades person,
1:30:42 there's a pretty good chance that a Home
1:30:44 Depot job might be appealing to you. So,
1:30:48 back here in, I don't know, call it
1:30:49 1985, 1990. Imagine you're a plumber,
1:30:53 you're an electrician, maybe you're a
1:30:55 carpenter.
1:30:57 Sure, you can make more money in your
1:31:00 trade than you can working at Home
1:31:02 Depot, but being a contractor is not
1:31:06 easy. like even if you're successful,
1:31:09 one, it's not steady. Cash flow is lumpy
1:31:11 and unpredictable. Two, it requires a
1:31:14 lot of driving. And then three, it's
1:31:18 manual labor. Like, what are you going
1:31:21 to do if you get old? What are you going
1:31:22 to do if you get hurt? What are you
1:31:23 going to do if you can't work? Do you
1:31:26 have a retirement plan? Well, if you're
1:31:28 in a union job at like a big, you know,
1:31:31 commercial constructor, sure. But if
1:31:35 you're working residential, you're
1:31:37 probably not in a union. You probably
1:31:38 don't have a retirement plan. You
1:31:40 probably don't have a fall back of
1:31:42 savings.
1:31:44 Okay. Now, Home Depot comes to town and
1:31:46 they're recruiting. It's a stable job
1:31:49 with regular hours with other people
1:31:51 like you. You don't need to drive
1:31:53 around. You don't need to manage
1:31:56 clients.
1:31:57 >> Yep.
1:31:57 >> You need to stock the shelves, but it's
1:31:59 not hard labor. It's pretty attractive.
1:32:01 And there's all sorts of benefits to the
1:32:03 Home Depot long-term of doing this. The
1:32:06 most obvious of which is if a former
1:32:08 trades person works in your store and
1:32:10 they meet with a customer trying to do a
1:32:11 pretty simple project. Hey, I need to
1:32:14 paint the walls of my living room. You
1:32:16 do that and you have a pro help you pick
1:32:18 out all the right stuff you need and get
1:32:19 the right amount of paint. You suddenly
1:32:21 feel empowered and you're like, you know
1:32:22 what? I'm going to try drywall next
1:32:25 time. and your basket size at Home Depot
1:32:27 over the years and the scale of your
1:32:28 projects goes up and up and up if you
1:32:30 have good education and good service.
1:32:32 >> So today all this that we're talking
1:32:35 about sounds like sure nice I can go
1:32:37 talk to the associates at Home Depot and
1:32:40 they used to work in the trades and they
1:32:42 can help me with my projects.
1:32:44 You got to imagine back in the 80s and
1:32:46 90s before the internet and before
1:32:48 YouTube,
1:32:50 this was the only way that you were
1:32:52 going to be able to even attempt to
1:32:54 learn how to do this as a homeowner.
1:32:57 >> Yep.
1:32:57 >> And so unless you copied Home Depot's
1:33:00 labor employment model, you weren't
1:33:03 actually going to be able to make the
1:33:05 model work like they did.
1:33:06 >> And it's not just the employment model.
1:33:08 There's a lot of other elements that
1:33:09 kind of have an escape velocity
1:33:10 component. So, we talked about who's in
1:33:13 the stores. Then there's what's in the
1:33:15 store. At its core, it's the warehouse
1:33:18 concept. You're eliminating middlemen.
1:33:19 You're not paying distributors. You're
1:33:21 shipping directly to the stores. You're
1:33:22 passing savings on to customers. Lower
1:33:24 margins than elsewhere in the industry.
1:33:26 This leads to you having the lowest
1:33:28 prices. This is a well understood
1:33:30 warehouse model at this point. But they
1:33:32 have something working against them,
1:33:34 which is super high skew count and lots
1:33:37 of associates doing all this service. So
1:33:40 they sort of have to figure out how to
1:33:42 succeed despite
1:33:45 sort of two big strikes shortterm
1:33:47 against the business model. Those are
1:33:48 great.
1:33:49 >> That's the economics of the model. Yeah.
1:33:50 >> Long term, right? But it is horrible
1:33:53 operationally having lots of SKs. It's
1:33:55 hard to turn them over quickly. You have
1:33:57 a bigger payroll at each store than you
1:33:59 would in a price club like model. So
1:34:02 what are all the elements that make up
1:34:04 for it and make it worth those
1:34:07 investments? You have to encourage a
1:34:09 buying frenzy. That is a a huge part of
1:34:13 making this work. When you have so many
1:34:15 SKUs, you have to have reasons for
1:34:18 people to buy all of them. And if you
1:34:21 have low gross margin percentages,
1:34:25 that can be okay as long as people are
1:34:27 buying lots of items and coming back and
1:34:30 buying them often because it's not the
1:34:32 gross margins percentages that put food
1:34:34 on the table. It's the gross margin
1:34:36 dollars that put food on the table. So,
1:34:38 you're just trying to sell enough volume
1:34:41 and turn everything over fast enough
1:34:43 that those gross margin dollars add up
1:34:46 and justify holding all of that
1:34:49 inventory at a Home Depot. So, it's the
1:34:51 the crazy stunts. It's the heat in the
1:34:53 store. It's the one-stop shopness. So,
1:34:56 you buy a bunch of things. It's starting
1:34:57 to work with procontractors as customers
1:35:00 because they're going to buy huge
1:35:02 amounts of things every week. They're
1:35:03 going to be repeat buyers. Again, you're
1:35:05 the whole goal here is we actually don't
1:35:08 generate that much margin percentage. We
1:35:10 have lots of SKs and we have lots of
1:35:12 inventory of each of those SKs. So, how
1:35:14 do we get as much volume as possible?
1:35:16 So, if you succeed in that and you're
1:35:19 doing your job and you have stuff flying
1:35:21 off the shelves, that means you can
1:35:23 place ever larger orders with suppliers
1:35:26 and that means you can ask for ever
1:35:28 lower prices on your bulk orders. So you
1:35:32 either can harvest that extra margin for
1:35:36 yourself or what the Home Depot did at
1:35:38 least for a very long time is pass that
1:35:40 along to the customer, make the whole
1:35:42 thing spin faster of, oh my god, they
1:35:44 have even lower prices. So to summarize
1:35:46 all this, friend of the show, Arvin
1:35:48 Navaratnam at Worldly Partners has
1:35:50 studied this company at length, and I'm
1:35:52 going to just going to quote from his
1:35:54 100page study that we'll link to in the
1:35:55 show notes. The big box warehouse format
1:35:58 itself was the most visible innovation
1:36:00 at the time in ' 79. But the more
1:36:02 enduring advantage was the operating
1:36:04 system beneath it. Home Depot built a
1:36:06 high volume model and shared the
1:36:07 benefits of scale with customers,
1:36:09 generated greater traffic, strengthened
1:36:11 supplier relationships, supported a
1:36:13 broader assortment, and reinvested the
1:36:15 resulting productivity into stores,
1:36:17 associates, logistics, technology, and
1:36:19 price, creating a self-reinforcing
1:36:21 flywheel that became increasingly
1:36:23 difficult to replicate as the company
1:36:24 scaled. And there's one more element too
1:36:29 that turbocharges the whole thing, which
1:36:32 is the company's stock price. And the
1:36:35 fact that employees
1:36:38 all the way down to and including the
1:36:40 retail associates on the floors, the
1:36:43 good jobs for the former trades people
1:36:46 are getting equity in the company. So
1:36:49 you're probably listening like, wait,
1:36:51 what? How does the company's stock price
1:36:52 make this model work better? A big
1:36:55 portion of the associate onboarding and
1:36:58 training was about the stock and the
1:37:01 stock price and what equity is and
1:37:05 building the connection between the
1:37:06 stock price and your work on the floor.
1:37:08 And it's all possible because the
1:37:10 company went public so early,
1:37:13 >> right? There was so much upside
1:37:14 remaining.
1:37:15 >> Yes. So for these early associate
1:37:18 employees of the company, they build
1:37:21 this real link and culture among the
1:37:23 labor force of, hey, I serve my
1:37:26 customers well on the floor of the
1:37:28 store. I help them complete their
1:37:30 projects, they come back, they buy more,
1:37:33 my store sales grow, the company's
1:37:35 revenue goes up, and the company was
1:37:37 small enough back in the early days that
1:37:39 this made an impact on the company's
1:37:41 revenue. The stock then goes up and then
1:37:44 I get rich, like really rich. There are
1:37:50 thousands and thousands of early Home
1:37:53 Depot associates who became
1:37:55 multi-millionaires because of this.
1:37:57 >> Yeah.
1:37:58 >> When we were talking to Ken in research
1:37:59 for this, he he put it this way to us.
1:38:02 When you tap into people's basic
1:38:03 instincts, good things happen.
1:38:05 >> Yeah. I mean, if you come from a Silicon
1:38:08 Valley tech startup, this is second
1:38:09 nature to you. But this really wasn't
1:38:12 done in retail. This is really the first
1:38:14 time that a scaled company sort of at
1:38:17 mass employment has retail employees who
1:38:20 are participating in this like giant
1:38:23 wealth generation machine. And because
1:38:25 it was compounding at 25% per year, I
1:38:29 mean it's the best thing they could have
1:38:30 put their money in. The way it worked
1:38:31 was if you were a salaried employee,
1:38:34 which started at assistant store
1:38:36 manager, you got stock options. If you
1:38:39 were an hourly employee, you couldn't be
1:38:42 granted stock options, but you got this
1:38:44 stock purchasing program, which in the
1:38:46 early days they set up as you can buy
1:38:49 stock at a 15% discount to the current
1:38:52 trading price and we'll give you a no-
1:38:56 risk guarantee. So, if the price ever
1:38:58 goes down below what you bought it for,
1:39:00 we will fill the gap for you. And then
1:39:02 they did all this education to the
1:39:04 associates and say, "Hey, you really
1:39:05 need to do this." And the whole thing
1:39:06 works because they were able to position
1:39:08 it to Wall Street as a growth stock. If
1:39:11 you don't have a financier who's doing
1:39:13 that or you don't have the business
1:39:15 results to justify it, then this cool
1:39:17 party trick doesn't do anything for you
1:39:19 because the people aren't in the break
1:39:20 room getting rich. Yes. And it all comes
1:39:23 back to the specialty retailer model
1:39:28 versus general merchandise.
1:39:30 >> Let's say you're Costco or Walmart. You
1:39:32 set up the same thing. No associate on
1:39:35 the floor is going to be that good at
1:39:38 customer service that a customer is
1:39:40 going to come in and buy $10,000 worth
1:39:42 of toilet paper. [laughter]
1:39:45 Hardware and home improvement is
1:39:47 different. So there are these legends
1:39:50 within the company. The one that gets
1:39:52 told often is the faucet washer that
1:39:56 leads to a kitchen remodel. So legend is
1:39:59 customer comes into the store with a
1:40:02 faucet that he's brought in from his
1:40:03 kitchen sink. He says, "Hey, my faucet
1:40:06 is leaking. I think I need a new faucet.
1:40:08 I know it's probably going to be a
1:40:09 couple hundred." And the store associate
1:40:12 who has plumbing experience looks at the
1:40:14 faucet and says, "Oh, no, no, you don't
1:40:17 need a new faucet. Like, we can fix
1:40:18 this. Let's go get a new washer. That's
1:40:20 all you need. We'll get a new washer.
1:40:21 It's 25 cents. Install it and you know,
1:40:24 you're going to be good to go." They do.
1:40:26 The customer is so happy. He goes home.
1:40:29 He tells his wife and family. Next thing
1:40:32 you know, a couple weeks later, he's
1:40:33 back and he says, "You know, we've been
1:40:35 thinking about a kitchen remodel. We're
1:40:38 going to do it with you guys here at
1:40:39 Home Depot." And it's a $100,000 sale
1:40:42 because of hardware and home improvement
1:40:44 in this category. This stuff happens and
1:40:48 customer service directly drives it.
1:40:50 >> Yep. Yep. That's a great point. The
1:40:52 continuation of that story is that
1:40:53 someone makes a comment like, "Boy, your
1:40:55 your boss is going to probably fire you.
1:40:57 You could have sold a $200 faucet and
1:40:59 you only made 25 cents on the washer.
1:41:02 You're probably going to get fired for
1:41:04 losing that sale." Bernie Marcus hears
1:41:06 about this and he's like calls the guy
1:41:07 and says, "I I think we should promote
1:41:08 you. Thank you. That's the exact right
1:41:11 customer service mentality.
1:41:12 >> We're going to give you another equity
1:41:13 grant right now."
1:41:14 >> Right. So listeners, uh, a fun aside,
1:41:18 one fellow listener and friend of the
1:41:19 show is Frank Blake, who famously was
1:41:22 the Home Depot CEO going into and
1:41:25 navigating the company through the Great
1:41:26 Recession 2007 through 2014. And uh, he
1:41:31 gave us this great quote when we were
1:41:33 talking to him for research. He said,
1:41:34 "The best sign of cultural health is
1:41:37 walking into the breakroom and seeing
1:41:39 the associates watching the stock
1:41:41 price." Like we we want that. We
1:41:43 encourage that here.
1:41:44 >> Yeah. It's like the opposite of uh
1:41:46 prevailing Silicon Valley wisdom where
1:41:48 like, "Oh, you don't want your employees
1:41:49 checking the stock price." At Home
1:41:51 Depot, at least for many decades, it was
1:41:53 no, we we very much want our employees
1:41:56 checking the stock price and thinking
1:41:57 about how their day is going to impact
1:41:59 that.
1:42:00 >> So, the the last thing that I think is
1:42:02 fascinating about this model is the
1:42:04 original hunch of why the business would
1:42:07 work despite all the trade-offs was
1:42:10 correct. In 1980, Home Depot were twice
1:42:14 as large as Lowe's and they carried
1:42:16 three times as many products, which if
1:42:18 you know us and our Costco zealatry,
1:42:21 that sounds like a lot of danger. These
1:42:23 are all downsides, right? But what ended
1:42:26 up happening is they had four times as
1:42:30 many transactions as those smaller
1:42:32 Lowe's stores. So there really was this
1:42:34 benefit where when you made those
1:42:36 investments in more square footage, more
1:42:38 inventory, more SKUs, the return on that
1:42:41 investment actually increased at scale
1:42:44 as you added more things. The word of
1:42:47 mouth, the one-stop shopping, the
1:42:49 feeling of the buying frenzy, it more
1:42:51 than paid for all that additional
1:42:55 allocation that you were making in
1:42:57 inventory and square footage. And you
1:42:59 know that was a that was a Bernie hunch
1:43:02 before they actually opened the first
1:43:03 store. But he was right. That that that
1:43:06 is the kind of key insight behind the
1:43:07 whole thing is that actually there are
1:43:09 returns
1:43:10 to your investment that increase once
1:43:13 you get out beyond a certain skew count
1:43:15 and out beyond a certain square footage.
1:43:17 >> Yep. And again was super unique to home
1:43:21 improvement because there's no cap on
1:43:23 the amount that a customer can spend.
1:43:25 you will get super whale transactions
1:43:28 happening of $100,000 kitchens, home
1:43:31 remodels, etc., etc.
1:43:33 >> Yep. So, this is basically the core
1:43:36 model that takes Home Depot to the $350
1:43:40 billion market cap company today,
1:43:43 except
1:43:44 >> except [laughter]
1:43:45 it's not exactly a straight line. Yes,
1:43:49 there is a fall from grace coming
1:43:52 listeners before we get to the Home
1:43:53 Depot of today. But first, now is a
1:43:57 great time to thank our friends at
1:44:00 Anthropic, the makers of Claude. So,
1:44:03 David, Anthropic published a number over
1:44:05 the summer that I have not been able to
1:44:08 stop thinking about since I saw it for
1:44:09 the first time. They looked at 1.2 2
1:44:12 million clawed co-work sessions over the
1:44:14 course of three weeks across a ton of
1:44:16 companies like 600,000 organizations.
1:44:19 Software development, which I thought
1:44:21 would be a huge part of it, was less
1:44:23 than 9% of those sessions. I assumed
1:44:26 it'd be way higher. I know the biggest
1:44:28 category by a mile was business process
1:44:31 and operations, which was about a third
1:44:33 of all co-work usage. Then content and
1:44:37 writing was the next highest. So, you
1:44:39 know, if your mental model is still AI
1:44:41 writes code, like this is very different
1:44:44 in the data.
1:44:45 >> Yeah. And it's a perfect lens for the
1:44:47 company that we're covering today with
1:44:48 Home Depot. Home Depot has thousands of
1:44:50 employees and very few of them are ever
1:44:53 going to open a command line interface.
1:44:55 Their job might be merchandising or
1:44:57 supply chain or figuring out what their
1:44:59 stores should be putting on the shelves.
1:45:01 And so, there's a lot of use cases there
1:45:02 for AI, even though almost none of them
1:45:05 are writing code.
1:45:06 >> Yep. These are all types of cases that
1:45:09 require analysis in documents and
1:45:11 spreadsheets all day long. And that is
1:45:13 exactly what Claude Co-work is built
1:45:15 for. On your desktop working in your
1:45:18 actual folders, not just a chat window.
1:45:20 And that's the important part for you
1:45:22 listeners. As is so often the case, you
1:45:25 are waiting on engineering resources to
1:45:27 free up in your company to build some
1:45:29 tool. No longer. With co-work, Claude
1:45:31 can build you the tools that you need to
1:45:33 do your job better. And in fact, that is
1:45:36 even the case for us here at Acquired
1:45:38 HQ.
1:45:39 >> Absolutely.
1:45:39 >> We have a bunch of proprietary tools
1:45:42 that live in web dashboards that Claude
1:45:45 has just built for us that handle tons
1:45:47 of our process and automation. So, if
1:45:49 you want to be like us and build tools
1:45:52 using Claude Co to make your
1:45:54 organization work better, you can go to
1:45:56 claude.ai/acquired
1:45:58 and just tell them that Ben and David
1:46:00 sent you. So, back to Home Depot not
1:46:03 exactly being a uh straight line from
1:46:06 here. So, at first things are going
1:46:10 great as we talked about. Once the model
1:46:12 is in place, the whole company is
1:46:14 humming. By 1996,
1:46:17 Home Depot is doing $20 billion in sales
1:46:21 annually and expanding rapidly. They're
1:46:24 averaging a new store opening every 4
1:46:27 days. They have over 600 approaching 700
1:46:30 stores. They have 32 international.
1:46:33 >> Yep. That year is a big year for the
1:46:34 company because the Olympics come to
1:46:37 Atlanta to their hometown and they see
1:46:40 it as the perfect moment to really put
1:46:44 their foot on the gas on national
1:46:45 advertising, becoming a big brand. So,
1:46:48 they become a major Olympic sponsor like
1:46:51 right up there with Visa and Coca-Cola
1:46:53 and Nike.
1:46:53 >> Now, JP Morgan.
1:46:55 >> Yep. That's right. And uh Ben, as you
1:46:57 alluded to, this era is when they really
1:46:59 start serving the pro-contractor market
1:47:02 as well as the DIY weekend warrior. They
1:47:06 offer business credit accounts. They're
1:47:07 finally on solid enough financial
1:47:09 footing that they can do that. They
1:47:11 start carrying more Proline tools like
1:47:14 DeWalt or Milwaukee tools. This actually
1:47:17 only boosts the DIY weekend warrior
1:47:21 market because it turns out there's some
1:47:24 segment of consumer homeowners who also
1:47:27 want prolevel tools and hardware and
1:47:31 supplies.
1:47:31 >> People with high willingness to pay for
1:47:33 the best or if they want to have a tool
1:47:35 for 20 years. Sure. I I want what the
1:47:37 pros use.
1:47:38 >> Absolutely.
1:47:39 >> They also hire dedicated salespeople to
1:47:41 handle pros. They stand up a pro desk in
1:47:44 a lot of their stores. They offer, this
1:47:47 is a big change for them, pro
1:47:49 pricricing. Yep. So they start offering
1:47:52 bulk deals if you are coming to the
1:47:54 proes.
1:47:55 >> I think importantly though that bulk
1:47:58 pricing is available to DIY customers
1:48:01 too. You just have to buy in a certain
1:48:03 amount,
1:48:04 >> right? They also start offering for the
1:48:06 first time job site delivery since not
1:48:09 everyone wants to come into the store
1:48:11 for everything. Especially if you're
1:48:13 building a shed like the one you're
1:48:15 recording in right now, David, you know,
1:48:16 you don't want to have to go to the
1:48:17 store and load up a car with all of that
1:48:19 or rent a truck. It'd be nice to just
1:48:21 have it delivered to the job site.
1:48:22 >> Yep.
1:48:23 >> And pros would go on to be this just
1:48:26 giant driver of the business. Whereas,
1:48:29 and this is a 2015 stat, so we're
1:48:30 flashing forward, but I think it's still
1:48:32 a a relevant data point,
1:48:36 the average Home Depot DIY customer
1:48:39 interacts with the company about five
1:48:40 times a year, spends about $330.
1:48:45 The average professional customer would
1:48:47 interact 66 times a year.
1:48:50 >> Yep.
1:48:50 >> With an annual spend of $65,000.
1:48:54 >> Yep. Sounds right. And of course, there
1:48:56 are pros that spend hundreds of
1:48:58 thousands of dollars a year. Yep. So, on
1:49:01 the back of all this train of success,
1:49:05 great stuff, Bernie says, "All right,
1:49:10 time to declare victory." He retires as
1:49:14 CEO, hands the title over to Arthur in
1:49:18 1997. So, almost 20 years.
1:49:21 >> Yep. Almost 20 years in. and he goes out
1:49:23 on top and that's when some cracks start
1:49:28 to emerge in the Home Depot foundation
1:49:31 because there actually were a bunch of
1:49:34 problems that this very rapid growth had
1:49:37 massed. So first that same year in 1997
1:49:42 the company agreed to one of the largest
1:49:45 corporate gender discrimination lawsuit
1:49:47 settlements in history up to that point.
1:49:51 Bernie and Arthur dispute the claims in
1:49:53 Built from Scratch in the memoir that
1:49:55 they wrote. But even just the fact that
1:49:56 the company ended up in this position
1:49:59 shows that um corporate management
1:50:02 wasn't exactly tip-top, shall we say, in
1:50:05 this era. And the lawsuit also kind of
1:50:08 reflects the stores. I mean, Home Depot
1:50:11 up to this point were like a a man's
1:50:14 place, you know? It was guys buying
1:50:17 hardware from other guys and
1:50:19 >> which Lowe's would go on to exploit
1:50:21 cultivating women as customers.
1:50:23 >> Absolutely. Which we're going to get to
1:50:24 in just a second. And so, yeah, this
1:50:27 whole dynamic ends up coming back to
1:50:29 bite Home Depot pretty quickly.
1:50:30 >> There's also all of Bernie and Arthur's
1:50:32 accounts in their book of the early days
1:50:35 of the like partying hard in stores and
1:50:37 like drinking after hours and obviously
1:50:39 they cleaned all that up over time, but
1:50:41 >> yeah, it was there for sure.
1:50:42 >> Yep.
1:50:43 >> Yep. So, okay, that's problem number
1:50:45 one. Problem number two, we didn't talk
1:50:48 about this as much in the model because
1:50:50 it didn't survive the early days, but
1:50:54 part of the philosophy of Home Depot as
1:50:57 it was getting built was
1:50:59 radical decentralization. And it's
1:51:02 awesome cuz the stores get to use their
1:51:04 local knowledge of the market to make
1:51:06 sure that they're buying all the right
1:51:07 stuff, the right quantities, that
1:51:09 they're super in touch with the
1:51:13 customer. And that leads to, I think
1:51:15 Bernie estimated 15 to 20% higher sales
1:51:17 per store because the regions were
1:51:19 making their own decisions.
1:51:20 >> Yep. Yep.
1:51:22 But as Home Depot scales,
1:51:25 the benefits of doing that really start
1:51:27 to get outweighed by what you're leaving
1:51:29 on the table in terms of scale economies
1:51:32 with purchasing power if you were to
1:51:35 centralize your merchandising
1:51:37 organization,
1:51:38 >> right? So there's there's chaotic
1:51:39 operations, there's lack of being able
1:51:41 to use technology and systems because
1:51:43 it's so fragmented everywhere. There's a
1:51:45 zillion decision makers and a zillion
1:51:47 negotiators with all these different
1:51:49 vendors. And the thing you're talking
1:51:50 about, David, you can't get the best
1:51:52 prices from your suppliers,
1:51:54 >> from your suppliers if you've got 57
1:51:56 different regional or even store level
1:51:59 buyers negotiating with them,
1:52:01 >> which wasn't an issue at any other store
1:52:02 because Home Depot invented the concept
1:52:05 of the national hardware store chain,
1:52:07 >> right? There wasn't even an opportunity
1:52:09 to do national buying for hardware
1:52:11 before Home Depot cuz nobody was buying
1:52:14 nationally. Like sure, absolutely, there
1:52:16 were still regional differences in what
1:52:18 like Arizona needed versus what Alaska
1:52:20 needed, but like a table saw is a table
1:52:23 saw. You don't need different table saws
1:52:26 for different parts of the country.
1:52:27 >> Yeah. So, that's two. And then three,
1:52:30 the market is changing. As we get into
1:52:32 the end of the 1990s and into the early
1:52:35 2000s, the US housing market is rapidly
1:52:40 inflating. This is everything that would
1:52:42 lead to the financial crisis and the
1:52:44 subprime crisis.
1:52:46 >> Yeah. You're putting down no cash and
1:52:48 managing to get a house because they're
1:52:49 willing to lend against invisible
1:52:52 earnings.
1:52:53 >> Yes. [laughter] Yes. So, obviously that
1:52:55 contained a lot of bad things for the
1:52:57 American economy and for home
1:52:59 improvement retailers to come. But
1:53:02 during the runup,
1:53:03 >> right, they're building houses at an
1:53:04 unmatched clip.
1:53:06 >> Yep. and it reopens the market for
1:53:09 Lowe's to come back as a real
1:53:11 competitor. So, while the housing market
1:53:13 is inflating here in the late 90s and
1:53:15 early 2000s, Lowe's completely changes
1:53:18 their strategy. Yeah. In 1990, they got
1:53:21 wise to what was happening to all of
1:53:24 their regional competitors and the
1:53:26 smaller format stores and they basically
1:53:28 studied Home Depot and said that is the
1:53:30 correct way to do this. So I think it
1:53:32 was 1990 they opened their first
1:53:34 warehouse store and they did a complete
1:53:37 about face. Obviously when you go to a
1:53:39 Lowe's today it's a very very similar
1:53:41 concept but this is like a real
1:53:43 innovators dilemma impressive thing that
1:53:46 they did to shed their old operations
1:53:48 and formats and close those and open
1:53:50 only Home Depot style stores starting in
1:53:52 the early 90s.
1:53:53 >> Yep. And here as the market is changing
1:53:56 you're getting younger buyers of homes
1:53:58 you're getting more women buyers of
1:53:59 homes. what they want and need from home
1:54:02 improvement
1:54:04 is actually starting to shift a little
1:54:06 bit from what Home Depot is offering.
1:54:08 >> Didn't Lowe's come in with a slogan uh
1:54:10 improving home improvement?
1:54:12 >> Exactly. Exactly. Tracking the slogans
1:54:14 in this industry will tell you
1:54:16 everything that is going on
1:54:18 strategically. Yeah. Improving home
1:54:19 improvement is aimed directly at Home
1:54:23 Depot and directly at appealing to
1:54:25 younger, more casual, often more women
1:54:28 buyers. M
1:54:29 >> these are buyers that aren't necessarily
1:54:31 doing home remodels. They're doing home
1:54:34 makeovers or home refinishings.
1:54:37 They're like weekend sprucers versus
1:54:39 weekend warriors. So, you know, they're
1:54:42 buying more kitchen and bath products,
1:54:44 furnishings. They're not buying lumber
1:54:47 and plumbing pipes and stuff like that.
1:54:49 >> So, Lowe's starts to shift. They
1:54:52 actually used to appeal more to pros and
1:54:54 then in this era they really start
1:54:55 shifting more to the end consumer, the
1:54:58 DIY casual consumer and having a more
1:55:01 pleasant shopping experience than Home
1:55:03 Depot's sort of rugged appealing to pros
1:55:06 environment.
1:55:07 >> Yep. And what does it also coincide
1:55:10 with? The internet. So all of a sudden,
1:55:14 for the first time, there's a way to get
1:55:16 educated as a consumer, as a DIYer about
1:55:21 how to complete these projects without
1:55:24 needing to go to these tough, burly
1:55:26 former pros that are staffing the Home
1:55:29 Depot.
1:55:29 >> Now, it would be a while still before
1:55:31 YouTube was founded. This is, you know,
1:55:33 late 90s, not the the 201s, but you
1:55:36 start to get people sharing information
1:55:38 on forums and things like that.
1:55:39 >> Yep. All of this in in aggregate though
1:55:42 opens up the market for a real
1:55:44 competitor for the first time. Yeah. So
1:55:47 once Arthur takes over Home Depot, he
1:55:49 runs the company for a couple years, but
1:55:50 these issues start piling up and he's
1:55:53 also getting tired just like Bernie when
1:55:55 Bernie retired. And the company's just
1:55:58 getting bigger and bigger. By 2000, it's
1:56:00 over $40 billion in revenue. They have
1:56:03 over a thousand stores and over 200,000
1:56:05 employees. And so one day at a board
1:56:08 meeting, Ken asks Arthur about
1:56:12 succession, like, "Hey man, you seem
1:56:14 like you're kind of getting tired, too.
1:56:16 If you need to step down tomorrow, is
1:56:19 there anybody here at the company that
1:56:20 could take your place?"
1:56:22 >> Right? When Bernie stepped down, we had
1:56:23 you, but who's after you?
1:56:25 >> And so Arthur goes away, thinks about
1:56:27 it, comes back, and he's like, "Oh man,
1:56:28 Ken, you're right. Actually, the answer
1:56:30 is no. Pat certainly can't take my place
1:56:34 and you can, you know, we love you, but
1:56:37 you're not an operator. You can't be CEO
1:56:39 of this company. And yeah, I guess we
1:56:41 haven't really cultivated an executive
1:56:43 bench here in the company of someone who
1:56:46 could take over as CEO. It is worth
1:56:48 saying they very impressively figured
1:56:51 out a management track for store
1:56:55 managers. 75% of store managers at Home
1:56:58 Depot don't have a college degree
1:57:00 because they have figured out how to
1:57:02 promote from within. And so you can, you
1:57:05 know, come to Home Depot as an
1:57:06 18-year-old retail employee and become a
1:57:08 store manager. And that works super
1:57:11 well. But what they didn't cultivate, at
1:57:13 least in this era, was who's going to
1:57:14 succeed these founders? So the board and
1:57:17 Arthur together decide, hey, we got to
1:57:20 bring in a external search firm and
1:57:23 bring some more management talent into
1:57:24 the company. And the plan is that
1:57:27 they're going to go recruit a president
1:57:28 and COO. Basically, somebody to replace
1:57:32 Arthur's old job as number two now that
1:57:35 Arthur is CEO. And this new person will
1:57:37 be next in line to take the helm of the
1:57:40 company when Arthur's ready to retire.
1:57:42 And Arthur actually chairs the search
1:57:43 committee himself. And the first target
1:57:47 is Jamie Diamond.
1:57:49 >> It's amazing.
1:57:49 >> Who has just gotten fired by Sandy While
1:57:52 at Croup.
1:57:53 >> Yes. And Jamie loved the uh Home Depot
1:57:56 founders as he told us on stage at our
1:57:58 Radio City show last year. But the other
1:58:01 thing that he said right after that was,
1:58:03 you know, I've never actually been to a
1:58:04 Home Depot before considering this
1:58:06 opportunity. And I and I think he went
1:58:08 in once because a friend told him like,
1:58:10 "Oh, you need to go upstate and go to
1:58:12 that Home Depot." And it just didn't. He
1:58:14 was like, "What am I doing here? I'm
1:58:15 like pretending to be a home
1:58:17 improvement."
1:58:18 >> Yeah. But this does burn a bunch of
1:58:21 time. The whole process of meeting
1:58:24 Jamie, wooing him, recruiting him, and
1:58:26 they really do vibe. Jaime will say to
1:58:28 this day that he loved everything about
1:58:31 Home Depot, the culture, the philosophy
1:58:33 as a company.
1:58:34 >> He talks about the store support center
1:58:35 thing all the time. When we were
1:58:37 preparing for Radio City, I watched 50
1:58:39 Jamie Diamond interviews and he
1:58:41 references how awesome it is that their
1:58:42 HQ is called Store Support Center, and
1:58:44 that's a cultural indicator.
1:58:46 >> Yep. So, the company burns about six
1:58:49 months on the Jamie process. At the end
1:58:53 of it, they've still got nobody and the
1:58:56 board is starting to get a little
1:58:57 frustrated here. Now, it just so
1:59:00 happened that Ken, in addition to now
1:59:03 being the lead director of the Home
1:59:05 Depot board, was also on the board of
1:59:09 General Electric.
1:59:11 And at the time, GE was going through
1:59:14 its own very public succession drama of
1:59:19 who was going to succeed Jack Welch,
1:59:22 >> the the most storied CEO in America at
1:59:24 the time.
1:59:25 >> Yeah, history has kind of forgotten this
1:59:27 now cuz G frankly has fallen apart, but
1:59:32 >> like literally got broken into three
1:59:33 pieces. So that's not a controversial
1:59:35 statement.
1:59:35 >> Yes. Yes. actually
1:59:37 >> and before that incinerated more market
1:59:40 cap than any other company before it in
1:59:42 history
1:59:44 >> or at least until some of the Nvidia
1:59:45 draw downs.
1:59:46 >> Oh, but yeah, these days like these
1:59:48 these drops that happen at big tech
1:59:50 companies is uh you know dwarfs
1:59:52 everything in comparison. But at the
1:59:54 time that that was the story is
1:59:57 >> postjack Welch GE just completely
2:00:00 destroying shareholder value.
2:00:02 >> Yep. But here we are in 1998, 1999,
2:00:06 2000. I mean, Fortune magazine crowned
2:00:09 Jack Welch the manager of the century in
2:00:13 its Millennium issue at the end of 1999.
2:00:17 That's how vaunted GE was.
2:00:20 >> Yep. And it was all driven by a culture
2:00:23 of operational excellence as embodied in
2:00:27 G's famous six sigma approach to
2:00:30 defectfree
2:00:32 output.
2:00:33 >> Sounds great.
2:00:34 >> Yeah, sounds great, right? Well, we'll
2:00:37 see. So, back to Home Depot. So, here's
2:00:40 Ken and the Home Depot board thinking,
2:00:42 "Man, we sure could use some of that
2:00:46 operational excellence stuff around
2:00:48 here. I think that would really be good
2:00:50 for the company.
2:00:51 >> And if you're going to go cherrypick the
2:00:53 best corporate leadership that you could
2:00:55 possibly get, the GE bench is probably
2:00:57 the place to go hunting. You couldn't
2:00:58 get Jamie Diamond. We don't have it
2:01:00 here. Let's start at the top.
2:01:02 >> GE is the consensus best place to look
2:01:05 in America for management,
2:01:06 >> which is crazy looking at the three
2:01:10 choices to succeed Jack Welch and how
2:01:13 disastrous it was for all three of them
2:01:15 and the three places they went. [gasps]
2:01:17 Yes. So, in November of 2000, Jack Welch
2:01:21 announces that Jeffrey EML will be his
2:01:24 successor to take over as GE's next CEO.
2:01:29 And Ben, as you were alluding to, the
2:01:30 other two candidates for the GE job were
2:01:34 James Mcernney, who quickly leaves to
2:01:37 become the CEO of 3M.
2:01:39 >> You may know his name because he would
2:01:41 then leave 3M to go and become the CEO
2:01:43 of Boeing.
2:01:45 >> Yeah. We all know how that turned out.
2:01:48 And then the other candidate, Bob
2:01:51 Nardelli, who Ken Langon, again being on
2:01:55 the GE board here, knows well and loves.
2:01:59 He loves Bob. So immediately after the
2:02:03 succession news comes out of GE, Ken
2:02:06 calls up Nardelli and pulls out the same
2:02:10 line that he used on Bernie 20 years
2:02:13 earlier. You've just been hit in the ass
2:02:15 with a golden horseshoe.
2:02:17 >> Guess where you get to go work [snorts]
2:02:18 now.
2:02:19 >> Guess what we are going to do together
2:02:22 now that you didn't get the GE CEO job.
2:02:26 I'm going to bring you into Home Depot.
2:02:28 So, the board immediately pivots and
2:02:32 offers Nardelli the president and COO
2:02:36 job and says, "You'll come in. You'll be
2:02:39 here for a little while. Arthur's going
2:02:41 to retire. you will be his appointed
2:02:43 successor. And so to incentivize
2:02:45 Nardelli to take this job, they say,
2:02:47 "We'll make you whole on your GE stock
2:02:50 options. We're going to give you $150
2:02:53 million equity package to come join Home
2:02:56 Depot."
2:02:58 Bob says, "Okay, great. I clearly can't
2:03:01 stay here at GE. I'm in." And then at
2:03:05 the last minute after they've already
2:03:08 agreed on a deal for Nardelli to come in
2:03:10 and be president and COO under Arthur,
2:03:13 Nardelli calls the recruiter and has the
2:03:17 recruiter tell the Home Depot board that
2:03:20 he's changed his mind. He's only going
2:03:22 to come on board if he becomes CEO right
2:03:25 away. He's not going to wait. M
2:03:27 >> this leads to a uh awkward, shall we
2:03:30 say, Home Depot board meeting where the
2:03:33 board presents this new development to
2:03:35 Arthur. He says, [sighs] "Okay, I'm okay
2:03:39 with it. Bob can have the CEO job." But
2:03:42 deep down, he's not really okay with it.
2:03:47 And part of it, I think, was Arthur not
2:03:50 being ready to let go. The other part of
2:03:53 it I think was a genuine Spidey sense
2:03:55 that hey, what is this last minute bait
2:03:58 and switch from Nardelli, is this a red
2:04:01 flag here?
2:04:02 >> Well, Arthur would later say, A, this is
2:04:04 faster timing than I was thinking for me
2:04:07 to leave. But B, Arthur would later say
2:04:10 in an interview, I thought he was the
2:04:12 wrong choice by a lot, even though I'm
2:04:14 the one who initiated an external
2:04:16 search.
2:04:16 >> Yep.
2:04:16 >> To your point though, I think the uh
2:04:18 Yeah. Yeah, I'm okay with it. is a
2:04:20 little bit of like a test to the board
2:04:22 of what I would like is you to come back
2:04:25 to me and say, "Actually, we love you so
2:04:26 much.
2:04:27 >> Who is this guy? No, get him out of
2:04:29 here. We think you should stay CEO."
2:04:31 >> Yep. Yep. Well, that's not what the
2:04:34 board says.
2:04:35 >> They take him at his word.
2:04:36 >> They take him at his word. This leads to
2:04:39 a big fight, like a big fight between
2:04:43 Arthur and Bernie and Ken, as chronicled
2:04:46 in Ken's book, I Love Capitalism,
2:04:48 because Bernie's still on the board at
2:04:50 this point, and I think pretty severely
2:04:52 damages their relationship going
2:04:54 forward.
2:04:56 Regardless, the board does bring Bob in
2:04:59 as CEO. Arthur
2:05:02 resigns as CEO, but stays on the board
2:05:06 for just a couple months. and within 6
2:05:08 months he fully steps away and is gone
2:05:11 from the company. We'll come back to
2:05:14 Arthur all the way at the end, but uh
2:05:16 >> he's got his own golden horseshoe
2:05:18 >> golden horseshoe. Yeah, [laughter]
2:05:20 >> spoiler alert. He would, I think, become
2:05:23 the highest net worth of any of these
2:05:25 folks.
2:05:26 >> So, Nardelli comes in as the new Home
2:05:29 Depot CEO. And to the outside world,
2:05:33 this looks like a huge win. I mean, they
2:05:35 got essentially the most eligible
2:05:38 corporate bachelor in America, one of
2:05:40 the two runners up to the GE job. And as
2:05:43 you're imagining, that's probably not a
2:05:45 great dynamic you want to enter into for
2:05:48 a new relationship, be it romantic or in
2:05:53 a boardroom.
2:05:53 >> I wanted that job, but I got this one,
2:05:55 so I'm going to try to make this job
2:05:57 like the one that I wanted.
2:05:58 >> Yeah. Yeah. Now, to be fair, the first
2:06:01 couple years of Nardelli's tenure are
2:06:04 great.
2:06:05 >> Maybe even the first three or four.
2:06:07 >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Uh Ken Langon still
2:06:10 says to this day that for the first four
2:06:13 years, everything Nardelli touched
2:06:15 turned to gold. Turns out that a lot of
2:06:18 the issues that had been popping up in
2:06:21 the company that we talked about a
2:06:22 minute ago could be fixed with great
2:06:26 operational excellence. And there was a
2:06:28 lot of low hanging fruit around.
2:06:29 >> Yeah. When he came in in 2000, there had
2:06:31 been four consecutive quarters of
2:06:34 slowing comparable store sales growth.
2:06:37 There's clearly some serious underlying
2:06:39 issue there. The older stores, they were
2:06:41 getting really run down.
2:06:43 >> And yeah, this is where Lowe's was
2:06:44 coming back and beating Home Depot.
2:06:47 >> The extreme decentralization made things
2:06:49 very chaotic. Nardelli referred to the
2:06:51 company in an interview as having been
2:06:53 in startup mode for 20 years. Clearly
2:06:56 what Nardelli missed is how important
2:06:58 being entrepreneurial was to the
2:07:00 company's success. He was about to
2:07:02 embark on a mission of operational
2:07:04 excellence. But you can operationally
2:07:07 excellence yourself out of being
2:07:09 entrepreneurial. If you take away all of
2:07:12 people's ability to take ideas and act
2:07:14 on them and have fun and all that stuff
2:07:16 like you that could kill the company.
2:07:19 Yep. Yep.
2:07:19 >> The other things he did was just this.
2:07:21 If you look across every system,
2:07:23 purchasing, replenishment,
2:07:25 merchandising, all operating functions,
2:07:28 he would centralize. He took nine
2:07:30 separate buying offices and folded them
2:07:32 into one. So, they were suddenly getting
2:07:34 better prices from their suppliers. He
2:07:36 invested in a bunch of new technology
2:07:38 systems. I mean, the the the answer here
2:07:40 isn't decentralize or centralize. You
2:07:43 have to have the balance where you
2:07:44 centralize where there's actually a
2:07:46 benefit of getting all the data in one
2:07:48 place or doing a bulk negotiation or
2:07:50 doing analysis on one data set in a
2:07:53 system of record. But you definitely
2:07:55 don't want to centralize it when you can
2:07:57 push decision making closest to the
2:08:00 customer where people can see like all
2:08:02 the idiosyncrasies of any given
2:08:04 situation.
2:08:05 >> Yep. Yeah. Here's the way I would
2:08:08 characterize it.
2:08:11 There was a bunch of lowhanging fruit
2:08:13 operationally. Nardelli
2:08:16 was excellent at implementing all the
2:08:18 changes that needed to be made on that
2:08:21 front at Home Depot,
2:08:23 but he was all about six sigma, all
2:08:26 about operational excellence. I mean, he
2:08:28 was the GE guy through and through. And
2:08:32 operating the Home Depot was not the
2:08:35 same thing as manufacturing turbines at
2:08:37 GE,
2:08:38 >> right? So if you go back to the whole
2:08:41 thesis of Home Depot here and this idea
2:08:44 of being a specialty retailer
2:08:46 >> with great service
2:08:48 >> meaning you need to service your
2:08:50 customers. It's not to say that GE
2:08:52 doesn't service their customers, but
2:08:54 it's a very different dynamic.
2:08:56 >> At GE line level employees are
2:08:59 completely replaceable,
2:09:01 >> right? By design.
2:09:01 >> This is the whole point of six sigma
2:09:04 black belt. We are going to drive out
2:09:06 costs and inefficiencies ruthlessly
2:09:09 within the organization. It's the
2:09:11 system. It's not the people.
2:09:14 That's the opposite of the 25 cent
2:09:18 kitchen sink washer sale leading to a
2:09:21 $100,000 kitchen remodel on the sales
2:09:24 floor at Home Depot. You just can't
2:09:27 measure that in a six sigma spreadsheet
2:09:29 management process kind of way.
2:09:31 >> It reminds me of why Jeff Bezos doesn't
2:09:33 like to have his meetings have a hard
2:09:36 end time cuz he he likes to be able to
2:09:38 wander to invent and wander and if
2:09:39 you're going to invent you need to
2:09:41 wander. It's like the if the job of the
2:09:44 Home Depot store is to have an associate
2:09:47 wander with a customer who's trying to
2:09:49 figure out how to solve some problem or
2:09:51 dream up some project that is really
2:09:55 hard to optimize because it's kind of an
2:09:57 unbounded problem.
2:09:58 >> Yep. So what does Nardelli do? He
2:10:02 replaces huge swaths of the associate on
2:10:08 the floor retail workforce in Home Depot
2:10:12 with part-time general retail labor. So
2:10:18 doing away with the whole philosophy
2:10:20 that made Home Depot of we have
2:10:22 knowledgeable people who are going to
2:10:24 make that 25 cent washer sale and fix a
2:10:27 customer's kitchen sink and have that
2:10:29 lead to something bigger down the line.
2:10:32 All that's going to go we're going to
2:10:34 bring in 16-year-olds on part-time jobs
2:10:37 to just ring them up at the cash
2:10:39 register.
2:10:40 >> And not only that, there's just going to
2:10:41 be less of them, period. According to
2:10:43 Arvin's research, associates per store
2:10:45 dropped from 200 to 170 over the course
2:10:49 of 2000 to 2006.
2:10:51 >> Yep.
2:10:52 >> The 15% reduction in headcount just like
2:10:54 all right, we have fewer people to help
2:10:56 you solve your problems now.
2:10:58 >> Yep. So those are the associates on the
2:11:00 floor. Now the store managers before
2:11:02 Nardelli, all the store managers were
2:11:05 promoted up, Ben, as you said, from
2:11:07 store associates and they were focused
2:11:09 on their stores, their customers, doing
2:11:10 what was right, etc.
2:11:12 Nardelli changes the criteria for store
2:11:15 managers now preferring candidates with
2:11:19 college degrees.
2:11:20 >> So now there's no promotion path cuz no
2:11:22 one's starting on the floor with a
2:11:24 college degree. Every single person that
2:11:26 you're hiring into those associate jobs
2:11:28 doesn't have one. So what you're just
2:11:29 telling them is like you're locked in
2:11:31 this forever job with no path now.
2:11:33 >> And think back to the old workforce. All
2:11:35 these trades people who are highly
2:11:37 educated, highly knowledgeable, they
2:11:38 have trades degrees, if they have
2:11:40 degrees at all. They don't have college
2:11:41 degrees. That has nothing to do with
2:11:44 either knowing about hardware and home
2:11:46 improvement or being a great retailer.
2:11:49 >> Yeah. I mean, it weakened the culture.
2:11:51 Zooming out, there's a great case to be
2:11:53 made that the only sustainable
2:11:54 competitive advantage this company had
2:11:56 were their scale economies and their
2:11:58 culture. This entrepreneurial we can
2:12:01 figure it out thing. This is heavily
2:12:04 destructive to that in a way that you
2:12:06 may never be able to fully rescue and
2:12:08 get back. So, a couple years into
2:12:10 Nardelli's tenure, customer satisfaction
2:12:14 among Home Depot shoppers falls to the
2:12:18 lowest level of any major US retailer.
2:12:22 So, all the major US retailers, you
2:12:24 know, there's annual surveys of customer
2:12:26 satisfaction at everything from Best Buy
2:12:29 to Costco to Walmart to Home Depot to
2:12:32 Lowe's. Home Depot goes from near the
2:12:35 top to dead last. But David, they
2:12:39 doubled their revenue and their profits
2:12:41 and they grew from 1100 stores to 2,000
2:12:45 stores in five years. What do you mean
2:12:48 there are problems? All the charts are
2:12:49 up into the right.
2:12:51 >> Yeah. Yeah. So that then leads into the
2:12:55 issue of Nardelli's compensation. So, on
2:12:58 top of the huge equity grant that he got
2:13:00 when he joined Home Depot from GE,
2:13:04 Nardelli also gets paid roughly $200
2:13:08 million
2:13:09 by the board over the six years of his
2:13:12 tenure running Home Depot. And the board
2:13:14 would always give him bigger bonuses and
2:13:17 pay him more than they were
2:13:19 contractually obligated to because
2:13:21 Nardelli would always make the argument
2:13:22 to them, "Hey, I'm crushing my numbers.
2:13:25 Revenue's up. profits are up. I'm
2:13:27 beating plan. Everything is great. He
2:13:30 would refuse, however, when the board
2:13:32 would ask to tie any of his compensation
2:13:36 to the company's stock price, which I
2:13:39 will say is is in some ways fair. I know
2:13:41 it's misaligned with shareholders, but
2:13:43 it is in some ways fair because it is
2:13:44 incentivizing you on the things you can
2:13:46 control because a stock price is just
2:13:49 what the outside world thinks of you,
2:13:51 not actually what you are doing. It
2:13:53 always has struck me a little bit weird
2:13:55 that I
2:13:56 You're comped on what other people think
2:13:59 of the company.
2:14:00 >> Ben, it's like you're reading from
2:14:02 Nardelli script right here. So, Business
2:14:04 Week would report on this because this
2:14:06 was uncommon for major CEOs at the time
2:14:09 and through to today. And Nardelli would
2:14:12 always say, "Hey, this is the one
2:14:13 measure of company performance that I
2:14:15 can't control, so I'm not going to agree
2:14:17 to my comp to be tied to it." The
2:14:20 problem in Home Depot is that this is
2:14:22 fundamentally going against a key part
2:14:26 that we talked about a minute ago of the
2:14:27 company's model.
2:14:29 >> No stock go up, no machine work.
2:14:31 >> Exactly. And so for all the associates
2:14:33 on the store floor now, those of them
2:14:36 who are left with equity, their promise
2:14:39 has always been, I do good work, I see
2:14:42 the results, the stock price goes up, I
2:14:45 get rich. Now, here's this big wig
2:14:47 former GE guy coming in as CEO and
2:14:50 saying, "Yeah, I'm gonna get rich
2:14:52 regardless of whether the stock price
2:14:55 goes up and the stock price stops going
2:14:59 up."
2:15:00 >> Yeah. Why did the stock price stay flat
2:15:02 during this time?
2:15:03 >> Well, here's what's going on. Even
2:15:05 though he doubles revenue and profits,
2:15:08 he actually mostly does it by doubling
2:15:12 store count. Ben, as you had said, same
2:15:15 store sales comps had already trended
2:15:17 flat before Nardelli joins. They
2:15:21 actually stay flat for his tenure. So,
2:15:23 Wall Street keeps bringing this up as a
2:15:25 major red flag and comparing Home Depot
2:15:27 to Lowe's, which is growing same store
2:15:31 comps as they're taking this new segment
2:15:34 of the market, you know, the weekend
2:15:36 sprucers here.
2:15:37 >> And it gets even worse. During
2:15:40 Nardelli's tenure, he authorizes $20
2:15:42 billion in share buybacks and dividends.
2:15:45 That doesn't even move the stock price,
2:15:47 >> which you should read as all the
2:15:49 institutional investors have all these
2:15:50 discounted cash flow models and they
2:15:53 don't believe that the sum of all the
2:15:56 future profits that this business will
2:15:57 generate discounted to the present is
2:16:00 growing. They think the value of this
2:16:02 business is staying flat.
2:16:04 >> Yeah. Well, they think it's shrinking
2:16:06 because Home Depot is also in the market
2:16:09 buying up stock
2:16:11 >> and that's not moving the price up. So,
2:16:14 >> right. But the the highle point is
2:16:16 despite revenue and profits and being up
2:16:20 due to new store openings, we do not
2:16:22 think the future of this company is
2:16:25 brighter.
2:16:26 >> Yep. Yep. And meanwhile, during this
2:16:28 same period, again, this is as the US
2:16:31 housing bubble is reaching, you know,
2:16:33 its peak inflation, Lowe's stock price
2:16:35 is up 200%. They're winning the housing
2:16:39 bubble.
2:16:40 >> The other thing we haven't talked about
2:16:41 is he
2:16:43 tried to bolt a lot onto this company.
2:16:46 He was growing by acquisition and
2:16:48 expanding into adjacencies and launching
2:16:50 new business lines to create these new
2:16:53 adjacencies versus just kind of
2:16:55 investing in the core business.
2:16:57 >> Yep. Yep.
2:16:58 >> Which like when you come from a
2:16:59 conglomerate like GE,
2:17:01 >> that's what you do.
2:17:02 >> That's what you do. And on top of all of
2:17:04 this, some of what made Home Depot
2:17:07 unique starts to fade. They took gross
2:17:10 margin up, which results of course in
2:17:13 more profits, but prices that aren't
2:17:16 blow. They're closer to market
2:17:18 competitive. And actually, if you look
2:17:20 at their gross margin profile, it's
2:17:22 remained elevated ever since. So, it's
2:17:26 not a huge difference. The gross margins
2:17:28 are still lower than typical retail and
2:17:30 certainly lower than that 45% that we
2:17:32 talked about way back when. But they
2:17:34 went from this like 28 29 30 range to
2:17:37 like pretty squarely 33% gross margins
2:17:41 which is not as low as Walmart let alone
2:17:44 Costco's razor thin margins. So they
2:17:47 kind of moved away from that uh
2:17:49 >> Costco model if you will
2:17:51 >> the scale economy's shared idea. they
2:17:53 sort of realized, h, you know, we can
2:17:56 actually keep a little bit more of the
2:17:57 profits.
2:17:58 >> Yep. Which also coming back to Wall
2:18:01 Street's
2:18:03 disappointment with Nardelli and the
2:18:05 company despite the growth of revenue
2:18:06 and profits makes sense, right? Like
2:18:08 he's trying to pull out all the tools in
2:18:11 the tool bag to get Wall Street back on
2:18:13 his side here.
2:18:14 >> You're right. It's just incentive
2:18:15 misalignment. If you're comped on the
2:18:17 stock price, you don't care about the
2:18:20 business's current performance. You just
2:18:22 want investors to believe the story that
2:18:24 you are storing up long-term value
2:18:25 inside the company. So you keep prices
2:18:28 really low. You keep volume really high.
2:18:30 You keep customers really obsessed. If
2:18:32 your comp is tied to today's numbers,
2:18:35 you you don't store value inside the
2:18:37 company. You try to pump today's
2:18:39 numbers.
2:18:39 >> Exactly. It's a paradoxical misalignment
2:18:42 of incentives.
2:18:44 >> Fascinating.
2:18:45 >> Yep. So you actually coming all the way
2:18:47 back around, you do want to incentivize
2:18:50 management on stock price because that
2:18:53 is the way that we are storing up value
2:18:56 in this business for the far future.
2:18:58 >> Yep. So all of this brewing negativity
2:19:04 and certainly Wall Street
2:19:06 dissatisfaction
2:19:08 with Nardelli comes to a head at Home
2:19:11 Depot's 2006
2:19:14 annual shareholder meeting. Jonas Sera,
2:19:18 great financial journalist, wrote for
2:19:21 the New York Times. I'm just going to
2:19:23 read here. Quote, "Mr. Nardelli has
2:19:27 become this year's version of Mr.
2:19:29 Overpaid CEO. In the 5 years since he
2:19:33 was recruited from General Electric,
2:19:35 Home Depot stock has fallen 12% while
2:19:39 shares of its chief competitor Lowe's
2:19:41 have risen 173%.
2:19:44 You've heard of pay for performance.
2:19:46 This is pay for pulse. O. [laughter]
2:19:49 These facts barely begin to get at the
2:19:52 richer story that is the Home Depot
2:19:55 scandal. So, I hopped on a train and
2:19:57 headed to Wilmington, Delaware, where
2:19:59 the Home Depot shareholder meeting was
2:20:02 being held this year. I arrive. I can
2:20:05 hear protesters chanting, "Hey, Bob, why
2:20:08 are you chicken while the stock price
2:20:09 takes a licking?" Mr. Nardelli finally
2:20:12 takes the podium. He's accompanied by no
2:20:15 one else. Suddenly, we all understand
2:20:18 what's going on. The board isn't coming
2:20:22 to the annual meeting. In all my years
2:20:26 as a business reporter, I have never
2:20:28 seen that before. As a corporate
2:20:30 governance expert at the University of
2:20:32 Delaware will tell me the next morning,
2:20:34 quote, "Your one obligation as a
2:20:37 director is to show up at the annual
2:20:39 meeting. [laughter]
2:20:40 The fact that the directors didn't show
2:20:42 up is disgusting." [gasps] Uh, Nardelli
2:20:46 begins the meeting. When the first
2:20:47 person gets up to speak, the questioner
2:20:50 gets mad. I think it is absolutely
2:20:52 outrageous that the board is not here.
2:20:55 The board is too chicken to face the
2:20:58 shareholders. As he speaks, the timer
2:21:00 hits zero, and his microphone is cut
2:21:03 off. After the meeting, the words on
2:21:06 people's mouths are appalling,
2:21:08 disgraceful, and arrogant. I would add
2:21:11 one more, contemptuous. I'm sure there
2:21:13 are plenty of boards and chief
2:21:14 executives who have contempt for their
2:21:16 shareholders, but most of them are at
2:21:19 least smart enough to keep it to
2:21:20 themselves. So, what happened? Did the
2:21:23 board not want to show up and say they
2:21:26 were aligned with Bob? Did Bob say,
2:21:28 "Please don't come cuz I don't want you
2:21:30 speaking against me."
2:21:32 >> It has never come out. I think that
2:21:35 Nardelli was just fed up with [snorts]
2:21:40 the narrative around him and all the
2:21:43 discussions of his pay and the flat
2:21:45 stock price and uh he just wanted to say
2:21:51 a giant FU to the shareholder community
2:21:54 of Home Depot,
2:21:56 many of which included current and
2:21:59 former Home Depot employees.
2:22:01 >> Wow. It's It's bad.
2:22:03 >> I mean, bad on the board, too, though.
2:22:05 >> Yeah. Bad on the board. Bad on
2:22:06 everybody. So, the fallout from this
2:22:10 event is extreme. Home Depot basically
2:22:13 becomes the new symbol of everything
2:22:15 that is wrong with corporate America.
2:22:18 >> And in particular, Nardelli's pay
2:22:20 package is being held up as the number
2:22:23 one example of corporate greed,
2:22:26 corporate executives making too much.
2:22:28 >> Yep. In the weeks and months after this
2:22:31 meeting, the company and Nardelli and
2:22:34 the board issue a series of explanations
2:22:38 and apologies in escalating
2:22:41 obsequiousness.
2:22:42 Doesn't do anything to change the
2:22:45 narrative. Finally, on January 2nd,
2:22:49 2007, Ken Langon calls a special board
2:22:52 meeting in Dallas, and the board fires
2:22:55 Nardelli at this meeting. He gets an $18
2:22:59 million cash severance payable
2:23:01 immediately and gets a quote unquote
2:23:04 retirement package valued at $210
2:23:08 million.
2:23:09 >> This is on top of the initial make you
2:23:14 whole grant plus the pay along the way.
2:23:17 >> Yes. Yes, it is. Ultimately, in Ken
2:23:20 Langon's book, he does say that Nardelli
2:23:22 only ended up getting a fraction of that
2:23:25 amount, but it doesn't matter. The
2:23:27 headlines are brutal. When the news gets
2:23:31 announced, the associates on the store
2:23:34 floors in Home Depot, there's reports
2:23:38 and videos of them celebrating and
2:23:40 high-fiving and basically, you know,
2:23:42 having a party.
2:23:43 >> Was not exactly a man of the people.
2:23:45 >> No, no, not exactly a man of the people.
2:23:47 After this, Nardelli quickly gets
2:23:50 another job. He becomes the CEO of
2:23:54 Chrysler to guide that great American
2:23:58 car company through the financial crisis
2:24:01 and continue its path as an independent
2:24:04 American automaker, succeeding and
2:24:07 coming through it much like Ford did as
2:24:08 an independent company and GM did as an
2:24:10 independent company.
2:24:12 Oh, wait. [laughter]
2:24:14 >> Ends up getting owned by the Italians.
2:24:16 >> Yes.
2:24:17 >> Yeah. You can go listen to our Ferrari
2:24:19 episode to learn how that all turned
2:24:22 out.
2:24:22 >> How Fiat Chrysler was born.
2:24:24 >> Yep. So, once again, Home Depot and the
2:24:27 board are left without an obvious
2:24:30 successor. Who do they turn to to
2:24:34 go? Well, I would say up from here.
2:24:37 Anywhere from here would be up from
2:24:39 here. They decide that they're going to
2:24:42 pin their hopes on another GE guy. one
2:24:46 of Nardelli's lieutenants that he'd
2:24:48 brought over from GE to run M&A and
2:24:52 corporate development for Home Depot. A
2:24:54 new role, as you were saying, Ben, as
2:24:57 they added all this stuff to the
2:24:58 company,
2:24:59 >> someone who Ken loved, but Birdie was
2:25:03 nowhere near convinced was the right
2:25:05 choice.
2:25:06 >> Yeah. Yeah. A former lawyer by the name
2:25:08 of Frank Blake. Bernie and also I would
2:25:12 assume Arthur, although I don't think
2:25:13 Arthur was on speaking terms with the
2:25:15 board at this point in time are pissed.
2:25:19 Bernie's actual quote to Ken when Ken
2:25:22 calls him and tells him who the next CEO
2:25:24 of Home Depot is going to be is, "I
2:25:27 can't believe you brought in another
2:25:29 goddamn GE guy to run my company."
2:25:32 But it would turn out that not only was
2:25:35 Frank Blake nothing like Bob Nardelli,
2:25:39 he was exactly what Home Depot needed.
2:25:43 But before we tell that story, yes, now
2:25:46 is a great time, listeners, to thank one
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2:26:10 developers.
2:26:11 >> And David, I have yet another
2:26:13 interesting parallel for you to this
2:26:15 episode on Home Depot. Home Depot is not
2:26:18 just in the business of selling, you
2:26:20 know, lumber. They wouldn't be a $350
2:26:22 billion company if that's all there was
2:26:24 to it. They were in the business of
2:26:26 turning regular people into builders.
2:26:30 Aha, I see what you're doing here. Yes,
2:26:32 Bernie and Arthur staffed those first
2:26:34 stores with actual plumbers and
2:26:36 electricians and carpenters. People
2:26:38 whose job was to stand in the aisle and
2:26:40 teach you how to do the thing yourself.
2:26:42 They didn't just sell you the tools,
2:26:44 they gave you the confidence to pick
2:26:45 them up.
2:26:46 >> Which is exactly the moment that
2:26:47 software is in right now. The number of
2:26:49 people who can build something real has
2:26:52 been completely blown open. I mean,
2:26:54 engineers, sure, but also designers
2:26:56 shipping their own products. Founders
2:26:58 who have never worked at a tech company
2:27:00 before. People who describe what they
2:27:02 want and watch it get built by AI. Yep.
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2:27:48 to get started. All right, David. the
2:27:52 saving of Home Depot. [laughter]
2:27:54 >> Man, things got pretty low there, didn't
2:27:56 they? For a little while.
2:27:57 >> Yes.
2:27:58 >> Fortunately, there's a comeback story
2:28:00 here, too.
2:28:00 >> So, the thing that is the context of all
2:28:03 of this, we're going to talk about all
2:28:04 the personnel stuff and the cultural
2:28:05 change. In 2006,
2:28:09 the housing bubble burst.
2:28:10 >> Yep.
2:28:11 >> I mean, we know of the great financial
2:28:13 crisis in 2008, which is after this
2:28:17 leadership transition, which was January
2:28:18 of 2007. But if you go back to 2006,
2:28:23 that is where you can see it in Home
2:28:24 Depot's financials. Spending on home
2:28:27 improvement supplies fell off a cliff
2:28:29 2006 into 2007.
2:28:32 And the actual ceasing of building new
2:28:36 homes for all of these unqualified
2:28:38 buyers took like 18 24 months to wind
2:28:42 its way all the way through the
2:28:43 financial system and to blow everything
2:28:45 up. But for Home Depot, their revenue
2:28:48 would fall starting in 2007.
2:28:51 It bottomed in 2010, and it actually did
2:28:54 not get back to 2007 levels until 2014.
2:28:59 So that's a 7-year span. And it's the
2:29:01 same story with net income where they
2:29:03 were below their previous high water
2:29:05 mark on revenue and profits.
2:29:07 >> Yep. And I think this maybe explains a
2:29:12 little bit of the board's behavior. Once
2:29:15 again, we don't have a bench here that
2:29:18 we know well and are confident in to
2:29:21 come run the company. Shoot. I think we
2:29:24 got to stick with this guy as long as we
2:29:27 can.
2:29:28 >> Yeah. Most if not all of the other
2:29:31 executive ranks at Home Depot were all
2:29:34 Nardelli guys at this point in time. So,
2:29:37 if they were to get rid of Bob, the
2:29:39 bench is only staffed with more Bobs.
2:29:42 >> Or so they thought.
2:29:43 >> Or so they thought.
2:29:44 >> To give some credit to Bob, even though
2:29:46 his tactics were not the right tactics
2:29:48 on this company for their core
2:29:50 competency, their culture, their
2:29:51 mission, any of that stuff, the wind had
2:29:54 for decades been at Home Depot's back.
2:29:57 Yep.
2:29:57 >> You know that this this amazing boom in
2:30:01 housing and suddenly you no longer have
2:30:04 that. It's just hard to manage and
2:30:06 create growth in an environment like
2:30:07 that.
2:30:08 >> Yep. So, coming out of the board meeting
2:30:11 on January 2nd, 2007, when Nardelli gets
2:30:15 fired, Frank Blake, the Darkhorse
2:30:17 candidate, becomes CEO. So, yeah, Ben,
2:30:21 who is Frank? So Frank was a lawyer by
2:30:24 training who'd worked in DC in the
2:30:28 federal government as a public servant
2:30:29 who'd been a Supreme Court clerk, had
2:30:32 gone to GE and risen up to become the
2:30:34 head of M&A, came over with Bob Nardelli
2:30:38 and held a senior role at Home Depot,
2:30:41 but he didn't own a P&L. Like he his job
2:30:44 didn't look anything like what a CEO's
2:30:47 job would look like,
2:30:49 >> right? He didn't have an operational
2:30:50 role at the company. He wasn't in touch
2:30:52 with the store associates. He wasn't on
2:30:53 the store floors.
2:30:54 >> But the answer to why he's the right
2:30:56 choice is he was in touch with the
2:30:59 culture, with what made Home Depot
2:31:01 special, with its original founding
2:31:02 principles, all that. One of the ways in
2:31:06 which he was, he talked about this on
2:31:08 Invest Like the Best in Patrick's
2:31:10 podcast interview with him. His son
2:31:12 worked at Home Depot.
2:31:13 >> Yep, that's right. And so he got the
2:31:15 unvarnished take, not the corporate
2:31:18 ivory tower sort of filtering of
2:31:20 information. He got the dinner table
2:31:22 conversation of what's it like in the
2:31:24 stores.
2:31:25 >> Yep.
2:31:25 >> And obviously it wasn't just that one
2:31:27 thing, but that's the mentality that he
2:31:29 brought to this job of how do we exist
2:31:32 as a store support center, not as a
2:31:34 headquarters.
2:31:35 >> Yep. So when Frank takes over as CEO at
2:31:39 that same board meeting on January 2nd,
2:31:42 like the the first thing that he says to
2:31:44 the board, the first ask that he makes
2:31:47 is, "I want to place a call to Bernie."
2:31:50 By this point in time, Bernie had
2:31:52 retired fully from the board and
2:31:54 certainly was just disgusted with the
2:31:56 whole state of the company, as evidenced
2:31:58 by his another goddamn GE guy quote.
2:32:01 Mhm.
2:32:02 >> So Frank gets him on the phone, even
2:32:04 knowing that Bernie is hostile to him
2:32:08 and convinces Bernie that he wants to
2:32:11 come meet him and spend some time with
2:32:14 him. That leads to Frank and Ken going
2:32:17 to Florida to meet with Bernie where he
2:32:19 now lives, getting breakfast with him
2:32:21 the next weekend. And then Bernie and
2:32:24 Frank go out and they do a store walk
2:32:27 together, but it's not a store walk of
2:32:31 Home Depot. The first place they visit
2:32:33 together is Costco. Because to Bernie,
2:32:36 Home Depot stores no longer embody the
2:32:41 values and qualities of a great retailer
2:32:43 that he wants to teach, you know, the
2:32:46 young Jedi here.
2:32:47 >> [laughter]
2:32:47 >> So that's the first thing that Frank
2:32:49 does is mend the Bernie relationship
2:32:51 >> and really learn directly from him. What
2:32:54 do you think the culture is? Cuz the
2:32:56 whole time he's been here, he's been
2:32:58 under Bob. Frank wasn't here under
2:32:59 Bernie. And so it's like, hey, I'm I'm
2:33:02 going to try to reinvent reinvigorate
2:33:05 whatever was special about the culture.
2:33:06 Help me understand what that is.
2:33:08 >> Yep. And one of the things that he
2:33:09 brings up is this sort of fabled uh
2:33:12 inverted pyramid at Home Depot where you
2:33:15 know you've got imagine a pyramid except
2:33:17 it's upside down and at the bottom is
2:33:19 the CEO and that the CEO is just this
2:33:22 tiny little triangle and at the top the
2:33:23 big thick level is customers and then
2:33:25 underneath customers is associates and
2:33:27 the belief is like look the people who
2:33:29 can actually affect the experience of
2:33:33 the customers on their projects is the
2:33:35 associates and everyone under them just
2:33:37 exists to serve them and Frank sort of
2:33:39 grabs this and brings this to the
2:33:42 company as kind of a management tool of
2:33:43 hey we need to start paying attention to
2:33:45 this again.
2:33:45 >> Yep. So after calling Bernie the second
2:33:49 thing that Frank says to the board upon
2:33:52 becoming CEO is hey we got to get this
2:33:57 whole issue of the Home Depot CEO's
2:34:00 compensation out of the newspapers. We
2:34:03 got to make it not a thing anymore. So
2:34:07 obviously my compensation needs to be
2:34:10 much lower than what Bob's was. And I
2:34:15 want to align myself with you guys, the
2:34:18 company and the shareholders. So I want
2:34:20 90% of whatever number we collectively
2:34:24 decide is my compensation, the right
2:34:26 number for the CEO of Home Depot. I want
2:34:28 90% of that to be in stock options so
2:34:31 that I'm aligned with the company, the
2:34:34 shareholders, the employees. I'm going
2:34:36 to bring it all back to the equity
2:34:40 strategy that the company had forever.
2:34:42 >> Okay. That's a way to make a statement.
2:34:44 >> Yep.
2:34:44 >> And if the company does well, you do
2:34:46 really well.
2:34:48 >> Yep. And the company would do well under
2:34:50 Frank.
2:34:52 So the next thing is he completely stops
2:34:56 new store expansion for Home Depot.
2:34:59 Says, "All right, if we're going to
2:35:01 return this company to growth, we got to
2:35:02 do it with same store sales." So this is
2:35:05 crazy. In 2008, they had grown to 2300
2:35:10 stores. And today, 18 years later, they
2:35:14 are at just 2400
2:35:17 stores.
2:35:18 >> Yep.
2:35:18 >> Here's how it went from 2008. Right away
2:35:21 they closed about 30 of them. They took
2:35:23 a billion dollar write off on all of the
2:35:26 pipeline that they had been developing.
2:35:28 So all this new store development, they
2:35:29 said, "Nope, we're not going to open any
2:35:31 of those. We're just going to focus on
2:35:32 store productivity." Then for the next
2:35:35 11 years, other than like four or five
2:35:38 stores a year here and there, they did
2:35:40 not open any new stores. They were flat
2:35:43 for over a decade
2:35:45 >> as they are simultaneously returning to
2:35:48 growth. So remarkably, while they
2:35:50 weren't opening new stores, they grew
2:35:52 revenue from 70 billion to 130 billion
2:35:55 and net income from 4 billion to 11
2:35:58 billion. All by focusing on the return
2:36:00 they could get from their existing
2:36:02 stores. So sales per store go from
2:36:06 around 30 million to about 65 million
2:36:09 over that 11 years. Yeah. Per store.
2:36:12 >> Yeah. Crazy.
2:36:13 >> I mean, they just cranked on store
2:36:15 productivity.
2:36:16 >> Yep. And we're going to get to
2:36:18 e-commerce in a minute which was a big
2:36:20 part of this.
2:36:20 >> That is of course it's funny that was my
2:36:22 next thing too. I was like that is the
2:36:23 missing
2:36:24 >> piece of this puzzle. But I think
2:36:26 there's a interesting like cultural
2:36:28 thing here. They'd always grown ever
2:36:30 since founding by growing stores. It was
2:36:32 this like safety net that we can we will
2:36:34 always show growth because we are always
2:36:36 growing stores which means a you don't
2:36:39 really optimize the stores you have. you
2:36:41 don't try to ring the very most you can
2:36:43 out of them because you have a different
2:36:44 way to provide growth. And B, if you
2:36:48 believe opening stores is a
2:36:50 intrinsically virtuous, then you just
2:36:53 open more stores whether it was a good
2:36:55 idea or not. So there's lots of stores
2:36:57 they open that like probably shouldn't
2:36:58 have been open and they either needed to
2:37:00 close or focus on getting their
2:37:02 productivity up to where it should be,
2:37:03 >> right? Like Starbucks has run into this
2:37:06 several times in their life as a
2:37:07 company.
2:37:08 >> Yes. Opening moral stores is not
2:37:09 inherently virtuous unto itself.
2:37:12 >> Yep. So, the other big thing that Frank
2:37:15 does right away is spin off and sell
2:37:20 some of the other businesses that
2:37:22 Nardelli had been acquiring.
2:37:25 >> Yeah. They built this business called
2:37:26 Home Depot Supply, which is sort of an
2:37:29 amalgamation of several things they
2:37:31 bought 2000 to 2006. This is mainly a
2:37:36 distributor. this business they built,
2:37:37 Home Depot Supply, that served home
2:37:40 builders, infrastructure contractors,
2:37:42 municipalities, maintenance
2:37:44 professionals, like big commercial
2:37:46 customers. And the goal was this broader
2:37:49 ambition than just their existing
2:37:52 proesk. They wanted to serve properties
2:37:55 across their whole life cycle and and
2:37:57 whatever needs pop up across the life
2:37:59 cycle, not just this like single job,
2:38:01 single contractor, order stuff, we'll
2:38:03 give it to you. It's a super different
2:38:06 business model than their traditionally
2:38:08 very focused model where everything kind
2:38:10 of runs through the store and they had
2:38:12 to develop all these new competencies
2:38:14 which you know are are good but also
2:38:18 detract from your focus. So wholesale
2:38:20 distribution, offering commercial
2:38:22 credit, specialized sales forces,
2:38:24 largecale delivery to job sites for
2:38:27 these giant commercial projects. It did
2:38:30 grow to 13% of Home Depot's revenue by
2:38:33 2006. So, it was starting to become a
2:38:34 big big business for them. But when
2:38:36 Frank came in, his assessment was this
2:38:39 is such a different thing and we're such
2:38:41 a mess right now and the macro is
2:38:44 starting to look a little shady. Shady.
2:38:46 Yeah. I don't think Frank would take
2:38:48 credit that he knew that it would affect
2:38:49 the whole financial system, but at least
2:38:51 it was impacting home building and home
2:38:53 supplies. So in 2007 they sold HD Supply
2:38:58 to a private equity consortium for about
2:39:00 $ 8.3 billion and kind of focused
2:39:04 attention back on its core retail
2:39:06 business. But it wasn't just the
2:39:07 attention that they focused back on the
2:39:10 core retail business. Frank under the
2:39:13 extreme nudging from Ken
2:39:15 >> Y
2:39:16 >> realized the core of this business is
2:39:19 awesome.
2:39:20 >> Yeah. The adjacencies around this
2:39:21 business might be great, but I don't
2:39:24 know. The core is great.
2:39:26 >> We're starting to do some of the right
2:39:27 things. We're starting to turn this
2:39:28 around.
2:39:29 >> Wouldn't it be great if we owned more of
2:39:31 the core business? So, what they do with
2:39:35 the $ 8.3 billion, and this is ballsy,
2:39:40 they put it all into buybacks.
2:39:43 >> Yep.
2:39:43 >> They just bet on themselves. They said,
2:39:45 "I think the best ROI thing we can do is
2:39:48 buy Home Depot stock with this $8
2:39:50 billion." So, right away, they bought
2:39:53 back 14% of the total outstanding shares
2:39:56 in the first year. And Frank would go on
2:39:59 to buy back 30% of all outstanding
2:40:03 shares over the course of his tenure. He
2:40:06 dramatically shrunk the size of the
2:40:08 shareholder base. Those buybacks were
2:40:10 done mostly at $30 to $50 a share. I
2:40:14 mean, today Home Depot is $340 a share.
2:40:17 >> Yeah, this is
2:40:20 Ballsy is putting it mildly. Buying back
2:40:23 30% of your company's share base
2:40:28 starting in the summer of 2007.
2:40:31 [laughter]
2:40:32 >> While you're in the housing industry.
2:40:33 while you're in the housing industry as
2:40:36 the housing bubble is popping real time
2:40:41 continuing this buyback program through
2:40:43 the financial crisis. This is all Ken
2:40:45 Langon right here. To the extent that
2:40:48 Ken sinned at Home Depot during the
2:40:51 Nardelli era, he is atoning for his sins
2:40:54 here. [laughter]
2:40:55 >> And we'll we'll put this chart in the
2:40:58 email. The graph of the total number of
2:41:01 outstanding shares is almost this like
2:41:04 perfect uphill downhill that's centered
2:41:07 right around the year 2001 where when
2:41:10 the company was in its growth phase it
2:41:12 was doing all these new equity offerings
2:41:14 creating more and more and more shares
2:41:16 all the way up through about 2001 then
2:41:18 they had slowly started buying them back
2:41:20 during the Nardelli era and then Frank
2:41:22 and again Ken just go nuts and say no no
2:41:25 no this company at the core is awesome
2:41:27 we want to own as much of it as we
2:41:29 possibly can. It's flattened out in
2:41:31 recent years because they've done some
2:41:32 some more recent giant acquisitions and
2:41:34 they had co and good reasons to flatten
2:41:36 them out, but the number of outstanding
2:41:39 shares today is almost all the way back
2:41:40 down to where it was at IPO.
2:41:42 >> I know this is just uh incredible. And
2:41:45 in big part thanks to this through the
2:41:49 financial crisis, Home Depot stock
2:41:52 performs great. This is like so
2:41:55 counterintuitive. You would think that
2:41:56 the financial crisis would be terrible
2:41:59 for Home Depot stock, but from 2008 to
2:42:03 2012, Home Depot stock is up 132%.
2:42:08 And then it continues after that. 2013,
2:42:11 it's up 33% including dividends. 27%
2:42:14 2014, 26% in 2015.
2:42:18 Compounding is back, baby. Why is it
2:42:21 just Wall Street suddenly believing a
2:42:23 narrative that Frank walks on water or
2:42:25 what's uh what intrinsically is
2:42:28 happening that is driving the value of
2:42:29 this company?
2:42:30 >> Well, this gets into the next and and
2:42:33 and frankly probably the biggest thing
2:42:36 that Frank Blake did for Home Depot,
2:42:38 which is how they grew the company
2:42:43 despite not growing store count. And
2:42:46 that's e-commerce.
2:42:49 And this is absolutely awesome because
2:42:54 as we've alluded to throughout the
2:42:55 episode, the internet actually
2:42:58 represented a pretty big disruptive
2:43:01 threat for Home Depot. Not from Amazon.
2:43:04 We'll get to Amazon in a minute, but
2:43:06 actually from YouTube. Like you're
2:43:08 unbundling the core value prop of the
2:43:11 knowledge in the stores has gone, you
2:43:14 know, first to the internet and a little
2:43:15 bit during the beginning of the Nardelli
2:43:18 era. But once YouTube comes along in
2:43:20 2006, 2007, this is a big-time threat to
2:43:25 the company, doesn't matter where you
2:43:27 get your goods anymore. If you could get
2:43:29 your knowledge for free on YouTube.
2:43:32 >> That's interesting. It sounds great in
2:43:33 the abstract. I wonder if you're
2:43:36 actually a, you know, Home Depot store
2:43:38 manager, how much this actually impacts
2:43:39 you. I'm sure people come in being like,
2:43:41 I learned this on YouTube. And then you
2:43:43 got to be like, "Okay, but you think you
2:43:46 know everything right now, but let me
2:43:48 save you some trouble." I suspect
2:43:50 there's a lot of that going on.
2:43:51 >> But I think over time,
2:43:54 YouTube gets pretty good at surfacing
2:43:59 the best videos. Yeah.
2:44:01 >> For home project DIY.
2:44:03 >> I think that's probably right.
2:44:04 >> Yep. Yep. So, a big part of the way that
2:44:07 Home Depot reinvents itself here in this
2:44:11 era to maintain its relevance for
2:44:14 customers is e-commerce. So, Frank
2:44:19 invests a lot of capital into building
2:44:23 distribution centers, which is
2:44:26 interesting because they're not growing
2:44:27 stores.
2:44:28 >> Right. Right. In 2009, they opened 12
2:44:32 big distribution centers that they call
2:44:33 rapid deployment centers. This is a huge
2:44:36 shift from the original model where
2:44:38 manufacturers would ship directly to the
2:44:40 store. This is centralizing the supply
2:44:43 chain. Yes, this is saying look, we want
2:44:45 everything shipped to these 12 DCs and
2:44:48 we will quickly chop them up and get
2:44:50 them to stores, but also it now enables
2:44:52 us to have these centralized places to
2:44:54 ship from since it's kind of a mess if
2:44:56 you're shipping your entire e-commerce
2:44:59 store out of the stores.
2:45:01 >> Yeah, you can't really do that.
2:45:02 >> Except one caveat to this, they do also
2:45:05 do that. So, I I had two e-commerce Home
2:45:08 Depot experiences in the last week. One
2:45:10 I bought on homed depot.com and it
2:45:12 arrived 2 days later the way you would
2:45:14 expect, the same way you buy from
2:45:15 Amazon. I'm sure that shipped from a
2:45:17 distribution center. The other was
2:45:20 something that I could get sooner within
2:45:22 2 hours because they had
2:45:24 >> store pickup
2:45:25 >> at the store and it wasn't pickup. They
2:45:27 had someone drive it out to me later
2:45:29 that night.
2:45:30 >> That's awesome.
2:45:31 >> From the Sodto store in Seattle is about
2:45:33 20 minutes away from my house, but
2:45:35 within a couple hours it was delivered
2:45:36 to my house since it was fulfilled from
2:45:38 store. So they have the flexibility to
2:45:40 do both ship from store and ship from
2:45:42 distribution center.
2:45:43 >> Yep. So yeah, e-commerce is actually
2:45:47 this incredible opportunity for Home
2:45:50 Depot right at the same time that Amazon
2:45:54 is crushing the rest of the retail
2:45:57 landscape and disrupting everything.
2:46:00 When you think about it, though, if you
2:46:02 think about Home Depot's core
2:46:04 best-selling products, things like
2:46:07 lumber or drywall or plumbing supplies,
2:46:10 roofing, siding, insulation,
2:46:13 just imagine that attempting to go
2:46:17 through the Amazon logistics pipeline,
2:46:20 right? Like you probably
2:46:22 >> build a whole specialized system for it.
2:46:24 >> Totally. Amazon is not equipped to do
2:46:26 this. I mean, could you imagine putting
2:46:28 200 cubic feet of lumber that weighs
2:46:31 6,000 lb on an Amazon delivery van?
2:46:34 >> Those little Rivians. [laughter]
2:46:35 >> No, that is the amount of lumber you
2:46:37 would need for a deck job.
2:46:39 >> Yeah. So, Home Depot is actually pretty
2:46:42 uniquely positioned to build this out
2:46:45 and own e-commerce for home improvement
2:46:50 and hardware at the very least just
2:46:52 because it's wholly different that an
2:46:54 Amazon or a Walmart actually doesn't
2:46:56 bring that much to bear to compete in
2:46:58 delivery based e-commerce for goods like
2:47:01 this.
2:47:01 >> And it gets even better. It turns out
2:47:04 that in e-commerce for hardware, there's
2:47:08 actually a whole separate servicing the
2:47:12 customer element that Home Depot can
2:47:14 lean into, which is when you're working
2:47:18 on a project, it's really, really
2:47:21 important that you get all the stuff you
2:47:23 need all at once. And when you run out
2:47:25 of something, you get a refill of it as
2:47:28 soon as possible because if you run out
2:47:30 of nails, the whole job stops. Yeah.
2:47:33 >> And so if you're a pro, obviously this
2:47:35 is an issue, but especially if you're a
2:47:37 consumer, this is an issue because you
2:47:39 only have a limited amount of time on
2:47:41 the weekends to, you know, build your
2:47:43 deck or retile your bathroom, etc. And
2:47:45 so if it's Sunday morning and all of a
2:47:49 sudden you're out of grout for your
2:47:51 tiling job,
2:47:53 >> are you really going to want to wait
2:47:56 until two days later to get grout
2:47:59 delivered? by which point in time it's
2:48:01 the week you're at work you can't finish
2:48:03 your bathroom you got to wait till the
2:48:04 next weekend like hell no you're going
2:48:06 to do anything you can to get that grout
2:48:08 as soon as possible
2:48:09 >> so this gets to the thing that I really
2:48:13 didn't think about until diving into
2:48:15 this research most of the time when you
2:48:17 say e-commerce
2:48:18 people
2:48:20 equate it with delivery
2:48:22 >> these are a bundled thing in the world I
2:48:25 want to order from my phone or my
2:48:26 computer and I want to have it delivered
2:48:28 to my house in a short period of
2:48:30 At Home Depot, a giant chunk of the
2:48:32 e-commerce is actually store pickup.
2:48:35 >> Yep.
2:48:36 >> Because if I'm
2:48:37 >> because of this dynamic, I need it right
2:48:39 now.
2:48:39 >> I don't want to wait. Like, I can get in
2:48:41 my car right now. I just want to know
2:48:42 that it's going to be ready when I get
2:48:44 there and I want to have the easiest
2:48:45 possible checkout experience. So, oh my
2:48:47 god, I'm out of grout. Uh crap, I'm
2:48:50 ordering on my phone and then I'm
2:48:52 pulling out of the driveway and going
2:48:53 down to Home Depot. Even if they were
2:48:55 going to do their fastest delivery to
2:48:57 me, it's probably going to take at least
2:48:59 half hour, an hour, two hours longer
2:49:01 than me just saying, you know what, this
2:49:03 is the time I have. I'm driving right to
2:49:04 the store right now.
2:49:05 >> Yep. Exactly. So in March of 2009, the
2:49:09 company changes its slogan from its
2:49:12 longtime slogan that many Americans
2:49:15 probably remember of you can do it, we
2:49:18 can help, which we didn't talk about
2:49:20 earlier, by the way, but it's so perfect
2:49:21 to encapsulate the value proposition of
2:49:23 the original Home Depot model. You can
2:49:26 do it, we can help.
2:49:27 >> Their marketing consultants got much
2:49:29 better over time.
2:49:29 >> Yeah, much much better. So [laughter]
2:49:31 they scrap that and they change it to
2:49:34 more saving, more doing.
2:49:37 >> M how many entandras is that?
2:49:39 >> And it reflects this change in strategy,
2:49:43 right? Like it's more saving. So like,
2:49:45 hey, we get it. You know, we're not
2:49:48 differentiated anymore by the education
2:49:51 that we bundle that we can help. We're
2:49:54 going to reedicate ourselves to the
2:49:58 saving value proposition. you know, the
2:50:00 Costco elements of our strategy, but
2:50:02 then also the more doing. This is what
2:50:04 we're talking about. Shoot, I ran out of
2:50:06 grout. It's Sunday afternoon. I need to
2:50:09 get this bathroom done before the end of
2:50:11 the night. More doing.
2:50:14 >> Yep.
2:50:14 >> Pop online, go on your phone, we're
2:50:16 going to get it to you.
2:50:17 >> Yep. So the net of all that is building
2:50:20 towards what Home Depot's strategy is
2:50:23 today, which is 90% of all homes in
2:50:27 America can get anything they need for
2:50:30 any project. So over a million SKUs
2:50:34 delivered to their home or job site or a
2:50:38 nearby store within 2 to 24 hours. And
2:50:41 what they need to pull that off is just
2:50:44 an incredible amount of density. So,
2:50:46 David, I texted you this. I said, 'I
2:50:48 can't believe it. California alone has
2:50:50 250 Home Depots.
2:50:53 >> Washington state has 48.
2:50:56 >> And what do you say? There are by
2:50:58 comparison, there are two IKEAs in
2:50:59 Washington.
2:51:00 >> Two IKEAs. But, you know, if you want to
2:51:03 have that value proposition, 90% of
2:51:05 homes can get anything they need for a
2:51:06 project, a million SKs with 2 to 24
2:51:09 hours. That requires two things. one
2:51:10 being really close to lots and lots of
2:51:12 stores which was their initial market
2:51:15 strategy to kind of go really dense
2:51:17 before going to the next city and two to
2:51:20 have an just ridiculous distribution
2:51:24 center footprint
2:51:25 >> to facilitate the e-commerce component.
2:51:27 So I did as much research as I could to
2:51:29 figure out what does their distribution
2:51:31 center network look like today because
2:51:33 it's evolved a lot since that 2009 and
2:51:36 they've really figured out how to have
2:51:38 all these different specialty ones. They
2:51:40 have seven import distribution centers
2:51:42 to bring things in from outside the
2:51:44 country and this is all just within the
2:51:46 US. They have 18 rapid deployment
2:51:49 centers which take goods from
2:51:51 manufacturers,
2:51:52 cut them up, get the merchandise into
2:51:54 stores. Then there's special stocking
2:51:57 and bulking distribution centers which
2:52:00 are meant to store inventory rather than
2:52:02 cut it up and get it into stores.
2:52:04 There's 17 flatbed distribution centers
2:52:07 which are all about fulfilling those
2:52:08 massive orders to pros. So if you need
2:52:12 huge quantities of things onto flatbread
2:52:14 trucks, they also have 160 market
2:52:17 delivery operations centers which are
2:52:19 cross stockck facilities for other large
2:52:21 items like patio furniture that they
2:52:23 don't want to route through stores.
2:52:25 David, to your point of really
2:52:27 benefiting from a specialized supply
2:52:28 chain, this is an insane footprint to
2:52:31 have for e-commerce. They have 20
2:52:34 dedicated direct fulfillment centers
2:52:37 that are just for that that they started
2:52:39 in 2014. Those stock way more SKs than
2:52:43 you would ever see in a store. That's
2:52:45 where all their online only stuff comes
2:52:47 from. And that explains why one of my
2:52:49 goods that I ordered last week took it
2:52:51 was a battery for a camping lantern that
2:52:53 I bought took like two and a half days
2:52:55 to get to me. Whereas the other thing
2:52:57 that's shipped right from the store got
2:52:58 to me in just a few hours because the
2:53:00 lantern battery was an online only skew.
2:53:02 Mhm.
2:53:03 >> And then not to mention, we'll we'll
2:53:05 talk about this later, but they do
2:53:06 reacquire HD Supply and they make some
2:53:09 other acquisitions. HD Supply on its own
2:53:11 has 130 dedicated distribution
2:53:14 facilities. So, it's just this crazy
2:53:18 footprint to accomplish that mission you
2:53:20 talked about.
2:53:20 >> Crazy footprint and specialized
2:53:22 footprint that looks super different
2:53:24 than Amazon's. So this kind of becomes
2:53:28 the story of the stock and the company
2:53:32 after the financial crisis of oh hey
2:53:35 it's retail apocalypse out there and
2:53:37 Amazon's eating everybody's lunch
2:53:40 except Home Depot because this is a
2:53:44 highly specialized again specialty
2:53:47 retail logistics and fulfillment chain
2:53:50 and Home Depot's built it out
2:53:51 >> with very very high dollar items that
2:53:54 you buy through it and Actually, they
2:53:56 make a decent margin. I mean, it's 33%
2:53:58 gross margins. This is not Costco. So,
2:54:01 you multiply decent margins by large
2:54:04 dollar items by lots of them by every
2:54:07 house in America, the number gets really
2:54:09 large.
2:54:10 >> Yep. So, Frank Blake retires in 2014.
2:54:14 And unlike any of the previous chapters
2:54:18 of the company, he's actually built a
2:54:20 management bench. And the people who
2:54:23 would stay in the company and succeed
2:54:24 him are matched in their impressiveness
2:54:26 only by the people who were in that same
2:54:28 group who are leading other companies
2:54:30 now.
2:54:31 >> Right.
2:54:31 >> So the CEO of UPS,
2:54:34 >> Yep. Carol Toé, she was the CFO of Home
2:54:36 Depot for a long time.
2:54:37 >> And the CEO of Floor and Decor.
2:54:39 >> Yep. Tom Taylor, legend. So when Frank
2:54:42 retires, he hands the reigns over to
2:54:44 Craig Maner. He runs the company for
2:54:47 another eight years. And then he retires
2:54:48 in 2022 and hands the reigns over to Ted
2:54:51 Decker. Both of them come up through the
2:54:54 company, you know, practically lifers at
2:54:56 Home Depot.
2:54:57 And yeah, speaking of 2022,
2:55:02 [laughter] all of this strategy and all
2:55:04 of these people look like absolute
2:55:07 geniuses when CO hits.
2:55:10 >> Isn't it insane? They just they stopped
2:55:12 building the physical stores a decade
2:55:13 before. They invested billions and
2:55:16 billions of dollars building out many
2:55:18 dozens of fulfillment centers. It's
2:55:21 where all of their effort went.
2:55:23 >> Yep.
2:55:24 >> In the category of improving your home.
2:55:27 Yep.
2:55:27 >> And then suddenly we're all stuck at
2:55:29 home wanting to order things to improve
2:55:31 our home and embark on home projects
2:55:32 without necessarily going into stores in
2:55:35 2020. And they've got all this capacity
2:55:37 built out and invested in
2:55:39 >> or be able to go into stores to get what
2:55:42 we need. but do it in a way that you
2:55:45 minimize human interactions there. And
2:55:48 guess what? Home Depot has already built
2:55:50 out all that infrastructure to order
2:55:52 online or on your phone and pick up in
2:55:54 stores.
2:55:55 >> Yep.
2:55:56 >> It was like the most incredible
2:56:00 unintended.
2:56:04 >> Yeah.
2:56:04 >> So during COVID, Home Depot's revenue
2:56:06 growth goes nuts. It goes from 110
2:56:10 billion in revenue to about 160 billion
2:56:12 of revenue
2:56:13 >> in just 3 years.
2:56:14 >> Yeah,
2:56:15 >> they had a little obviously some
2:56:16 hangover after that. So, it would
2:56:17 decline and then take a couple years to
2:56:19 come back. But still, America wanted to
2:56:21 shop there. And boy, did they have the
2:56:23 capacity built out for it. And then in
2:56:25 2024, we all wanted to spend money on
2:56:26 something besides our homes. So,
2:56:28 [laughter]
2:56:30 >> Exactly. Exactly. Yeah. Ben, you
2:56:33 mentioned the HD Supply round trip in
2:56:37 there. They spun off the company, sold
2:56:41 it to private equity as the housing
2:56:43 bubble is bursting right before the
2:56:46 financial crisis.
2:56:47 >> And it was mostly the distribution
2:56:49 company that they sold off, which is a
2:56:52 fine business, but not a great business.
2:56:53 >> Yep. used all that capital to buy back
2:56:55 the stock and then 13 years later bought
2:57:00 the company back for the same price that
2:57:03 it sold it for. Right.
2:57:04 >> They actually just bought part of it
2:57:06 back, the most valuable piece of it for
2:57:10 $8 billion, but there's been lots of
2:57:12 inflation since then. It's not really
2:57:13 fair to call it the same price. They
2:57:14 they definitely bought the best part of
2:57:16 it for less than they sold it for. But
2:57:18 yeah, the the purpose of doing this,
2:57:20 like leave capital allocation aside for
2:57:22 a second. They wanted to better serve
2:57:23 that maintenance, repair, and operation
2:57:25 customer, and you kind of need to do it
2:57:28 with specialized distribution outside of
2:57:30 the retail stores for larger and more
2:57:33 complex planned purchases rather than
2:57:35 what the Home Depot retail store really
2:57:37 is, which is filling in the gaps real
2:57:39 time or one-off for a project.
2:57:41 >> Yep.
2:57:41 >> The next thing they do is they buy SRS
2:57:44 in 2024. This is a giant deal, an 18 and
2:57:48 a quarter billion dollar acquisition,
2:57:50 the largest deal in the company's
2:57:52 history. They actually pause stock
2:57:54 buybacks here. They're like, "We really
2:57:57 got to use the capital to to swallow
2:57:59 that."
2:58:00 >> SRS is a specialty trade distributor
2:58:03 that serves professional roofers,
2:58:05 landscapers, pool contractors, and other
2:58:07 trades. You can kind of think of it as
2:58:10 expanding into an adjacency, growing its
2:58:12 total addressable market. The thesis is
2:58:14 similar to HD Supply, but it's less
2:58:16 focused on maintenance and more focused
2:58:18 on net new exterior building projects.
2:58:23 So, these are bulk orders planned ahead
2:58:25 of time, delivered to job sites with a
2:58:27 dedicated delivery fleet of vehicles.
2:58:29 Again, a whole another set of
2:58:32 distribution centers and vehicles that
2:58:34 they now own that are specialized for
2:58:36 their business, mostly facilitated
2:58:39 outside the walls of their traditional
2:58:41 stores. This continues to grow and
2:58:43 they've already made another
2:58:44 multi-billion dollar acquisition within
2:58:46 SRS to do interiors, so drywall,
2:58:49 ceilings, things like that, in addition
2:58:51 to SRS's traditional focus on exteriors.
2:58:54 So, it's like a parallel business that
2:58:56 serves even bigger pros doing different
2:59:01 types of jobs where they can fulfill the
2:59:03 whole thing outside of stores. And then
2:59:05 those same pros probably come into Home
2:59:07 Depot retail to do the real-time stuff
2:59:10 while they are doing a job in progress.
2:59:12 >> Yep.
2:59:12 >> So it's interesting like that Bob
2:59:15 Nardelli growing via expansion into
2:59:17 adjacencies wasn't wrong. It was just
2:59:21 the wrong time to do it and the wrong
2:59:23 way to do it.
2:59:24 >> Yep. Yep. Yep. And now that the company
2:59:27 has shifted its strategy to e-commerce,
2:59:29 which is so much more distribution and
2:59:31 logistics and fulfillmentheavy,
2:59:34 it makes more sense to expand into these
2:59:37 adjacencies as logistics become the core
2:59:40 competency of the business.
2:59:42 >> Yeah. And now that the core business is
2:59:44 healthy again, I mean, now that you have
2:59:46 stores that are actually working at
2:59:48 their highest level of productivity
2:59:50 possible
2:59:51 with some work done on the culture.
2:59:54 Yeah.
2:59:54 >> Yeah. So all right, take us to today.
2:59:56 >> Yes. So the business today, it's a $165
2:59:59 billion a year revenue business. Not a
3:00:02 super fast growing company. Grows at 2
3:00:04 and a half to four and a half% per year.
3:00:06 Uh a little over half the revenue is
3:00:08 procontractors and half is that sort of
3:00:10 consumer DIY retail customer. Moving on
3:00:13 to profits, the gross margin is a little
3:00:15 above 33%.
3:00:18 Operating margin is 12.5%. Net income
3:00:21 last year was 14 billion. So of the 65
3:00:25 billion they make. They get to keep
3:00:26 about 14 billion of it, which if you do
3:00:29 the math is about an 8.5% net income
3:00:32 margin. They have 2400 stores today,
3:00:36 opening about 15 new ones each year.
3:00:39 They own 90% of their real estate. They
3:00:42 only lease about 10% of the stores.
3:00:44 Since once capital stopped being an
3:00:47 issue for them and they started being
3:00:48 free cash flow generative, they realized
3:00:51 that actually a competitive advantage
3:00:53 for us is lock up the best real estate
3:00:56 and hold it forever and don't get held
3:00:58 hostage in a a real estate negotiation
3:00:59 when a lease comes up.
3:01:01 >> Early on, they obviously couldn't do
3:01:03 that and they intentionally did stuff
3:01:05 like the J C Penney deal to to lease
3:01:08 secondhand retail stores so that they
3:01:10 could quickly stand up new stores. But
3:01:13 over time it it just became better to to
3:01:15 own the real estate. This has actually
3:01:16 been why
3:01:18 international has been tough or one of
3:01:20 the reasons why a lot of the best real
3:01:22 estate in Europe is taken.
3:01:24 >> Mhm.
3:01:25 >> But like a lot of the best real estate
3:01:27 in Georgia in the 80s was perfectly
3:01:30 available and they they sort of grew up
3:01:33 with the US. I mean it's weird to say
3:01:36 because the US is already 200 years old
3:01:38 but a they grew up with the suburbs of
3:01:40 uh the US becoming extremely populous.
3:01:44 They have moved to Canada, Mexico, you
3:01:47 know, they're they're branching out in
3:01:48 North America, but completely failed in
3:01:51 China. They totally miscalibrated. Home
3:01:54 improvement is not really a thing. A
3:01:56 DIYer is not virtuous in in China. Sort
3:01:59 of like why can't you have someone fix
3:02:01 that for you? And the wealthy people
3:02:03 live in cities.
3:02:04 >> Right. Right. You're right.
3:02:05 >> So 86% of stores are here domestically
3:02:08 in the United States. If you go over to
3:02:10 the classic retail metrics and look at
3:02:12 inventory turnover, it is higher than
3:02:15 Lowe's, but it's nothing crazy. They
3:02:17 turn their inventory about four and a
3:02:18 half times per year compared to Lowe's
3:02:20 turning 3.3. Just for reference, Costco
3:02:24 turns their inventory 13 times per year.
3:02:27 >> Right?
3:02:28 >> So again, like very different category
3:02:30 here. Costco sells the items on its
3:02:33 shelf faster than it needs to pay
3:02:35 suppliers for them.
3:02:37 >> Yep.
3:02:37 >> Home Depot doesn't have that. They they
3:02:39 have what we mentioned earlier where at
3:02:41 any given time about half of their
3:02:43 inventory is financed by the suppliers
3:02:45 who they haven't paid yet.
3:02:47 >> Yep.
3:02:47 >> One big thing we should say here. It is
3:02:49 totally unbelievable that the Home Depot
3:02:51 can turn their inventory four and a half
3:02:53 times per year given that the goods that
3:02:56 they carry are super high dollar
3:02:58 specialty and they have 35,000 SKs
3:03:02 against Costco's 4,000.
3:03:03 >> Yep. In store and then a million SKs
3:03:06 online,
3:03:07 >> right? The the inventory turn given the
3:03:09 nature of their business is kind of
3:03:10 unbelievable.
3:03:11 >> Yep. At any given time, Home Depot has
3:03:13 about $11 million of inventory tied up
3:03:16 in a store and Lowe's is about the same.
3:03:19 The funny thing about whenever you look
3:03:20 at any chart of Home Depot and Lowe's is
3:03:22 used to be super different, now about
3:03:24 the same. They've really converged
3:03:26 toward each other over time.
3:03:28 >> Yep.
3:03:29 >> One thing we didn't talk about is
3:03:30 private label. They started this slowly
3:03:32 back in 1985 and it grew to become a
3:03:36 really big part of their strategy to
3:03:38 have house brands and and um brands that
3:03:41 are exclusive to Home Depot. But you may
3:03:43 not realize this, but Bare Paint, BHR,
3:03:46 only available at Home Depot. Hampton
3:03:48 Bay Lighting and Ceiling Fans,
3:03:50 >> that was a Pap Farah special, I think.
3:03:52 >> Yep. Glacier Bay fixtures. Ryobi, which
3:03:56 is a very hot brand recently, especially
3:03:59 lawn care. anything with lithium-ion
3:04:02 batteries. Uh, Rigid Power Tools, Anvil,
3:04:06 HDX, Everbuilt, Eosmart Lighting, Husky
3:04:09 Tools. There's actually a lot of brands
3:04:12 that I did not realize were exclusive to
3:04:15 Home Depot. They don't actually disclose
3:04:18 now, but industry estimates are 15 to
3:04:20 25% of their sales are
3:04:23 >> house brands.
3:04:24 >> House brands.
3:04:25 >> Yeah.
3:04:26 Again, nothing compared to the onethird
3:04:29 of Costco sales that are Kirkland
3:04:31 Signature, but still, I mean, that's a
3:04:33 that's a giant amount. I will I think
3:04:36 house brands are getting more
3:04:38 interesting, too, especially with
3:04:41 electric tools. If you look at Ryobi,
3:04:44 batteries create brand loyalty.
3:04:46 >> Right. Right.
3:04:47 >> So, I'm I'm actually in the other camp.
3:04:49 I don't have Ryobi stuff. if I have e uh
3:04:51 ego, but I bought an ego lawn mower
3:04:55 which gave me an ego battery. So over
3:04:58 the years I now have developed switching
3:05:00 costs
3:05:01 >> weed whacker. I have an ego hedge
3:05:03 trimmer. I have an ego leaf blower which
3:05:05 kind of I I think puts me out of the
3:05:07 Home Depot ecosystem for all that stuff.
3:05:09 So imagine the thousands and thousands
3:05:10 of dollars Home Depot could have gotten
3:05:13 on me if I had first bought a Ryobi lawn
3:05:16 mower. Yep. Talking about e-commerce,
3:05:18 after all that discussion, it's still
3:05:20 only about 15% of their sales are
3:05:23 online.
3:05:23 >> Yep.
3:05:25 >> There's so much running room that they
3:05:26 have there.
3:05:27 >> So much running room.
3:05:28 >> They have 472,000 employees and their
3:05:31 market cap today is $350 billion.
3:05:35 >> And my favorite fact to sum up the state
3:05:39 of the company and the business today is
3:05:43 the CEO of Lowe's
3:05:46 is a former Home Depot executive groomed
3:05:50 under Frank Blake.
3:05:51 >> Really?
3:05:52 >> Yep. Today, the Home Depot executive CEO
3:05:57 lineage tree runs across the street to
3:06:00 Lowe's.
3:06:01 >> Marvin Ellison was head of stores under
3:06:04 Frank Blake and then went to take over
3:06:07 J. C. Penney as the CEO of J. C. Penney
3:06:09 and uh then in 2018 became the CEO of
3:06:12 Lowe's. such a deep bench that you
3:06:16 created your competitor CEO.
3:06:17 >> Yep. [laughter] I think Frank would be
3:06:19 proud.
3:06:20 >> Yes.
3:06:21 >> So, yeah, the Home Depot story to uh put
3:06:25 a bow on at least the original Avengers
3:06:29 Plus Frank. So, Bernie Marcus passed
3:06:32 away in 2024 at age 95 after a long
3:06:37 incredible life, including becoming
3:06:39 friends with Pitbull in his later years.
3:06:41 [laughter]
3:06:42 Pat Farah is alive and retired in his
3:06:46 80s, keeps a low profile. Arthur Blank,
3:06:50 who we said we would come back to today,
3:06:53 is 83 and as some of you know, is the
3:06:57 owner of the Atlanta Falcons NFL
3:07:00 franchise and several other sports
3:07:02 franchises. And uh Arthur has been one
3:07:06 of the most influential NFL owners of
3:07:10 the last 20 years. He serves on
3:07:12 basically all the critical NFL league
3:07:15 committees. He's been a big part of
3:07:18 everything we talked about on the NFL
3:07:19 episode and all the strategy decisions
3:07:21 that have made the NFL the dominant
3:07:24 force in American sports and really
3:07:26 American media today.
3:07:27 >> For as much affiliation as he has with
3:07:29 the Home Depot, I think he actually has
3:07:32 more with the Falcons and the NFL now.
3:07:35 >> No question he is much better known for
3:07:36 the NFL. Whenever you see an interview
3:07:38 with him, it's Falcon's owner, not Home
3:07:41 Depot co-founder.
3:07:42 >> Yep. Yep. And uh we said he got the
3:07:45 third Golden Horseshoe. So when he
3:07:49 bought the Falcons in 2002,
3:07:51 >> just one year after fully leaving Home
3:07:54 Depot.
3:07:54 >> Yep. He paid the then crazy price of
3:07:59 $545 million for the franchise. The
3:08:04 Falcons today by the latest, you know,
3:08:08 public valuations that are bandied about
3:08:10 out there are worth seven billion
3:08:13 dollars.
3:08:14 >> There's no way they're worth way more
3:08:15 than that.
3:08:15 >> That vastly discounts the actual value
3:08:19 of the Falcons.
3:08:19 >> The Seahawks just traded for 9.5.
3:08:21 >> Yep. Seahawks just agreed to a sale at
3:08:23 $9.6 billion.
3:08:25 >> And since then the Lakers at 12 and a2.
3:08:28 Even just comparing the Falcons to the
3:08:30 Seahawks, Atlanta is about a 30% bigger
3:08:33 market than Seattle, the whole metro
3:08:36 area. And much more importantly, Atlanta
3:08:39 has a much better stadium deal with
3:08:42 Mercedes-Benz Stadium than the Seahawks
3:08:45 do with Lumenfield. So, I think the
3:08:49 Falcons are worth a minimum of 10
3:08:52 billion and arguably more than that,
3:08:56 which I think combined with his other
3:08:58 assets and his remaining Home Depot
3:09:00 stake makes Arthur the wealthiest of all
3:09:03 of [laughter] the co-founders of the
3:09:05 Home Depot. Listeners, one update here
3:09:08 from the acquired editing bay after
3:09:10 recording. The Falcons just agreed to
3:09:13 sell a minority stake at a $10.6 $6
3:09:16 billion valuation. So, uh, yes, we were
3:09:18 on to something.
3:09:19 >> David, you nailed it. Now, back to the
3:09:21 show.
3:09:22 >> Continuing on, Frank Blake, uh, who of
3:09:24 course Bernie Marcus so violently
3:09:26 reacted to as another goddamn GE guy
3:09:29 when he got the news that he was taking
3:09:31 over the company today, runs Bernie
3:09:34 Marcus' foundation.
3:09:36 >> Amazing.
3:09:36 >> Which is about a $4 billion spendown
3:09:39 foundation. And Ken Langon, the goat, is
3:09:43 about to turn 91 years old, has never
3:09:47 sold a share of Home Depot. His stake in
3:09:50 the company is worth about $6 billion
3:09:53 today. I went and looked back at this
3:09:55 that that little 5% he got at founding
3:09:59 compounded 25%
3:10:02 for nearly half a century. But you all
3:10:05 know this that the the hard part is
3:10:07 actually not about the stock picking.
3:10:09 The hard part is in the holding.
3:10:11 >> Yes.
3:10:12 >> So in 1985, and this is a great Arvin
3:10:15 stat. I mean, longtime listeners know
3:10:17 Worldly Partners, their whole thing is
3:10:19 figure out what it takes to build a
3:10:22 business that can 100x as a public
3:10:24 company and then figure out how to have
3:10:27 the stomach to stay with those companies
3:10:29 through the downturns cuz there are
3:10:31 always massive drawdowns in these giant
3:10:34 100x companies. I mean, you look at
3:10:36 Nvidia, like you you just have to
3:10:37 weather through them and know enough
3:10:39 about the business to believe that it's
3:10:42 going to make it through. So, in 1985,
3:10:44 the stock was down 66%.
3:10:47 And Ken didn't sell. Then in 2002, down
3:10:51 70%. And he didn't sell a share.
3:10:55 Then in 2008, the whole Nardelli
3:10:57 situation, the housing bubble, and then
3:11:00 again down 70%. He didn't sell. In fact,
3:11:05 if you bought the shares at their peak
3:11:07 in 99, your investment would have been
3:11:10 underwater for a full 12 years until the
3:11:13 stock recovered in 2012. But Ken still
3:11:16 never sold.
3:11:18 >> Yep. Hey, he's a loyal guy.
3:11:20 >> The value is in the holding.
3:11:22 >> Yep. Yep. And amazingly,
3:11:25 Home Depot may not be Ken's largest
3:11:31 position. [laughter]
3:11:34 Because in 1977,
3:11:36 before even getting involved with Home
3:11:38 Depot, Ken sold a medical device company
3:11:42 to Eli Liy for stock and got at the time
3:11:48 2 and a half% of Eli Liy's equity. And
3:11:53 of [snorts] course, I believe Ken has
3:11:54 also never sold a share of Eli Liy. But
3:11:57 that is a story for 2027 [laughter]
3:12:01 unacquired. Yes, it is.
3:12:03 >> All right, analysis.
3:12:04 >> Let's do it. So, we did a lot of
3:12:07 analysis along the way. I have one major
3:12:11 topic that I want to discuss with you
3:12:12 and I guess it's the perfect episode to
3:12:14 >> Yeah, you foreshadowed this with me, but
3:12:15 you didn't tell me what it is. So,
3:12:17 >> to do it on I'm itching here.
3:12:18 >> Okay. So, we we talk about this all the
3:12:20 time. I can't actually remember if we've
3:12:21 talked about it on acquired, but I feel
3:12:23 like we talk about it endlessly on our
3:12:24 phone calls. The thing that made you
3:12:26 special often holds you back
3:12:29 >> at scale. And I'm going to throw out a
3:12:31 few examples that I actually highlighted
3:12:33 when I was first reading the Built from
3:12:35 Scratch book. We wanted to see the big
3:12:37 stuff loaded in the front of the parking
3:12:39 lot so everyone could see it. No, they
3:12:42 definitely have loading docks now in the
3:12:44 back [laughter] of the stores.
3:12:45 >> They talk about how merchandise is not
3:12:47 fronted. There's not someone walking
3:12:48 around turning things, making sure
3:12:50 they're facing out. I walked around the
3:12:51 store last week. Most items I saw
3:12:54 definitely facing out to be the most
3:12:56 presentable and appealing to the
3:12:57 customer. There is no backdoor or
3:13:00 discount for contractors. We were priced
3:13:02 right for everyone, not just a select
3:13:04 group. They definitely have a propricing
3:13:06 desk now. They even talk this big game
3:13:09 about in the book how they they did
3:13:11 everyday low prices just like Walmart
3:13:12 did to not appear duplicitous to
3:13:15 customers and not have people time their
3:13:17 purchases. Well, I got an email three
3:13:20 days ago. It said daily deals with a big
3:13:23 dollar sign through the S. Free delivery
3:13:26 online only while supplies last. 84
3:13:28 offers for you up to 30% off. Select
3:13:31 home essentials. Shop now.
3:13:33 >> I was going to say I'm pretty sure I've
3:13:37 been to some Home Depot Memorial Day
3:13:38 sales.
3:13:39 >> Definitely. You won't see aisle numbers
3:13:41 in our stores. Why? Cuz if we had aisle
3:13:44 numbers, when a customer asked where
3:13:46 they can find something, it would be
3:13:47 very easy for our associates to say, "I
3:13:49 8." If there's no numbers, the employee
3:13:52 has to say, "Let's take a walk and we'll
3:13:54 find it together." I was in Home Depot a
3:13:57 week ago. There were definitely aisle
3:13:59 numbers for sure. Same with
3:14:01 decentralized decision-m or having
3:14:03 manufacturers ship direct to stores.
3:14:05 These all changed. So, what is the
3:14:08 lesson here? I think there's two ways to
3:14:10 look at it, and I'm curious how you
3:14:12 think about this.
3:14:14 Way number one, companies in general
3:14:17 just get less special over time as they
3:14:19 scale. It's like entropy. The the world
3:14:21 wants you to look more like every other
3:14:23 company when you get big and to stay
3:14:26 special like Costco, Rolex, Hermes,
3:14:30 Vanguard.
3:14:31 These are like companies that fight
3:14:33 gravity. It's like ridiculously hard to
3:14:36 clutch to the thing that made you so
3:14:37 special and not look like everyone else.
3:14:39 But the other way to look at it is it's
3:14:41 actually completely the correct thing to
3:14:43 do in most instances. All the special
3:14:46 things that you did when you were little
3:14:48 to get attention and be different in
3:14:50 most cases that actually holds you back
3:14:52 when you're big. And it's easy to think
3:14:54 we have to keep doing things that way
3:14:55 because it's what let us succeed in the
3:14:57 first place. But you probably have
3:14:58 completely different reasons of why you
3:15:00 succeed now than you did compared to
3:15:03 when you were small.
3:15:04 >> Yeah. And also usually the market
3:15:07 changes, right? Like case in point in
3:15:09 this story, early Home Depot would never
3:15:12 have fulfillment centers and
3:15:13 distribution centers. Home Depot today
3:15:15 would be toast without them. Totally. I
3:15:18 think the second bullet point is
3:15:19 actually the correct one that it is the
3:15:22 rare case where clutching your pearls
3:15:26 and holding on to this founding insight
3:15:30 is the way to succeed at scale. I think
3:15:33 a lot of the time your scale is the
3:15:36 reason you can be successful at scale
3:15:38 and you have to make decisions that make
3:15:41 sense for a giant scaled company and
3:15:43 like Hermes handstitching
3:15:47 their Birkin bags even at the scale that
3:15:49 they are today is like a one ina million
3:15:53 example where it was it's actually the
3:15:55 right thing to hold on to some founding
3:15:59 tactic that still works today.
3:16:01 >> Yep. The founding values are important,
3:16:03 but the founding tactics are probably
3:16:05 not.
3:16:06 >> Yep, I totally agree. Well, speaking of
3:16:10 uh embracing your scale and your scale
3:16:12 economies, I think this is the perfect
3:16:14 transition to powers [laughter] for Home
3:16:17 Depot.
3:16:18 >> Yes. So listeners, this is the part
3:16:20 where we do the seven powers framework
3:16:22 from Hamilton Helmer's book of the same
3:16:25 title where we try to figure out what
3:16:27 does a company have that enables it to
3:16:29 get persistent differential returns or
3:16:31 to be more profitable than their nearest
3:16:33 competitor on a sustainable basis. And
3:16:37 those seven are scale economies, network
3:16:39 economies, counterpositioning, switching
3:16:41 costs, branding, cornered resource, and
3:16:43 process power. Well, the first thing
3:16:45 you'd have to believe is that Home Depot
3:16:48 is sustainably more profitable than
3:16:50 Lowe's. They are, but it's not by as
3:16:52 much as you would think.
3:16:54 >> Yep. Home Depot is marginally more
3:16:56 profitable than Lowe's.
3:16:57 >> There's been a very dramatic convergence
3:17:00 over time.
3:17:00 >> Yep.
3:17:01 >> The biggest one to me is scale
3:17:02 economies. I I suspect it is because
3:17:04 they can just negotiate for the very
3:17:06 lowest prices with their suppliers, get
3:17:09 the best manufacturers to do their house
3:17:11 brands, that sort of thing. given their
3:17:13 what are they 3x the scale of Lowe's.
3:17:17 >> Yep. About 3x.
3:17:18 >> So that's the biggest thing. Now early
3:17:22 on I think it was definitely
3:17:23 counterpositioning.
3:17:25 >> Definitely
3:17:25 >> Lowe's doesn't get enough credit for the
3:17:27 pivot in 1990 because think about all
3:17:30 the things working against a traditional
3:17:33 hardware store. You've got a smaller
3:17:36 footprint which is means
3:17:37 >> you have to change your entire real
3:17:39 estate.
3:17:39 >> Basically all your real estate is
3:17:40 useless.
3:17:41 >> Yep. You probably have to lower your
3:17:43 gross margins.
3:17:44 >> Yep.
3:17:44 >> But you're not doing enough volume to
3:17:46 justify the lower gross margins. So, you
3:17:49 really can't lower them unless you can
3:17:51 like pull some of those magic beans that
3:17:53 Home Depot had and go convince people
3:17:55 that the ride is going to be so long and
3:17:57 fruitful together that even though
3:17:58 you're not large yet, they should give
3:18:00 you great deals.
3:18:01 >> Yep. Yep.
3:18:02 >> It's It's unbelievable that any of those
3:18:03 stores managed to adopt the Home Depot
3:18:06 strategy.
3:18:06 >> Yep. Oh, and they probably use um
3:18:09 distributors, so you have to blow up all
3:18:12 of your existing supplier relationships
3:18:13 to go direct to manufacturers.
3:18:15 >> Yep. Yep. Yep.
3:18:16 >> Today, there's some switching costs with
3:18:18 the house brands, but I'd say the
3:18:20 switching costs are probably more for
3:18:22 pros who have just integrated Home Depot
3:18:24 into their workflow.
3:18:25 >> Yep. I think there's significant
3:18:27 switching costs for pros.
3:18:28 >> Yeah,
3:18:29 >> for that reason.
3:18:30 >> And probably branding for pros. And I
3:18:32 think the hardcore weekend warrior
3:18:35 segment also prefers Home Depot, but
3:18:38 that's for the same reason that the pros
3:18:40 do.
3:18:40 >> Yeah, I think so, too.
3:18:42 >> I think there is still
3:18:44 counterpositioning today. It's just very
3:18:46 different. It's counterpositioning
3:18:47 versus Amazon with their logistics and
3:18:51 fulfillment network.
3:18:53 >> Yep. Amazon
3:18:56 is building out more specialty
3:18:59 fulfillment and logistics, but it's
3:19:02 going to be really hard for Amazon to
3:19:04 build and match the scale of what Home
3:19:06 Depot has in hardware.
3:19:09 >> Yep, I agree.
3:19:10 >> But yeah, I think that's it.
3:19:11 >> I think that's it, too.
3:19:12 >> A lot of scale economies.
3:19:12 >> A lot of scale economies,
3:19:14 >> which makes sense for a retailer.
3:19:16 >> Yes.
3:19:16 >> Yeah.
3:19:17 >> Yes. All right. Quintessence on this
3:19:20 one. Listeners, David and I chatted
3:19:22 before and we decided for this episode,
3:19:24 the quintessence, the main takeaway, we
3:19:27 want to try and answer the question, why
3:19:29 did this work so uniquely well? Home
3:19:32 Depot is the only specialty retailer in
3:19:34 the world that is in the same universe
3:19:36 as Costco and Walmart and Amazon retail.
3:19:40 So, how did it get that way? David, it
3:19:42 won't surprise you that I have a
3:19:44 severalpart
3:19:46 answer slash uh equation to answer this
3:19:50 question. equation. All right. You've
3:19:52 certainly piqued my interest
3:19:53 >> because it's it's basically several
3:19:55 things multiplied together like
3:19:57 >> does it include scale economies shared.
3:19:59 >> Well, see what you think. So, the
3:20:03 magical thing at the core of all of this
3:20:05 is
3:20:06 forget home improvement. If you can get
3:20:09 consumers excited about shopping in a
3:20:11 warehouse with no frills, there is an
3:20:12 insane number of downstream benefits
3:20:15 that that comes from that. and we talked
3:20:17 about them all episode particularly as
3:20:19 it relates to saving costs of not having
3:20:21 to have a separate back room and
3:20:22 showroom. Normally that is a huge if but
3:20:26 home improvement is the perfect
3:20:27 category. I mean you are uh delighted to
3:20:30 go buy hammers and lumber in a
3:20:32 warehouse. So not not issue that's
3:20:33 factor number one. Two giant market
3:20:37 today the home improvement industry in
3:20:39 the US is $300 billion. For reference,
3:20:43 like a comparable market, US furniture,
3:20:46 180 billion. So even other large retail
3:20:49 categories aren't playing in this large
3:20:50 of a market. Three, they captured a huge
3:20:53 part of the market. Used to be super
3:20:55 fragmented, but today Home Depot is 51%
3:20:58 of the market. Lowe's is 29% of the
3:21:00 market. The next highest is Menard's
3:21:03 with less than 5% of the market. M
3:21:07 >> by 2026, Home Depot and Lowe's together
3:21:10 represent 80% of the market for home
3:21:12 improvement stores.
3:21:14 >> Yeah, that's wild.
3:21:15 >> The scale economies in this business,
3:21:17 which were not apparent when it was a
3:21:19 small fragmented thing, have actually
3:21:20 led to winner take most.
3:21:23 >> Yeah. And in fact, the narrative around
3:21:26 Home Depot and the market that I think
3:21:28 management itself would tell for many
3:21:30 years is, hey, we're still a small part
3:21:33 of the market. That's Yeah. Not That's
3:21:36 how you define the market. But yeah, if
3:21:37 you define it as home improvement
3:21:39 stores,
3:21:40 >> they are 51%. And it makes sense that
3:21:43 they should be able to command the
3:21:45 cheapest prices from the manufacturers.
3:21:47 And as long as they're good about
3:21:48 passing that on to you, that should
3:21:50 reflect in market share.
3:21:52 >> Yep.
3:21:52 >> Okay. So, that's three. Four, aging
3:21:56 housing stock in the United States. I
3:21:58 wanted to save this all the way for the
3:22:00 end. Arvin did some amazing research on
3:22:04 this one that the stat is perfect. The
3:22:08 median age of the housing stock remained
3:22:11 broadly stable at about 23 years old
3:22:14 from 1940 all the way to 1980.
3:22:19 >> Postwar construction, you kept adding
3:22:21 new homes to the overall stock.
3:22:22 >> The American suburban buildout.
3:22:24 >> So the median age of a home stayed young
3:22:27 since you were injecting so many new
3:22:28 single family homes.
3:22:31 As of 1980, right when Home Depot was
3:22:33 starting, that ended. The median age of
3:22:36 a home by 1990 went up to a little bit
3:22:40 higher, 25 years. Then by 2000, it was a
3:22:43 30-year-old home.
3:22:45 >> Then by 2010, it was a 33y old home.
3:22:48 >> Today, the age of the median home in the
3:22:51 United States is 42 years old. This
3:22:54 company was founded and IPOed into a
3:22:57 market of houses that were only getting
3:23:00 older and needed ever more repairs.
3:23:02 >> And as the very proud owner of a
3:23:04 115year-old house here in San Francisco,
3:23:08 let me tell you, we have been very busy
3:23:11 for the last few years maintaining our
3:23:13 house.
3:23:13 >> This is one of the largest tailwinds
3:23:15 we've ever studied in a business. And
3:23:17 and in a very predictable one, too. I
3:23:19 mean, one thing I know for sure, if the
3:23:22 age of the median home in the United
3:23:23 States right now is old, in 5 years,
3:23:25 it's also going to be old.
3:23:27 >> Yep. It's going to be older.
3:23:28 >> So, here's a market. So, this is a
3:23:30 different way to slice the market, but
3:23:31 another crazy stat. In 1975,
3:23:34 US consumers spent $28 billion on
3:23:38 residential improvements and repairs.
3:23:40 That was right before the company was
3:23:41 founded, 28 billion. 5 years later, that
3:23:44 28 billion grew to 47 billion. M
3:23:46 >> today that number is $600 billion
3:23:50 that US consumers spend on home
3:23:54 improvements and repairs.
3:23:55 >> It's funny, we haven't really talked
3:23:56 about this all episode, but like so many
3:23:58 of the other great companies we cover on
3:24:01 acquired, Home Depot is also a story of
3:24:04 impeccable market timing.
3:24:06 >> Five, they massively grew slashinvented
3:24:10 the do-it-yourself concept. And six, the
3:24:14 pro market ended up having way more
3:24:16 running room ahead of it than anyone
3:24:18 thought. And Home Depot smartly crafted
3:24:21 these very flexible offerings and
3:24:23 parallel ways that you could buy from
3:24:25 them, have different business models, uh
3:24:27 have different different distribution
3:24:29 models. So if I had to answer the
3:24:31 question, why did it get so freaking
3:24:33 big? It's the literal multiplied product
3:24:37 of giant market captured a huge part of
3:24:41 that market with scale economies aging
3:24:43 housing stock invented the DIY concept
3:24:47 at least at scale and uh then sort of
3:24:50 also consumed the pro market along with
3:24:52 the consumer market.
3:24:54 >> Yep. Yep. I love it. I think maybe the
3:24:57 only thing I would add to that beautiful
3:25:01 equation is it's also the product of the
3:25:05 US's
3:25:06 economic and property rights policy
3:25:11 decisions over the last 100 or so years
3:25:13 that have created this market for US
3:25:18 housing where a huge portion of the
3:25:22 households in America own their own
3:25:25 homes.
3:25:26 single family freestanding structure
3:25:29 homes. Yeah.
3:25:30 >> And that was a necessary precondition
3:25:32 for the home improvement industry to get
3:25:34 so large. If you either had
3:25:36 >> and and the US finances it. I mean, the
3:25:38 fact
3:25:38 >> US [clears throat] finances Yeah.
3:25:39 >> these 30-year mortgages are the most
3:25:41 insane financial instrument ever. So, we
3:25:43 let people own homes even though no one
3:25:45 has anywhere near the capital to own
3:25:47 these homes.
3:25:48 >> And the strong tax incentives to have
3:25:50 mortgages to own homes, etc., etc. I if
3:25:54 you either had not as high ownership
3:25:57 rates in the US or like China, if you
3:26:01 had a just fundamentally different kind
3:26:04 of housing stock that people own because
3:26:06 actually the Chinese housing market is
3:26:09 larger than the US housing market, but
3:26:12 it's a terrible market for home
3:26:15 improvement and Home Depot.
3:26:16 >> Yep, good point.
3:26:17 >> Yep, that's what I got.
3:26:18 >> It's a good ad. All right, that's our
3:26:20 quintessence, ladies and gentlemen. This
3:26:22 was a fun one. A lot of characters along
3:26:24 the way.
3:26:25 >> Lot of characters.
3:26:27 >> Carveouts. [snorts]
3:26:28 What you got?
3:26:28 >> Carveouts. All right, listeners. This is
3:26:30 where we recommend things that have
3:26:33 nothing to do with the episode that
3:26:34 we've just been enjoying recently. One
3:26:36 for me is Silo season 3. I think I've
3:26:41 probably made a carve out of Silo season
3:26:43 1 and two in the past.
3:26:44 >> I think so. I might have done the books.
3:26:46 The books are great.
3:26:47 >> I think you did the books. I've never
3:26:48 read the books and the books have
3:26:50 dramatic spoilers for the show. So,
3:26:51 please don't tell me anything about the
3:26:53 books. It's really good. The acting has
3:26:57 always been great. The directing has
3:26:58 always been great. The story has always
3:27:00 been great. Apple TV makes good stuff.
3:27:02 >> Yeah. I just can never wait till Friday
3:27:05 night and not for all the normal reasons
3:27:06 to wait for Friday night. It's cuz
3:27:07 that's when the new silo drops.
3:27:09 >> So, um I can't recommend it enough.
3:27:11 Great. Great sci-fi
3:27:12 >> throwback to appointment viewing.
3:27:14 >> Yes. My second one is also a season 3 of
3:27:17 a TV show, Tires.
3:27:20 >> Oh, yeah. This is with uh Shane Gillis,
3:27:22 right?
3:27:22 >> Yes. Oh my god, it's so funny. I try to
3:27:25 watch it at night after we put my son to
3:27:27 bed and I'm just like laughing so hard.
3:27:29 I'm always afraid I'm going to wake him.
3:27:31 It's just so so good. I uh I I'm so glad
3:27:35 they did a season 3 because Shane got
3:27:37 very famous after they did season one
3:27:39 and two and I was like, "Oh, this is
3:27:41 this lowbudget thing that he did with
3:27:42 his friends is is done." But it's back.
3:27:45 The whole cast is back and it's better
3:27:47 than ever. So, I highly recommend it.
3:27:49 >> Nice. Nice.
3:27:50 >> And my third one is the Ratio8 coffee
3:27:53 maker. It is a uh all glass, ceramic,
3:27:58 and metal coffee maker. And I just
3:28:02 realized how dumb it was that for most
3:28:04 of my life, I've been pouring boiling
3:28:06 hot water through some piece of plastic
3:28:09 before drinking it in my coffee every
3:28:10 morning. And so the Ratio 8 is a uh
3:28:13 first of all, it's aesthetically a very
3:28:15 beautiful machine, but it's basically a
3:28:17 high-end precision automated pourover.
3:28:20 We'll link to it in the show notes.
3:28:21 Makes delicious coffee, especially when
3:28:23 paired with there's another service I've
3:28:24 been trying called Trade Coffee where on
3:28:27 a schedule they deliver a different
3:28:29 coffee for you to try every two weeks or
3:28:32 one week or whatever you want the
3:28:33 frequency to be. And uh I oscillate
3:28:36 decaf and regular so that I can mix them
3:28:40 and uh make half caf in the mornings.
3:28:42 >> Oh, nice. Nice.
3:28:44 >> Yeah, it's all I got.
3:28:45 >> Nice. Well, I am going to surprise you.
3:28:47 I think I have two carveouts. One of
3:28:49 which is a TV show and one of which is a
3:28:51 movie.
3:28:52 >> A movie. David Rosenthal.
3:28:53 >> I know. Watching movies and TV shows.
3:28:55 This is not my uh normal outside of
3:28:57 acquired behavior. The first one is
3:29:01 the TV show Quarterback on Netflix. It's
3:29:05 August here as we're recording this and
3:29:08 I am so starved for football. Man,
3:29:11 Netflix does such a good job with
3:29:13 quarterback. It drops right at the right
3:29:15 time, right at the start of training
3:29:17 camp when you're desperately in need of
3:29:20 some football content. This season, uh,
3:29:22 Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans. didn't
3:29:24 watch a lot of Titans games last season
3:29:27 and so I didn't know much about Cam
3:29:29 Ward, former number one pick last year
3:29:31 in the draft. I'm excited about him. I
3:29:33 think he can be a star in the league
3:29:34 going forward.
3:29:35 >> Sweet. All right, quarterback on
3:29:37 Netflix.
3:29:37 >> And then my second carveout is the old
3:29:43 Jerry Seinfeld movie comedian, which I
3:29:47 watched upon reading a tweet from friend
3:29:51 of the show Jeremy Javon. This movie is
3:29:54 so fun. It follows Jerry right after
3:29:59 Seinfeld the show ended
3:30:01 >> when he goes back to the clubs in New
3:30:04 York to the comedy clubs and builds up a
3:30:08 whole new standup routine completely
3:30:11 from scratch. And it's like he's Jerry
3:30:13 Seinfeld right after the show ends. So,
3:30:16 with the most famous person, you know,
3:30:18 maybe in all of New York, and he's just
3:30:20 going to the clubs, trying out new
3:30:22 material, and he's bombing, and it's
3:30:24 it's great. It's so fun to watch.
3:30:26 >> Oh, sweet. I got to check it out. Do you
3:30:28 know my favorite game when I go stay at
3:30:29 a hotel?
3:30:30 >> Ooh, no.
3:30:30 >> I turn on the TV and I try to see if
3:30:33 there is an hour where a Seinfeld rerun
3:30:37 is not on any channels.
3:30:39 >> [laughter]
3:30:40 >> The syndication rights are are so
3:30:42 distributed that I feel like Seinfeld
3:30:45 the show is on 24/7 somewhere. It's
3:30:47 >> got to be and on Netflix now.
3:30:50 >> Yep. All right. Well, we have some thank
3:30:52 yous for folks who helped us this
3:30:54 episode. First, I've been talking about
3:30:56 them all episode, but Arvvin Navaratnam
3:30:58 at Worldly Partners, he always does
3:31:01 these great 100page studies, and this
3:31:03 episode is particularly in his
3:31:04 wheelhouse because in his quest to find
3:31:06 the next 100X company to invest in and
3:31:09 hold for decades, he does this on the
3:31:11 ground research, he goes to stores and
3:31:14 he employs someone full-time at Worldly
3:31:16 Partners who is traveling the country,
3:31:19 walking through Home Depot, Lowe's,
3:31:21 Costco, other stores, doing price
3:31:23 comparisons, and actually generating
3:31:25 real first-party data on how do these
3:31:28 stores evolve and change over time, how
3:31:30 do their prices change, how does my the
3:31:32 experience change? And so his his write
3:31:35 up on this one is particularly awesome.
3:31:36 So you can check it out at
3:31:37 worldlypartners.com. All of his other
3:31:39 studies are there and this time Arvin
3:31:43 teaches a class for HBS and Boston
3:31:46 College students. Usually they're
3:31:48 private. He interviewed Ken Langon and
3:31:51 he has agreed to make that video public
3:31:53 alongside the release of this episode.
3:31:55 So, he's also going to put that on
3:31:57 worldly partners.com. So, thank you so
3:31:59 much to Arvin for your research help.
3:32:01 Uh, thank you to Ken.
3:32:03 >> Yeah, so fun to talk to him.
3:32:04 >> Great storyteller. And to friend of the
3:32:06 show, Frank Blake. Frank is just the
3:32:08 most ridiculously humble person you will
3:32:11 ever meet. Ken would insist that he
3:32:14 saved the company and it would cease to
3:32:16 exist if not for Frank coming in and
3:32:18 saving it. Frank of course says that is
3:32:20 absolutely not true and turns out it
3:32:22 wasn't that dire of a situation.
3:32:23 >> I think I'm uh with Ken in his opinion
3:32:26 on this one. [laughter]
3:32:27 >> Yes. Thanks Frank. And uh thanks to Russ
3:32:32 and Dylan Murphy, my contractors for
3:32:34 being my partner in uh building and
3:32:36 restoring and maintaining my 115year-old
3:32:38 house here in San Francisco and helping
3:32:41 us with this episode.
3:32:42 >> Yes. A huge thank you to our partners
3:32:44 this season. Sierra, our presenting
3:32:46 partner. Sierra helps the great
3:32:47 companies of the world build better,
3:32:49 more human customer experiences. That's
3:32:51 sierra.ai/acquired
3:32:53 to work OS. Start selling to enterprise
3:32:56 customers with just a few lines of code.
3:32:58 Build authentication in minutes instead
3:33:01 of months. Workos.com to Anthropic.
3:33:04 Claude is a truly incredible AI product
3:33:07 that thinks with you just like it
3:33:09 thought with me in preparing for this
3:33:11 episode. That's claw.ai/acquired
3:33:12 I/acquired
3:33:14 to Sentry application monitoring
3:33:16 software considered not bad by millions
3:33:18 of developers. Centry.io/acquired.
3:33:21 And if you're in the Bay Area on
3:33:22 September 17th, just a few days after
3:33:25 this episode comes out, you should join
3:33:27 us for the official 2026 acquired meetup
3:33:30 with our friends at Sentry. That's
3:33:31 acquired.fm/meup.
3:33:34 If you like this episode, go check out
3:33:36 our other episodes on great retailers.
3:33:38 Costco, Walmart, Trader Joe's, IKEA, and
3:33:42 Amazon. We're really creating kind of
3:33:44 this retail uh I know
3:33:47 >> throughine here, the the great American
3:33:49 retailers.
3:33:49 >> We might have to uh make some t-shirts
3:33:52 with some more saving, more doing
3:33:54 slogans on it. And uh you can do it, we
3:33:57 can help.
3:33:57 >> That's right. And for all of you who
3:33:59 have been asking for visuals with our
3:34:01 episodes, you can check out our
3:34:02 companion PDF. It will come out the day
3:34:05 that this episode drops, and it will
3:34:07 improve over time. So, if you checked
3:34:10 out our Disney PDF from part one or part
3:34:12 two, both of those have been
3:34:13 dramatically improved uh since those
3:34:16 first dropped, that's
3:34:17 library.acquired.fm
3:34:18 for all those tables, charts, and
3:34:20 illustrations of key concepts. Join the
3:34:22 email list acquire.fm/e,
3:34:25 where we send out behindthe-scenes
3:34:26 photos from research, past episode
3:34:28 corrections, and vote on future episode
3:34:29 topics. and come talk about this with
3:34:32 David, me, and the whole community in
3:34:35 Slack at acquire.fm/slack.
3:34:38 Listeners, with that, we will see you
3:34:40 next time.
3:34:41 >> We'll see you next time.
3:34:42 >> Who got the truth? [music]
3:34:45 Is it you? Is it you? Is it you? Who got
3:34:47 the truth now? Huh?
3:34:54 [music]